Jan 152018
 

Heading into Virginia to cover an allowance race on the turf.  This race is restricted to non-winners of two races over the past year with eligible horses being the age of 4 or older.   Weather conditions are expected to be very nice so the track should be fast for this 6f race.

Curlinisnotasport  13/1-This gelding kicks off the 2018 season on the heels of making his debut on the turf back in October.   After cutting the early fractions on the lead he tired back into 5th.   Gives the turf a second try but it doesn’t look too likely that things will improve much.

The Mother Bode  28/1-Another runner that likes to be up front but has history of tiring and finishing well back.  He failed to have a top three finish during the 2017 season.  He does cut back on distance with hopes the change will make a difference.  If he goes for the lead, he’ll probably fail.  He needs to find a way to save something for the stretch run.

Doing My Thang  29/1-This four year old found a way to score a win in his most recent start in a field of four with one entrant being a CPU runner.  The three true contenders were very close in odds and this guy found a way to wire the field.   Speed of 92 was second best following his career mark of 93.  Speeds are improving but he will be challenged against better runners in this field.

Sea My Horn  8/5-Race favorite hit speeds of 100 or better in each of his 8 races last year.   He has been sidelined since August after competing in a trio of stake/graded races.  He gets decent class relieve as he makes his return to the track.  Looks like the one to beat but may need a race or two to sharpen up.

Endless Eternity  9/1-Had a top three finish only once during 2017 when he was able to show late run ability to capture third.   He has not been reliable and has finished 8th in four of last five outings.  Only chance seems to be if he can get that late kick to fire up and the way things have been going, it appears unlikely.

El Sepoy Zab  7/2-A nice handful of speeds of 100 or better came his way in mid-2017 but have slacked downward in last three races.  He’s dropping out of the listed stakes level and returning to the allowance level where he finished second in all three races at this level last year.   The class drop makes lots of sense it’s just a matter of his current form and whether the drop will shake him up.

Blushing In Paris  12/1-A busy racer in 2017 with thirteen starts and finishing ITM four times, each in the show spot.  He has early speed and will hook up with several others to duke it out for the top spot early on.  His best opportunity here may be if he can play the role of a stalker and lay off the early pace.  This, however, is not his style and he’ll be hard pressed when the field enters the stretch.

Apollo Dash  5/1-Somewhat lightly raced last year with a half dozen starts.  He blew a sharp 111 speed in May with a big win that led to making a pair of starts in listed stake races.   The speed numbers did not follow and after faltering at the higher level he returned to allowance last month where he ran third with a 96 speed.   He looks more comfortable at this level and could be a factor in this race.

Lear and Stare  7/1-A potential spoiler in the field who ran sharply in his last start at 4.5f finishing second with a strong late run.  Quite a few front running horses in this field who could burn each other out and this late runner could capitalize.

10  Lusty Sky  14/1-Eight starts in the last six months seem to be demanding on the horse but he has delivered by being ITM each time.   Speeds are a little lower than others, with a best of 96 during the six months.    He’s an outsider, but has a chance to get something.  I think that if he does not get in the top 3 positions, he will still walk off with something with a 4th or 5th.

 

Sea My Horn makes a return after a long recess and has the credentials to handle this field.

Lear and Stare showed very nice late run in his last start and can mow down the front running rabbits.

El Sepoy Zab drops in class and may get the wake-up call the owner is looking for.

 

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