Apr 122019
 

Front Runner (1)

PP: 2 – RUDHALL – 11/1

RUDHALL, sired by DROSSELMEYER (CRYPTOCLEARANCE), is running for the alibilane12 stable.  RUDHALL’s last run was an Open Allowance, a 9F dirt where RUDHALL finished 3rd posting a speed of 108.  Based on recent performances RUDHALL is projected to finish among the leaders in todays race.

 

Stalker (5)

PP: 5 – IT’S KARMA EIGHT – 24/1

IT’S KARMA EIGHT, sired by ORFEVRE (JPN) (ROCK HARD TEN), is running for the darkstars5 stable.  IT’S KARMA EIGHT’s last run was the ‘Summer Belle Dirt Mare Endurance’, a 11.5F dirt where IT’S KARMA EIGHT finished 4th posting a speed of 98.  Based on recent performances IT’S KARMA EIGHT is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

PP: 6 – ELUSIVE HANNAH – 9/2

ELUSIVE HANNAH, sired by ELUSIVE QUALITY (STORM CAT), is running for the james22 stable.  ELUSIVE HANNAH’s last run was the ‘Y. Cat Dirt Mare Sprint’, a 6.5F dirt where ELUSIVE HANNAH finished 1st posting a speed of 111.  Based on recent performances ELUSIVE HANNAH will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

PP: 7 – SMART TUNE – 3/1

SMART TUNE, sired by SMART STRIKE (UNBRIDLED’S SONG), is running for the harrylan1 stable.  SMART TUNE’s last run was the ‘Saturday At Noon Ii Dirt Mare Sprint’, a 7F dirt where SMART TUNE finished 1st posting a speed of 116.  Based on recent performances SMART TUNE is a favourite to finish at the front in todays race.

PP: 8 – ICE POWERS – 14/1

ICE POWERS, sired by POWER (GB) (MR. PROSPECTOR), is running for the darkstars3 stable.  ICE POWERS’s last run was a Conditional Allowance, a 6F poly where ICE POWERS finished 1st posting a speed of 89.  Based on recent performances ICE POWERS is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

PP: 10 – MALIBU VIXEN – 10/1

MALIBU VIXEN, sired by MALIBU MOON (DEPUTY MINISTER), is running for the wildcard stable.  MALIBU VIXEN’s last run was The David Flores’ (G2), a 6F dirt where MALIBU VIXEN finished 1st posting a speed of 111.  Based on recent performances MALIBU VIXEN is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

 

Closer (5)

PP: 1 – DOBLE FEA – 12/1

DOBLE FEA, sired by DISTORTED HUMOR (GIANT’S CAUSEWAY), is running for the champhaack stable.  DOBLE FEA’s last run was a Conditional Allowance, a 7F dirt where DOBLE FEA finished 1st posting a speed of 106.  Based on recent performances DOBLE FEA is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

PP: 3 – REBECCA’S PRIDE – 16/1

REBECCA’S PRIDE, sired by LION HEART (BAGO), is running for the radetzkybarn2 stable.  REBECCA’S PRIDE’s last run was a Conditional Allowance, a 7F dirt where REBECCA’S PRIDE finished 1st posting a speed of 103.  Based on recent performances REBECCA’S PRIDE is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

PP: 9 – JANEY JIM – 17/1

JANEY JIM, sired by JIMMY CREED (STORM CAT), is running for the matf stable.  JANEY JIM’s last run was an Open Allowance, a 6F dirt where JANEY JIM finished 3rd posting a speed of 95.  Based on recent performances JANEY JIM is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

PP: 11 – EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR – 9/2

EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, sired by WILL TAKE CHARGE (GIANT’S CAUSEWAY), is running for the mtkbpshaul stable.  EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR’s last run was the ‘Baby Nop Dirt Mare Special’, a 7F dirt where EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR finished 1st posting a speed of 112.  Based on recent performances EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR is projected to finish among the leaders in todays race.

PP: 12 – POR SU AUSENCIA – 9/1

POR SU AUSENCIA, sired by DISCREET CAT (RELAUNCH), is running for the ariannys15 stable.  POR SU AUSENCIA’s last run was the ‘Virginia Fod Dirt Mare Challenge’, a 5F dirt where POR SU AUSENCIA finished 1st posting a speed of 106.  Based on recent performances POR SU AUSENCIA will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

 

Deep Closer (1)

PP: 4 – SLEWPY’S TOWN – 9/1

SLEWPY’S TOWN, sired by SPEIGHTSTOWN (SEATTLE SLEW), is running for the gottwins stable.  SLEWPY’S TOWN’s last run was The David Flores’ (G2), a 6F dirt where SLEWPY’S TOWN finished 5th posting a speed of 105.  Based on recent performances SLEWPY’S TOWN will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

 

Analysis of Field

Expectations are that RUDHALL will be setting the pace on Saturday, as the only steady front runner in the field unless one of the stalkers decide to make an early push for the lead.  If RUDHALL can take the lead without too much of a challenge it may set her up to have a strong run as she looks to make a jump into the stakes class.

SMART TUNE is the favourite in tonights field, and comes in with the highest maximum speed and highest average speed figures.  Typically SMART TUNE likes to sit just off the pace, however she has shown the ability to jump out to a wire to wire victory as seen in her last run at the ‘Saturday At Noon Ii Dirt Mare Sprint’.  If RUDHALL doesn’t come out setting a fast enough pace I would not be surprised to see SMART TUNE jump out to the lead and make a push for her third straight win and first graded victory.

ELUSIVE HANNAH and MALIBU VIXEN are other stalkers to look out for, both are coming off stakes victories and have should be right on SMART TUNE’s tail.  MALIBU VIXEN is coming in with six straight wins, three at the stakes level including ‘ The David Flores’ (G3), and although her speed figures fall short of SMART TUNE, she had been improving in almost ever run.

EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR is coming in with the second best odds, and will be looking to emerge from the closers to push down the stretch.  The potential for a slower pace with the field limited in horses who will push for the early lead may work in EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR’s favour as she has performed best when able to keep the gap behind the leaders from growing too large with her last race’s comeback from five lengths behind the lead as the biggest gap she closed for the win.

If a bigger gap is set between the leaders and the closers, then POR SU AUSENCIA and SLEWPY’S TOWN are two closers to watch for, however they may not have the speed to catch SMART TUNE and would be more likely to be challenging for a top three finish if they are leading the charge from the back.

Eight of the twelve runners are coming into this race of wins in their last outings, and five are looking to make the jump directly from an Allowance race to Graded Stakes.  There looks to be a strong favourite in SMART TUNE, and most likely this will turn into a heated battle to see who follows SMART TUNE across the finish line unless someone can make a big jump on speed (or if SMART TUNE fails to show up).

BeerKeg’s Picks

Favourite – SMART TUNE
Wild Card – MALIBU VIXEN

Thanks for reading, comment below with your picks!

*Want a stakes race covered?  Comment below as far in advance as possible and I’ll try to cover it for you.

Views (136)

  3 Responses to “Fillies Streaking Through The Bed Of Flowers (GII)”

  1. Gran trabajo, Por su ausencia esta en excelente condiciones y espero una gran carrera por parte de ella.

  2. Enjoy wright ups…can surely do on all stakes and Graded races and helps to see where to go…good work!

  3. Nice write up! Thanks.