STAR STUDDED FIELD FOR THE G1 MOVIELAND SHINY CUP
14 tenured endurance warriors get the opportunity to show off their talents in the 10 furlong G1 Movieland Shiny Cup. The field of 14 is headlined by a couple of $5 million dollar winners that are heading in opposite directions. Lenny6’s NUKA DEATHMARCH is trending upwards dating back to December of 2017 with his three G1 victories (Japan Dirt Cup, 2018 Equinics, Sand Castle Classic) while, his counterpart lslcrew’s BIGGEST IMPACT who ran in those same three races as NUKA DEATHMARCH hasn’t been nearly as effective.
On top of those two goliaths we have two other G1 winners (BLAME MISCHIEF & DYNAMIC MAJESTY), 2 G2 winners (LONG WHITE SNOW & SUPER STORMS), & two G3 winners (MENSA TACTICS & STUCK KEYS) who join the rumble for the $3 million purse. Even the horses that don’t have the high end accolades are accomplished in their own right as every horse in this field has earned at least 250K through their career.
1. STUCK KEYS (25-1)
FALCO x LONHRO x DEHERE
He has a great story getting claimed back in September of last year for 40K and then was immediately entered the G3 Sing-A-Long Classic and romped to a 3 length victory. However, since that day we haven’t seen his best as the competition has steadily decreased and so have his performances. Running style would suggest he’ll be out in front but he’s suspect as to whether or not he can hold up against today’s rivals.
2. BIGGEST IMPACT (9-1)
DEEP IMPACT x SEEKING THE GOLD x PLEASANT COLONY
The other $5 million winner in this group, who at 6 year’s old best days may be behind him. He won the Breeder’s Bowl Classic back in November of 2017 but has been winless through 3 races in 2018. As with many of these he likes to come from way off the pace, I’m just not sure he still has enough kick to get up in this one.
3. HOLDOUTFORMORE (10-1)
CORINTHIAN x SAINT BALLADO x FORTY NINER
Since being gelded he’s won 3 listed stakes in a row including a Pennsylvania local championship. In all three victories he’s posted at least a 110 speed fig. This is his first crack at graded company and while he’s trending upward he has 13 pretty big hurdles in front of him. Deep closer that likes to sit about 10 lengths off the pace at second call. He’ll be movin’ and shakin’ late.
4. NUKA DEATHMARCH (8-1)
HUSSONET x DEPUTY MINISTER x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY
At only 4 years old and having earned $5,558,130 he’s seemingly still in the prime of his career. He didn’t run particularly well in his most recent race, but that was after posting a 121 speed fig in the Sand Castle Classic. I’d expect him to be sitting off the pace with the second pack of horses before he makes his big run.
5. LONG WHITE SNOW (7-1)
SIDNEY’S CANDY x SEATTLE SLEW x NUREYEV
G2 winner of the Gotta Fix the Sprinklers Classic back in July of 2017. He’s yet to get that elusive G1 victory but has placed ITM in the G1 Jockey Gold Cup & Breeder’s Bowl Classic. The drawback here is that he hasn’t won a race since that G2 victory so not really sure how much he has left in the tank. Running style suggests he’ll be off the pace from a good margin.
6. JUST FOR A GIANT (6-1)
GIANT’S CAUSEWAY x DISTORTED HUMOR x ENCOSTA DE LAGO (AUS)
Another who’s giving G1 company a crack for the first time and hasn’t been out of the money since March of 2017. Despite never running with graded company he comes into today’s race as the ML 6-1 favorite; needless to say the public is very high on this guy. He does sit off the pace as well, but has the ability to run closer than most in here.
7. SHINING ARMOR (9-1)
SMART STRIKE x NUREYEV x SECRETARIAT
He’s had a few attempts with G1 company and hasn’t finished better than 6th and while he’s run better in recent months I’m not so sure entering his 26th career race that this is the best spot for him. Past performances would suggest he’ll be off the pace with the closers.
8. WELL STRUCK (10-1)
POINT OF ENTRY x SMART STRIKE x SADLER’S WELLS
Finished 2nd in the G2 Jai Alai Handicap and won a listed in his most recent race along with a 115 speed fig. Gets a good bump up in competition here but will be closer to the lead than most in here so for that alone I’ll say he’s got a decent shot to upset here.
9. BLAME MISCHIEF (16-1)
BLAME x INTO MISCHIEF x KINGMAMBO
His claim to fame was his back to back G1 victories in the G1 Clerk of Scales Stakes and G1 Travelers Stakes from last year. Since then he’s struggled a bit with graded company landing only a 3rd place in the G2 Spurs Handicap out of 6 attempts with foes of the same caliber. He looks to do his best running when he can sit just off the pace, but even so I’m not so sure that he can sustain himself with that running style going 10 furlongs against a group like this.
10. DYNAMIC MAJESTY (13-1)
MAJESTIC WARRIOR x CURLIN x DYNAFORMER
His lone G1 victory came in the G1 Westard at UAE last year, but he fell off a bit after that. After posting a 118 in an allowance race last month, is he back? He wired that field pretty easily which considering his typical running style is a bit unorthodox of him and they went fast in that 9 furlong route. It’ll be interesting to see which tactics he uses coming into this one.
11. ON GOOD AUTHORITY (12-1)
MEDAGLIA D’ORO x STREET CRY x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY
Since being gelded in September last year his worst finish was a 2nd place finish in a Maiden 56k. He was a winner of 4 in a row (3 allowance & 1 listed stakes) before finishing 2nd by a neck in the G2 New Hampshire Handicap. I think his best races are still ahead of him, but he’s yet to win going 10 furlongs which leaves some question marks. There’s a theme to this race and its deep closers.
12. MENSA TACTICS (10-1)
SMART STRIKE x NUREYEV x KRIS S.
He ran in the Movieland Shiny Cup last year finishing a disappointing 11th by 9 lengths. He’s improved a bit since then and finished a game 3rd in the G1 Jockey Guild Gold Cup but will need his best in order to beat today’s foes. Another deep closer.
13. MY TWISTED LOVE (10-1)
AWESOME AGAIN x STORM CAT x KINGMAMBO
This 4 year old son of AWESOME AGAIN has a massive closing kick and showed it off in the Mountain Reef Dirt Route Stakes with a career best 117 speed fig. He makes a big jump to battle G1 foes for the first time and given the number of horses that don’t want the lead I’m not certain he gets any pace to run at late.
14. SUPER STORMS (10-1)
SUPER NINETY-NINE x FORTY NINER x STORM CAT
He’s a back to back G2 winner in his most recent winning the West Caster & Bertrando Handicap posting speed figs of 116 & 118. It looks as though he’s ready to make the jump to G1 company but the looming question is whether he’ll get the 10 furlong distance. He’s been a deep closer throughout his career which you guessed it… he will be coming from well off the pace in this one as well.
From what I reviewed I don’t think any horse in here wants the lead so this may turn into a case of the one who takes it will set a slow pace and run off with it.
COLUMNIST KISS OF DEATH:
1. DYNAMIC MAJESTY (13-1) – I liked the wire to wire victory in his most recent going 9 furlongs. Because he’s one of the only ones to show front end speed in recent months I’m going to go with him.
2. NUKA DEATHMARCH (8-1) – The class of the race and it wouldn’t surprise me in the least if he takes down this field.
3. JUST FOR A GIANT (6-1) – I’ll go ahead and throw him in the mix mostly because I don’t think he’s tied to a particular running style.