Mar 092019
 

The Rebel Yell

 

Track: Arkansas

Distance 8.5 Furlongs

Grade 3

Purse: $150,000

Track Conditions: Fast Dirt

Post Time: Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 2:00pm

 

Being a lover of the Oaklawn track in Arkansas I could not help but see that the Rebel was running in the Sim.  It brought to me a little disappointment to see that this is a G3 outing as in the real life Rebel at Oaklawn the race is a G2 race and a very important race on the road to the Kentucky Derby for those horses running in Arkansas that wish to pass up the G1, Arkansas Derby Lock Race to the derby for various reasons by their owners and trainers.  Knowing a little about the history, the Rebel Stakes was known as the Rebel Handicap and has run at one mile and one sixteenth for as long as I have known.  The Arkansas Derby at one time was a G2 race once upon a time too, and not a lock race to the Kentucky Derby, but I never knew of a winner that did not qualify.  As this race, The Rebel Yell Stakes in the Sim is basically a simulation of the Oaklawn, Rebel Stakes it concerns me it is not a G2 race with the same prominence, prestige and significance on the trail to the Kentucky Derby as it is in real life.  That concern has been voiced.  I have asked for a review to make this a G2 race in future years to coincide with the prominence and significance it has in real life racing at Oaklawn Park.  Also noted, this race in real life runs on a Saturday and not on Sunday as here in the Sim.  I have personally been in attendance for the real life Rebel Handicap multiple times.  But yet here in the Sim it is still a race to be looked at and considered, even with the lack of significance it should have here in the Sim.  The Post positions and the odds makers have selected their choices.  So let’s take a look how this field of fourteen nice colts match up for the running of the G3, The Rebel Yell.

 

 

 

Horse/Odds                                                       Owner                                  Jockey

 

1.  Star Fire Ted  6/1                                        royalbluer                           C Shoemaker

 

This Stakes Placing colt sired by Sea The Stars hit the triple digit speed mark in his last outing with a 103 going 8.5 furlongs in Michigan on 02/10/2019 in the Your Palaces Dirt Special.  He fought his way to 2nd in that race but 2 ¾ back at the wire.  He tries the same distance again in the Rebel.  He looks like he could go a longer distance, but if he can pull this off he put a new feather in his cap.

 

2.  Map Light Ted  10/1                                   puchase                               A Weldon

 

This Liam’s Map colt finds a nice mount to take the ride with him her in the Rebel.  He has only been off the boards once in 9 starts but comes into a big race taking a double jump in Class.  He will need to dig into his bag of tricks to prove a contender against this rough and tumble field.

 

3.  Firing Foo Flew  17/1                                 turfking32                           T Kavanagh

 

When you are listed as one of the long shots it never hurts to grab a good jockey, which he has.  This colt sired by Firing Lone is a Stakes winner which he proved to be in his last outing on 01/20/2019 in Maryland going 7.5 furlongs in the Polar Guy Dirt Special.  He nailed it down going wire to wire and opened it up down the stretch to a wider margin to win by 1 ¾ lengths.  He may have long odds today, but he could also contend in this field.

 

4.  Shamless Quality  11/1                             attalaq                                  H Desitter

 

This colt is a Shamardal scratch bred that comes in lightly races with only three career starts, but he has never missed the boards.  He has never run in a stakes race before and takes the dreaded double jump in Class.  His last outing was on 02/15/2019 in West Virginia of which he won that race going 8 furlongs and put away the field by getting up by 2 ¾ lengths.  He will need to find the fire to show he can contend on a short rest against this field.

 

5.  Before Time  10/1                                      5wide                                    J Selden

 

In his last outing this Gilded Time colt found disappointment in his first Graded attempt on 02/09/2019 in the G3, Risen Star Stakes.  He failed to fire and placed 8th over 6 lengths back and suffered his first time of not seeing a win on his resume.  He looks to redeem himself here in the Rebel going the same distance in another G3 attempt.

 

6.  Tinian  10/1                                                   buffalosteve2                    V Jennings

 

This Graded Place winner by Uncle Mo comes off some impressive career starts.  I kind of feel the odds are long on him for this outing in the Rebel.  He has never been off the boards in 5 career starts and does have a nice 3rd place finish back on 1007/2018 in Ontario in The Charcoal Breeder’s Cup.  He likes to close late from the middle or the back of the pack.  I look for him to challenge in the Rebel.

