Top Youngsters Compete For The End Of The Line Futurity G1
Saturday, October 3, 2015 | 3:00 PM | Kentucky (KY)
Grade I | $750,000 | 2-Year-Olds | 8.5 Furlongs | Fast Dirt
1 UNO PIMENTO is the son of MACHO UNO, out of EL GRAN GOLDEN, who has produced a grade I winner and two stakes winners (including this colt). After his maiden win on debut, the horse was unable to win as a presser, running up from third in a listed stakes to place. Once adapting a closer’s method in his third start he won his second race- a listed stake. Next out in the Closest Friend G2 he was running eleventh at call two, finishing second at the finish by just a neck. Stepping up half a furlong (and one grade) to the Dell Computer Futurity, in which (if you watch the race) he was hung out three wide the entire trip, and still accelerated late to finish a nice fourth. He switches to a route for the first time, however I think this horse has only good things to come and has the ability to win this one. 9-1 is a nice price.
| 2 | NUREYEV’S GHOST has just four starts, two of which were wins. No stakes wins on two attempts, this son of GHOSTZAPPER was a dominant victor an a Nw2l allowance winning by over three, going wire-to-wire. That last race clearly states that he doesn’t belong in allowance company. But where does he belong? I’d like to see a stakes win before betting him here, and considering his two listed stakes losses, I’ll lay off this time at 7-1.
3 PREACHER’S CAUSE has amazing breeding, by GIANT’S CAUSEWAY, this colt scored a local bred maiden win with a 79 SP in his debut. After a Nw2l place the brown colt was a half length winner (at the same class), and had graded stakes company for the Cryogenics Juvenile G3, where he flew from farther back than ever, nabbing second by a neck to a previous grade II winner. This colt has a bright future but I think the class jump could be a little steep today. You’ll get 8-1 if you disagree.
4 BROKEN RIDGE is fresh of win number two, where he went gate-to-wire in his fourth start. His only other win was a maiden win, second time out. Despite the outstanding 92 speed rating last time out I can’t assume he has the class yet. The bargain bred son of BROKEN VOW is 24-1 but doesn’t have any stakes experience.
5 VYRANTIUM comes from a hot race maiden win for his debut, but quickly improved that 64 speed rating with a 78 in a Nw2l allowance. Lenny took his horse to the next step, and he responded, coming from twelfth in the Dynaprospector Dirt Juvenile STK to win by two lengths with an 88. For the Vermont BB Juvenile G2, where he put in a good run, and joined the late cavalry charge to finish sixth by three quarters of a length. Pinning on his G2 badge and scoring the highest speed figure of his career, the MORE THAN READY colt won the Hoserhead Juvenile by more than a length. This colt is impeccably bred- out of stakes winner BREAKNECK, who has produced two stakes winners besides this horse (who is also her first graded stakes winner). Last time out, the colt was a nice third in the Hopeless Stakes G1, losing by three lengths. This looks like a good bet and 6-1 offers great value.
6 GAMMA RAYZ has hit the board in all seven career starts, including two listed stakes and a grade one. After a debut win, the son of ORB had some trouble notching win number two, running second in an open allowance, second in an Nw2l allowance, second in a listed stake, and finally won an allowance Nw2l three starts ago. With the win in hand, the colt took it to the Almost Whirl Dirt Juvenile STK, and made it look easy, scoring with a career high 94 speed digit. Last time out was his most impressive- which of course in the sim means he’s 10-1. In the Dell Computer Futurity, the colt was displaced from his favoured position, and he ran sixth until the stretch where he poured it on to a bronze medal placing by about three lengths. While at 10-1 he colt could qualify for my longshot play, I doubt that will be necessary. A great bet.
7 ASHLYDAR has had a two win, five try career so far, and his speed figures weren’t excessively great, until his last start- the Pea Patch Juvenile G3. This colt assumed the closer role, and rolled up from twelfth (ten lengths behind) at the three quarters to place second by a head. The GIANT’S CAUSEWAY colt could be a winner this weekend, and if you see an effective workout, she might be worth your time at 24-1.
