Nov 302017
 

2017final

A small field of six 3-Year Old’s and Older will enter the New York starting gate in the $100,000 ESR First Pitch Insufficiency Stakes to be run at One Mile and a Sixteenth over the Turf Course.

DRAMATIC IMPACT – with the ESR training title up for grabs, the kingab racing stables are pulling out all the stops with this Grade II winning son of Deep Impact out of the multi-stakes producing mare MIA’S DREAM (Danehill); the JPN bred took control in the stretch and drew away in the One Mile Grade II Daniel Wild in his last start, equaling the stakes record while posting a career best 116 speed-figure; the win marks the third Graded victory for this 5-Year Old and sets him up perfectly for the win against a field that has yet to lay its claim to a Graded Stakes victory…one to beat

DRAFT DODGER – entered on a wing and a prayer for the trotter1 connections, the 5-Year Old Bay son of Declaration of War out of the Grade I-winning LAND ACT (Pioneerof The Nile); the IRE bred was unable to register a win in his last two starts against NW2y Allowance company suggesting he has put his best races behind him; start number 33 should get him to the breeding shed in the very near future…glory days

ENTER THE MINISTER – the 3-Year Old Bay Colt is a scratch-bred son of Point of Entry out of a Danehill Dancer x Deputy Minister mare and racing under the black and red colors of the capecod stables; after an impressive runaway victory in an Open Company Allowance race in Kentucky two back, his connections were so astounded with the ease of his victory, they elected to strike when the iron was hot and entered the talented 3yo against older rivals in the G3 Harry Carey Memorial and he did not disappoint with a impetuous third place finish in his first graded appearance; never headed at today’s 8.5f distance in three career starts, the up and coming star poses the biggest threat to DRAMATIC IMPACT…dangerous

KENNY HAYNES – you got to love what the valesa connections have done with the private purchase of this 4-Year Old son of Haynesfield out of an A.P. Indy mare, gelding him after the purchase, then going out and winning five of his next nine starts while never finishing off the board for his new connections; making his first stakes appearance, the one time claimer still has much to prove, but his steady climb up the Class ranks, three race win streak, and average 106 speed figure during that streak certainly earns him respect in this field…might surprise

BUGLE CROSSING – never backing away from a challenge, the nextbonus racing stable show no trepidation entering this 4-Year Old Bay Filly by Cape Cross out of a Gone West x Seattle Slew mare, and why not…the capable IRE bred trounced the boys back in September of last year and is currently sporting an impressive three-race win streak at the Allowance level while boasting an average 110-speed figure during the streak; she has struggled somewhat at the Stakes level, but she is in top form and is a deep stretch threat in this ESR feature…never better

BANK REGULATOR – after checking the lip tattoo with the Thoroughbred Racing Protective Bureau, it was determined that the non-cadet named 5-Year Old Bay Horse by Dansili out of a Nureyev x Red Ransom mare is indeed the property of the cadet racing stables; after the ENG bred followed up a victory in the ESR Smart Dance Stakes in February of 2016 with third place G3 Strange Hall, he was given six months off after he was beaten soundly in the G3 Farley; the layoff proved beneficial, as he returned to the races with a smashing Allowance victory before his solid performance in the G3 Witchcraft; convinced the 5yo ran best fresh, he was given two months off after an Allowance victory, but the layoff proved less advantageous this time around when he finished 10th after falling far back in the G3 David Hasslehoff LTO; could be an interesting play here second time off a layoff, but faces a tough task against better…your call

Handicapping the Field

Small fields can present all kinds of problems for handicappers when deciding who wager on in a race. These dilemmas often come in the form of pace.  Closers have a tendency of falling too far back from the leaders and speed horses get challenged by the unlikeliest candidates with an effort to keep the pace honest and not let the leaders get an easy lead.  How that plays out in a race can only be determined by the jockey and the connections.

In this field both KENNY HAYNES and ENTER THE MINISTER have loads of early speed, and and appear to set things up for the late runners in this field. One should caution however, as while a front-end battle is a likely scenario, ENTER THE MINISTER has the class advantage over KENNN HAYNES and could flank him throughout, taking over the lead with plenty left in the tank leaving a lot of ground for the closers to make up if they fall too far behind.

The Picks

DRAMATIC IMPACT – big class edge and will settle well within range

ENTER THE MINISTER – the three-year old looks like something special

BUGLE CROSSING – mustn’t get too far behind

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  5 Responses to “An Homage to Gleason and Carney…Throw the damn ball! The ESR First Pitch Insufficiency Stakes”

  1. And the hits just keep on coming! It feels so good to win a few my rookie year.

  2. Might be time to rescind that Equinics nomination and cut that horse back to a sprint. Bad loss today.

  3. Thank you Larry and Bill…writing for the BTB is the one aspect of the game that gives me the most enjoyment…always a pleasue

  4. The master returns. Thanks for for all your hard work, Pete.

  5. I have missed this! great work pete. I need this one to have a shot.