Jan 062018
 
Rope Blush Turf Filly Mile
Stakes*CPU – Purse : $100,000
Restricted to 3 Year Olds, Fillies Only
8 Furlongs | ~1600 Meters | One Mile – TURF

 

 

Welcome to another year of racing in 2018.

This is one of the most exciting times of year for a simulated horse trainer…… we’re currently in the mid stages of the build up to the most anticipated race in Derbyfever ‘The Bluegrass Derby’ to be held in the first week of May for a total purse of $6M. Along with the Derby we have the fillies event the Bluegrass Oaks but that’s not where it stops…. Over the coming months you will see the premier 3yo in racing preparing for all the feature 3yo events such as Derbies, Oaks, Guineas and Thousand Guineas type events on both turf and dirt all over the globe.

 

So  a race like the Rope Blush may seem like a minor event but I can assure you that it’s not and the the 8 trainers involved here will be well aware that a win in this event will not only enhance the winning filly’s stud value later on but it will be a crucial step in a progression towards turf mile events come April – June. Every race counts and every stakes point counts.

Now is the time for 3yo’s to stamp their mark on their respective division, the winner of this will likely head to a graded event next time out so let’s take a look at the field and see if there is one that stands out, one that might not only win this event but also we’re looking for one that has G1 potential over the coming months. Let’s take a look at the field.

 

1. MANNY’S GAL  (NUMAANY x FIRST DUDE x GALILEO (IRE))       10/1

R W P S $
Career 6 1 5 0 $95,545
Dirt 0 0 0 0 $0
Turf 6 1 5 0 $95,545
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 5 1 4 0 $83,370
Routes 1 0 1 0
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

 

Impressive 2yo season where she never finished worse than 2nd from her 6 juvenile outings. Manny’s Gal has struggled to break the NW2L tag which would be much sought after by her trainer Oldmoonfarms59 and gets her chance here after what looks like a 6 week layoff and likely farm spell at the end of her 2yo racing season. She’s not the most fashionably bred but really so far hasn’t put a foot wrong and while she may run in to 1 or 2 classier ones here, she has to be a good chance at a top 3 result again based on current form.

 

 

2. CASH CANYON   (CANYON CREEK x DYNAFORMER x ENCOSTA DE LAGO (AUS))  4/1

R W P S $
Career 10 5 2 2 $202,455
Dirt 5 2 1 1 $25,030
Turf 5 3 1 1 $177,425
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 8 4 2 1 $132,455
Routes 2 1 0 1
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

 

A really astute claim by Dontbetonme11 which saw her quickly switch surface to turf and not look back since. This filly is impressive having won half of her career starts to date and already being a 2 x stakes winner will look to get her 3yo season off to a flyer. Very likely already enough stakes points to get her into an 8f mile G1 event I’d be surprised to see her in ungraded company much longer if she is victorious here tonight. My main concern with Cash Canyon is that she’s been in work a long time and doesn’t look to have had a farm spell at the end of a very busy 2yo campaign. Coupled with her last start 3rd placing and stagnant SP I’m thinking one of two possibilities for her at this point in her career: She needs a spell to rejuvenate on the back of a hard 2yo campaign OR she’s looking for a bit more ground now out to 9f. So no knock on her either way but I have my doubts she can win this event. Hope to be proven wrong for her trainer.

 

 

3. ANNABELLA LANE   (FRANKEL x DYNAFORMER x NUREYEV)   5/2

R W P S $
Career 5 3 2 0 $103,590
Dirt 0 0 0 0 $0
Turf 5 3 2 0 $103,590
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 5 3 2 0 $103,590
Routes 0 0 0 0
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

Super filly out of the Chance barns. She is a short favourite to win this and it’s easy to see why. Already a stakes winner and 3 wins to her name she steps out to the mile which according to her pedigree should suit her nicely and likewise see a considerable speed boost as well. I can’t see her losing this and believe her to be the class filly of the field. Look for her to win this then to go on and be hard to beat at whatever her trainer lines her up in for the months ahead. Impressive form, pedigree and race placement this filly ticks all the boxes.

 

 

4. KING OF RINGERS T  (HARBINGER x KING OF KINGS (IRE) x SHIRLEY HEIGHTS)    6/1

R W P S $
Career 7 3 1 0 $134,682
Dirt 2 0 1 0 $15,174
Turf 5 3 0 0 $119,508
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 4 1 1 0 $76,918
Routes 3 2 0 0
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

 

Harbinger filly trained by girlsofted again like several of her rivals here is already a stakes winner. She also has form at a mile having won twice already on the surface at the distance. She likes to run on from towards the back but can settle mid pack and no doubt will be running on again. She definitely can win this if she gets a little luck in running and will be one of the main challengers to Annabella Lane in this event. Hard to knock and a good winning chance again.