8 DEADMONEY CADET was also a hot race beginner- winning it handily with a high uncharacteristic speed figure for those contest- 78. After easily winning a Nw2l allowance, the MORE THAN READY colt scored in the June Stakes STK, and moved on to G2 company. Taking on The Stanford G2, the colt was locked in a suicidal speed duel which resulted in a tenth place finish for the rookie. Dropping to a G3, the Cadet trainee was caught in the last sixteenth but still showed a career mark 94 SP. The superbly bred colt might have been a good wager in a race with little speed- but his frontrunning style won’t be effective here with so many others doing the same. 9-1 for him.
9 CALGARY FRONT is a winner of only one. After a win in an ESR maiden race, Balata had him place in a Nw2l allowance. Following, Balata decided to go big or go home, and his decision somewhat paid off with his WAR FRONT colt grabbing third, beaten a length in the High Roller’s Juvenile G2 at six furlongs. Out of ALBERTA GOLD, a mare who has produced two listed stake winners, two G2 winners and one G1 winner while she was a G1 winner herself, this colt looked to join the ranks of this mare’s best as he took on the Hoserhead Juvenile G2. He again was third, and decided it was time for a jockey change for the Dell Computer Futurity G1. It didn’t work out as H Harzheim was unable to get him anywhere close and the horse fell to eleventh at the finish. The one-time winner is 10-1 if you think he can rebound well with a new jock.
10 GRAVITY ORBIT by ORB, the bay colt is out of outstanding broodmare OUR TATER. While she never won a race on the track, she has produced three listed stakes winners (including this one) and one G2 winner. Also among them are three stakes placed allowance horses. He became another pride of his mother’s last time out with his first stakes win in the Valyrian Edge STK. Previously the colt had three wins (maiden, nw2l, nw3l) on six starts which included a fourth in an earlier listed stakes. He seemed to improve trying the route type last time, and STK to G Stakes winners happen all the time, but this time out I’d like to take an experience graded stakes horse.
11 EVASIVE MANEUVERS has just four attempts and was previously a turf sprinter. This colt by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of GIANT’S TREASURE- a stakes winning mare who has mothered two stakes winners and three allowance winners on five starters. She’s represented today by a colt fresh off his first allowance victory. Switching to dirt two starts back, the colt was second in a Nw2l allowance and after lengthening to a route last time out, he got a second win. I’m just not sure the horse has the class yet, and he’s 22-1 for Dixiedotco.
12 AWESOME ONCE MORE is a two time winner by AWESOME AGAIN, with just five races under his belt. The colt’s first race was for the All Stars Racing Res, and after winning that start by a nose, three starts later (both allowances, one win), the rookie was trying the Hoserhead Juvenile G2. Coming from eleventh at the second fraction, the horse flew up to place to none other than VYRANTIUM. Stepping up to the mile distance, the chestnut was a very close third in the Darling-Squash Futurity G3 last time out. Improving every time, the colt has a definite chance. However I’d like to stay with a horse with grade one experience in this field. He’s 9-1.
13 GROOM TO MEDAL TED is by MEDAGLIA D’ORO, out of grade three winner GROOMED TO ROMP T. The mare has foaled a grade two winner as well as two stakes placed allowance winners. This colt bumps up the SP every time, improving from a 70 debut win to an 87 last time out. With just one win to his name, the colt’s last two races have been very live. In the Midsoil Stakes G2 for his penultimate try, the good-looking grey was fourth- by a neck. That race was promising, and his last race, the Upper New York Special G2 was even more so. The horse challenged for the lead early, but was battled, and the colt still had the heart to hold third by just a neck once more. I love the horse, and he’s only going to get better. Despite his one win, I think he’s worth a bet this time while moving to a route for the first time. Especially at 14-1.
14 MISSION STREET is tied for the most experienced, with seven races. Taking an unrestricted allowance for his second start. After two stakes tries, including a win, this MISSION IMPAZIBLE colt (out of a mare who has previously mothered a G2 winner) decided to attempt (well, I suppose the owner decided) to move into the graded stakes level, taking on the Faber College Juvenile G3, and was second of fourteen. Two starts back he was second in the Stanford G2 to now G1 winner STORM CAT HUMOR. After that great effort, he took on G1 foes in the Hopeless Stakes. Not too bad for a first time G1 runner, he made a move but was beaten to sixth by five of fourteen. I believe that could’ve been an off day for him, and switching to a route I think he’s got a fair shake at the cash. 10-1 is pretty good.
1- 6 GAMMA RAYZ
2- 5 VYRANTIUM
3- 13 GROOM TO MEDAL TED
Longshot Play- 14 MISSION STREET