A field of ten 3-year old New York Bred’s will enter the starting gate in the $100,000 ESR Journey to the Centre of the TARDIS. The race will be run at One Mile over the Dirt Course.
The ESR Residency Stakes will feature the top three finishers in the ESR Silence in the Library. Can the tables be turned with the added distance, or will a newcomer emerge?
“What does a wounded animal do? It tries to scare everyone away. We’re close to the engine. The TARDIS is snarling at us, trying to frighten us off. We need to jump.”
STREET INVASION – when I entered this 3-Year Old Roan Colt by Normandy Invasion I thought I had a good chance of winning this race, I mean 5 wins in 9 starts, 4 wins at a mile, a credible performance in an open company stakes, back to back triple digit outings, I’ll be lucky to finish 5th…what was I thinking
THE CADET GUY – the 3-Year Old Light Grey Colt by The Lumber Guy is part of a two-horse entry by the cadet racing stables, and one of four horses that raced in the ESR Silence in the Library LTO; the NY Bred has been nothing short of sensational against the Local circuit in his 3yo campaign with 5 wins in 6 starts, the only blemish a 4th place finish in the G3 Grunt; his going away victory in the ESR Silence in the Library clearly establishes him as the favorite here on Saturday…one to beat
PLAYA MAYA – the blankpoint trained 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Al Khali was closing fast in the ESR Silence in the Library LTO, but ran out of racetrack and had to settle for 3rd place money; this veteran of the Derby Trail returns to a Mile, where he is 2-2 in his 3yo campaign and appears well poised to turn the tables on THE CADET GUY in this ESR feature…dangerous
MIND YOUR CADETS – certainly the cadet racing stables had Mind Your Biscuits in mind when they bred this 3-Year Old Brown Colt by Posse; though not the stronger half on the entry, the 3rd place finisher in the ESR 7500 Credit Added King of New York Stakes last year does not enter this field without merit finishing ITM in all 7 of his career starts; shy of the winner’s circle, this guy is on the verge of a breakout race, and would be no surprise here on Saturday…chance off best
CLASSIFIED DOCS – after finishing first or second in his first 5 starts, the 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Bellamy Road stalled in his development finishing off the board in his next two starts, sure he has excuses, throw out the last in a Turf experiment, and the one prior against unlimited winners was a bit deep for the NW3L eligible colt, but things aren’t going to get any easier in here against these for the spinround trained NY Bred…must show more
SPACED OUT PAT – one of two from the casino racing stables, this a 3-Year Old Light Grey Colt by Cosmonaut out of the Stakes winning mare SINGLE WHITE PAT (Gone West); winner of 3 of his last 4 starts, the NY Bred has done his best racing at distance of 9-furlongs or greater, the last a victory in an 11-furlong Allowance; no doubt better than he ever was, and more than capable of winning this affair, he may need more racetrack to be a factor here, and a poor performance might be the last time you see him at a mile…your call
OPERATION NEPTUNE – the 3-Year Old Light Grey Gelding by Normandy Invasion battled a hotly contested pace in the ESR Silence in the Library LTO and the valesa trained NY Bred suffered the consequences of that battle giving way during the stretch drive and settling for a minor share in a valiant effort; stretches out to a favorable distance and appears to be the horse to catch…must not falter
AWESOME TROUBLE – the kingab trained 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Alpha was closing fastest of all in the ESR Silence in the Library LTO in what might have been the best race of his young career; here’s the rub, based on his performance at a mile last May, I don’t think kingab is fully convinced this impressive NY Bred is a miler or he would have revisited that scenario long ago; yes he did improve going 6.5 to 7 furlongs, but that just might be his sweet spot, and if I’m wrong, and he has matured into a miler, he will be very dangerous here on Saturday…can’t ignore
HALLO FERN- it’s not very often that you will see a horse exit from the G1 Adelaide Derby into an ESR Residency race but such is the case of this 3-Year Old Brown Colt son of Japan; however I’m going to draw a line through that race and focus on the previous 6 starts; the deeprock trainee, winner of 3, all coming over the Turf, is making his first start over the Dirt Course; hard to see this colt competitive against these, but then connections were confident enough in his ability to enter him into a G1, and the rockster has pulled off some amazing upsets in the past, so bettor beware…hard to recommend
THE TOKYO STALKER – the second of the casino entries, a 3-Year Old Roan Colt by Japan, is the weaker of the coupling; one of those horses that runs his career best in his first start, a win in the ESR King of New York Challenge with an 84-speed figure then fails to hit the board in his next 5 starts, barely matching that 84-speed figure of his debut; we’ve seen it before, we will see it again; baffling…one hit wonder
Handicapping the Field
Sometimes the answers are right there in front of you, don’t overthink it, don’t look for something that isn’t there. This race is a battle of the top three finishers in the ESR Silence in the Library. The only question is can the second or third place finisher in that ace improve enough around two turns to overthrow THE CADET GUY. While I tend to think PLAYA MAYA provides the best opportunity for upset, AWESOME TROUBLE, if progressing enough for longer distances, might add a new top to his past performances. All three horses hail from top training outfits, so that will be an interesting battle to watch. Can someone emerge from the rest of the group, STREET INVASION and SPACED OUT PAT could play spoilers, while OPERATION NEPTUNE, if left uncontested on the lead, could steal away with a gate to wire victory.
PLAYA MAYA – added distance makes the difference
THE CADET GUY – strictly the one to beat
OPERATION NEPTUNE – might get loose and hold on for a share