Jun 132018
 

Packing up the spotlight this week and shipping it over to Iowa to shine it upon a 3-year old filly race.  This is a mini-distance 4.5 furlong dirt race and open to fillies that are non-winners of 4 races in their career.  We have eight going into the gate with a dirt cheap claiming tag of $2,000.  Here’s a glance at the field.

1  BUSCANDO UN POLVO  5/2-This Amercain bred lady is one of three entrants in the field who has hit a speed of 80 or better this year.  She has won three races in seven starts and included a back-to-back victories at the end of 2017 and start of 2018, both of which were at this races distance of 4.5 furlongs.  Her last pair of starts were 6 furlongs finishing 4th and 7th, but with her career best speeds of 84 & 82.   She drops sharply in claiming from the high end of $150,000 to rock bottom tag of $2,000.  Suited well for this run.

2  GUARANTEE GRIN  6/1-Daughter of Indy Snow has had trouble hitting the wire first with one win on the dirt in eight starts.  But she is a fighter, finishing second a total of 5 dirt runs and a third once, so that equates to 7 of 8 races ITM.  Including turf races, she has 10 career starts and all have come during 2018.  After notching a career best speed of  77 in April, the numbers have tumbled downward to 67 in her most recent start, where she finished second as the chalk favorite in a field of four, however, two of the foes were CPU owned runners.  She drops down the claim level and the frequent racing may now be taking its toll.

3  AIRANDO  5/1-Born out of Andronikos, this three year old has been picking  up BP’s during 2018 in each of her five starts during the season.   Running low end claimers as well as short distances of late, she has secured two wins and finished third three times.   She’ll be fighting on the lead and the challenge will be to stay there.   She’s run 76 speed figure the last two outings and I think she can push that to 80 this time, giving her a honest shot to take this.

4  GREEN FRONTIER  2/1- Bred out of Frontier Gold, this filly got off to an excellent start in 2018 by breaking her maiden in a $40k claiming race in January which was followed by a pair of low-end claiming races with the NW4L group, all accomplished at the Iowa surface in sprint races.  She shipped out to Ohio to run an allowance race and finished a mid-field fourth with a career mark of 88.   She returns to Iowa, the home of her success and is posed to strike again.

5  VAIN POLISH  7/1-A daughter to sire Hit It A Bomb has not been explosive thus far.  She has one victory in eleven outings.  That win came in March in a $20k claiming race where she battled the entire way on the front end.  After the win, she was second in a $10k claiming event and most recently fifth in a drop to the $2,000k group.   Her win was at this same Iowa track and she is making a return in hopes to find another score.  Her speeds have been stuck in the low 70′s over her recent three starts and getting a very big bang will be needed to get the top spot over this group.

6  SINONYX  9/2-A three-time winner out of sire Japan with all coming on the dirt in 6 races on the soil.  She also has a second and third on the dirt, a far better record than three runs on the turf where she was out of the money in each trip.   Since returning to the dirt in late December, she has won three times with the most recent in a group of NE4L but at $3,500 claimers which was over this Iowa track.  She pulled in a career best speed of 80 in that start and her speeds have been slowly but steadily improving since going back to the dirt.  Could be some value with this one.

7  AVALANCHE CAT 45/1-The Rock Slide bred filly had a rough 2017 campaign with one win in nine outings and finishing ITM three times.  Her last start was nearly 9 months ago at the end of September where she finished the season with a pair of out of the money runs in sprint turf races.  She has raced rather evenly between dirt and turf with her sole win coming on the turf but no real display of desire on either surface.  The long break may make a difference and time will tell as it could take a few starts to get the form going.

8  HALF SUNRISE  15/1-A Mesa Sunrise bred filly who has won three times but they all date back to 2017 and were delivered in Texas.   She’s appeared in three races in 2018 with a second on the Iowa track in similar conditions and distance as this race.   She was off the board in the following two starts (one on Iowa track and one on turf surface).  Speeds have been in upper 60-range and that puts her at a disadvantage with other runners in the field producing better figures.

 

Nose diving in the claiming ranks, I’m going with Buscando Un Polvo as my top pick.  Should find this to be a softer spot to roll.

Green Frontier returns to Iowa and goes back to sprint, top spot is within reach.

Sinonyx has shown ability to close late.  Some early speed in this one and will need to keep things close.

 

 

Views (210)