Being a freelancer, I hopped a plane & headed West young man, to the street car capitol of the World, San Francisco, for the G3 Felipe Alou Stakes.
After having to stop for a tour of Alcatraz, I headed to the track, to do some digging up of videos, past performances, and race times, doing some math on potential SP’s, race times, etc. and came out with a better perpective than when I came in.
Sunday, March 10, 2019 — 2:30:00 PM EST | Race ID : 2194786
Grade II / Group 2 Race Route Division Dirt Race 3 Year Old Race Race Open to All Sexes
Felipe Alou Stakes
Grade II / Group 2*CPU – Purse : $375,000
Restricted to 3 Year Olds
8.5 Furlongs | ~1700 Meters | One Mile and One Sixteenths Fast Dirt
1. FORD’S CREATIONS (17-1)
Looking over his past few races, makes me think this colt needs a break to mature and rest. His last 2 starts he has been in against a tougher class, but there isn’t much relief for him in this field. I think this horse will struggle to keep pace here.
2. ESKY IMPACT (17-1)
I think this colt is a fine colt, but would be better matched in an allowance race, where he can mature, get better SPs, and slowly develop in to a nice stakes horse for the summer. He too will be battling for the tail end of the group.
3. SERVE IN HONOR (12-1)
Flying through a 6F Maiden win at 1:10.83 & an SP of 88, and his 2nd race, an allowance race where he finished 2nd with a 92 SP, and a huge jump to 98 SP over 8F in 1:35.75 with a win. If he can make another step up like his last one, it’s not out of the question for him to completely shock the favorites in this 1.
4. EL ENCICLOPEDICO (11-1)
Watching this colt’s last race on video, his 10th place looks better than it does on paper. This is a chase horse, that simply ran out of room to chase the leaders, and weren’t as good as the deep closers that passed him. Unfortunately, he isn’t getting a class break here, in against a tough crowd.
5. UNCLE TAP TAPPY (9-1)
Looking over this horse’s past races, I can see this gelding has never raced further than 8F, and at 8F, the field was coming fast at him. Going 8.5 here, I wouldn’t expect a lot.
6. SNIPER’S VIEW (9-10)
In his last outing, this colt was 3rd in the G3 Risen Star, putting up a 102SP, and running 8.5F in 1:41.95, along with a 2nd 2 starts back over 8F in 1:35.76, making this a logical bottom ender in my Superfecta combo.
7. FORTY NINER CAUSE (8-1)
Breaking it’s Maiden 2 starts ago at 8.5F with a 97SP & breaking a 101 SP in his next outing in an allowance race, winning with ease, makes this horse a good bet for your $$ at 8-1 ML. If I could bet here, I’d want to ask the trainer if he is sharp, and if so, I’d be laying my Roll out! At least a minor piece!
8. BRITISH BRIGADE (5-1)
Oooh, White Lightning! Definitely a key player here. This Frankel colt has a win in a stakes race, and a 2nd place where he put up an impressive 103SP. This horse could be on his way to fame and Fortune! Key him with others.
9. DANCER’S CATS (14-1)
This colt has had some success in G3 before, but that was against a much easier field than he faces here. I can’t see this horse making it much further than 6th or 7th, but this is horse racing, and anything can happen on any given day!
10. ZOR EL (11-1)
This bay colt by Curlin is progressing very nice as a 3YO, and will definitely use this race as a testing ground, showing a 94 SP in a $75000 allowance race. He needs a bit of a jump to match strides with this group, however, as this will be his toughest match.
11. AWESOMELY SAINTLY (5-1)
First off, I’d like to say Well Done to PASOROBLES as a trainer for bringing this horse along in the same manner as a real trainer would. This horse was brought up through Maiden, allowances, small stakes, and bigger stakes are sure to follow. 1st in G3 at 9F in 1:48. I’m a longshots kind of guy, and this horse will probably keep me poor..lol.
12.DONOVAN’S DIAL (12-1)
I was very interested by this colt, as he showed a 6F stakes win, with a 93 SP. But after seeing his last race out, am completely shocked he didn’t end up with a better SP, where at the wire, he was coming back to the leaders. 8.5F will do this horse some good, but is still in tough here.
13. RACE A ANGEL (9-1)
This colt has the breeding, a 101 SP win in a stakes, and looks for another step up here if he wishes to get a piece. Others are faster, but could hit the bottom of your Superfectas.
14. ONE SCOTCH (25-1)
I am sad to say, but this colt will need more than 1 scotch to get pumped up for this race. Looking further, this horse needs a cheap allowance race, not a stakes. He will likely be last across the wire.
That’s the way I see ‘em!
My Superfecta wager would be as follows
My Live Longshot bet $20 WPS #7
Let’s hope something sticks, or it’ll be a boxcar ride home to Canada!