 

 

5. THE SECRET RIVER (POLLARD’S SECRET x SOUSA (NZ) x RED RANSOM)    13/1

R W P S $
Career 5 3 2 0 $102,910
Dirt 0 0 0 0 $0
Turf 5 3 2 0 $102,910
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 5 3 2 0 $102,910
Routes 0 0 0 0
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

 

Another filly coming off a super 2yo campaign where she won 3 of her 5 outings with her best result being a stakes win at her final hit out of 2017. The Secret River’s stakes win at 7f was a good reference for this being the furthest she’s raced and giving an indication that she’ll appreciate the step out to a mile here. Interestingly she’s from little known sire Pollard’s Secret who is in just his 3rd breeding season and so far is difficult to assess his progeny preferences looking like a dirt sprint sire in 2016 then a turf sprint influence last year. It’s hard to read much from the bloodlines on this filly and so we can only go off her race form which is near enough spotless so she has to be every chance to win this and add a mile stakes to her growing list of accolades as well.

 

 

6. BUCKLEY’S CHANCE  (CONSTITUTION x DANSILI (GB) x HENNESSY)    4/1

R W P S $
Career 5 2 1 0 $78,089
Dirt 4 1 1 0 $48,869
Turf 1 1 0 0 $29,220
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 3 1 1 0 $47,895
Routes 2 1 0 0
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

 

Possibly an Australian sporting reference in the name? which we won’t go into here but this filly holds the leading SP of the field to date with a 94 last time out when switched to turf. All her runs before that were dirt and I’m sure it pleased her trainer ydracing6 no end to see the resultant speed boost and easy gate to wire win. She can do it again too. It’s been approximately 6 weeks since her last race and a likely farm freshen has happened in the meantime which should see her cherry ripe for this. She will lead again and is going to look the winner in the straight at some stage. She will have the likes of Annabella Lane stalking her and The Secret River & King of Ringers T closing to try to stop those aspirations but she may just be too slick for them.

 

 

7. REDHOTSHOT  (FIRING LINE x DISTORTED HUMOR x TABASCO CAT)    6/1

R W P S $
Career 8 2 1 1 $89,814
Dirt 8 2 1 1 $89,814
Turf 0 0 0 0 $0
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 7 2 1 1 $89,814
Routes 1 0 0 0
Off 3 0 0 0 $974

 

All career starts so far have been on dirt which makes this filly difficult to predict in terms of her chances here. In terms of her bloodlines she has 3 dirt sires in the mix so given the calibre of fillies in this race I feel that Redhotshot will find this race tough. Her best form to date is sprinting but it is difficult to assess her ability to run 8f+ as her lone run to date was an off track which she doesn’t like at all preferring firmer ground. Perhaps this race is to freshen her up for more dirt sprinting which looks to be her preference so good luck to connections in this hopefully you can prove me wrong here with her.

 

 

8. OMEGA SPEEDMASTER   (POINT OF ENTRY x GHOSTZAPPER x KINGMAMBO)    5/1

R W P S $
Career 6 3 2 0 $117,350
Dirt 0 0 0 0 $0
Turf 6 3 2 0 $117,350
Poly 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprint 4 2 1 0 $32,350
Routes 2 1 1 0
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

 

Impressive Point of Entry filly out of a Ghostzapper mare. Already a stakes winner at 8.5f this filly oozes class and is every chance of bringing up her 4th career win here. Current form is excellent, breeding is top notch and she has been lightly raced as a 2yo with a nice break into here which I’m presuming is a farm spell. Can she win? Yes, do I think she will win? No. There is absolutely nothing to knock about this filly but the way I read her form is she’s a 9f+ runner which is where I think she’ll do some really good things. Perhaps we’ll see her win a turf Oaks in the months ahead, perhaps she’ll find a nice 9f graded race and win with a leg in the air. Either way her future is bright and I expect her to do big things and be a graded winner before the year is out. I just think she’s looking for more ground now to get the best out of her.

 

 

Good luck to all connections, looking forward to watching this one.

 

Selections:

1. Annabella Lane

2. Buckley’s Chance

3. The Secret River

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  3 Responses to “Annabella Lane looks hard to beat in the Rope Blush”

  1. Thanks for the nice write up. I was very glad to see my horse come in 3rd with an improved speed. The horse was actually given to me by Oldmoon who is a friend of mine in game. Will see where The Secret River goes from here. Right now she is getting a well deserved rest. :)

  2. Thanks for the write up deyoto – Buckleys Chance nearly pinched the race but Omega Speedmaster just had too much in the last 100m. Buckleys Chance was bred by the maestro Gcliffo and I am hoping she is named as aussies tend to do by being the opposite of her name :)