 

7.  Shy High Colorado  9/1                             xpansion1                           B Coates

 

This Irish bred sired by Galleo comes in after a run on 02/07/2019 where he ran in an Ireland Local $43,800 NW3L Allowance of which he took control after the third call to win by 2 ¾ lengths in his first transition to dirt of which he obviously took a liking to.  He will have to prove he can handle the travel from Ireland and that his last outing was not a fluke.  I take concern in the double jump in Class as well.

 

8.  Outback Cane  18/1                                   tulloch                                  Ma Scott

 

This Deep Impact colt found disappointment in his last outing on 02/02/2019 in the G3, The Scam of which he hit the wire 14th and last over 16 lengths back.  A dismal performance to say the least, but he is coming back for another try.  After that last outing the odds makers have not been kind to him and have taken note.  One bad performance happens from time to time, but he will have to prove he was just having an off day.

 

9.  Watch Him Go  11/1                                  steppingstone                   F Oxon

 

This Sea The Stars colt has never ran on dirt before and will make his first crack at it here in the Rebel.  He has only been off the boards once in 6 career starts, all which were on the Turf.  He has never ran in Stakes company before, never on dirt and never on American soil.  He has much to overcome to prove his worth as a contender here in trying to foil this field.

 

10. American Storm Cat  7/1                        ddkstables30                     J Drozd

 

Only off the boards once in five career starts, this American Pharoah colt has been hitting the triple digits hard.  He ran last in the G3, Risen Star Stakes on 02/09/2019 where he came in 4th back 3 lengths.   This may have been to his owner’s disappointment, but he continues to improve.  I look for this Stakes Placing colt to contend here in the Rebel.

 

11. Soopershaft  17/1                                     bargainbred1                     T Thomas

 

It would appear that his owner is still trying to find the sweet spot for this colt sired by Mineshaft.  He last ran in Minnesota on01/19/2019 going 9.5 furlongs in the Franco Invasion Dirt Route where he saw a little fade in the stretch.  He will need to find his legs here in competing in the Rebel

 

12. Truthwaythelife  8/1                                billzpaid2                             A Fairfield

 

Taking a double jump in Class this Arrocate colt won in his last outing on 02/22/2019 in Dubai in a 9 furlong race for $48,700 NW2L.  He is making a long travel to Arkansas to compete in what would appear a tough outing for him.  He has only been off the boards once in six career starts, but he will have much to prove as he faces this field.

 

13. Flew Too High  5/1                                    signals5                                                G Wendorff

 

On a Hot Streak winning his last three Allowance outings, this SchoolYard Dreams colt does have some stakes experience.  He hit the triple digit speed mark in his last Allowance outing in Maryland on 02/16/2019 in a $60,000 Open Allowance going 8.5 furlongs.  He tends to like coming off the pace and this outside post could not be what he favors.  He is a good horse with lots of potential.

 

14. Awesome Bling  22/1                               noredemption                  M Buck

 

Running successfully on both dirt and turf surfaces in his 9 career starts, this Too Much Bling colt gets nailed down by the morning line odds makers as their long shot in the Rebel.  The far outside post will probably not favor him.  It took 6 maiden starts to break his maiden and he has run in Texas exclusively throughout his entire career.  Stepping into unfamiliar ground and a double jump in Class will be much to overcome.  He has much to prove and improve up.

 

 

Good luck to all horses and all owners of this race.  Most importantly have fun!!!

 

 

Skippy’s Picks

 

1.  American Storm Cat:  Consistent speeds and has run in Graded company in his most recent outing

 

2.  Star Fired Ted:  Looks ready to step back up to Graded company.

 

3.  Outback Cane:  One bad outing does not a loser make.

 

 

Tarton’s Long Shot

 

 

Map Light Ted:  I am looking for something good here.  Time to step up and hit the boards on bring home money on exotic tickets.

 

 

 

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  3 Responses to “G3, The Rebel Yell draws a full field of fourteen colts going 8.5 furlongs in Arkansas”

  1. Watch Him Go is one for one on dirt. He might no be good enough on fast dirt, but if he’s gunning for the derby this is as good race as any.

    • Sorry, my error. I did not see that his last outing was on the dirt. Good luck to you and all contenders and never put a lot of stock in my handicapping. LOL :)

  2. The road to the Derby is a treacherous and sometimes controversial thing here in this fabulous game… one guess as to why this race is not as important as its real life counterpart is that ours is a global enterprise, whereas only recently can you win a race outside of North America (Dubai?) and earn points for the Kentucky Derby.

    My memory is too poor to remember all the details, but I believe the process here to be one of the 20 has evolved over the years, now landing on a stakes points system and a handful of ‘lock’ races (aka win and you’re in).

    Thanks for the write up! Would love to hear some tales from the real-life Rebels you’ve seen, as well.