May 102019
 

Surrey-ENG - The Locksmith
Sunday, May 12, 2019 — 3:00:00 PM EST
8 Furlongs Yielding Turf - Restricted to 4 Year Olds and Older
Purse : $750,000

Front Runners

PP: 4 – CIDARIS – 8/1

CIDARIS, sired by DARCI BRAHMA (NZ) (MONSUN), is running for the fairhaven4 stable.  CIDARIS’s last run was the ‘To Die For Turf Mile’, a 8F turf where CIDARIS finished 3rd posting a speed of 110.  Based on recent performances CIDARIS will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

PP: 5 – YOUNGY’S MISCHIEF – 11/1

YOUNGY’S MISCHIEF, sired by PIVOTAL (CAERLEON), is running for the croissant stable.  YOUNGY’S MISCHIEF’s last run was a local allowance, a 8.5F dirt where YOUNGY’S MISCHIEF finished 4th posting a speed of 106.  Based on recent performances YOUNGY’S MISCHIEF will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

PP: 8 – OUTBACK ANGLER – 10/1

OUTBACK ANGLER, sired by CAPE CROSS (MONTJEU), is running for the outback10 stable.  OUTBACK ANGLER’s last run was the ‘Sydney Cup’ G1, a 10F turf where OUTBACK ANGLER finished 8th posting a speed of 107.  Based on recent performances OUTBACK ANGLER has a solid shot to finish among the leaders in todays race.

 

Stalker

PP: 2 – UNIQUE SOCIETY – 6/1

UNIQUE SOCIETY, sired by KING KAMEHAMEHA (SEA THE STARS), is running for the gcliffo18 stable.  UNIQUE SOCIETY’s last run was the ‘Intercontinental Trophy’ G3, a 8F turf where UNIQUE SOCIETY finished 1st posting a speed of 121.  Based on recent performances UNIQUE SOCIETY is projected to finish among the leaders in todays race.

 

Closers

PP: 3 – FARCE N – 12/1

FARCE N, sired by ARCH (FRANKEL (GB)), is running for the dtown stable.  FARCE N’s last run was the ‘Ye Ole Shopping Exchange’ G1, a 6F turf where FARCE N finished 3rd posting a speed of 107.  Based on recent performances FARCE N will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

PP: 6 – HAUT MONDE – 12/1

HAUT MONDE, sired by FRANKEL (GB) (MR. PROSPECTOR), is running for the round1 stable.  HAUT MONDE’s last run was the ‘The Blank Eddie’ G3, a 8F turf where HAUT MONDE finished 2nd posting a speed of 110.  Based on recent performances HAUT MONDE will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

PP: 7 – ASTAIRE’S RIVAL – 12/1

ASTAIRE’S RIVAL, sired by KITTEN’S JOY (DANEHILL DANCER), is running for the fager stable.  ASTAIRE’S RIVAL’s last run was the ‘Sand Castle Fee Duty’ G1, a 8.5F turf where ASTAIRE’S RIVAL finished 4th posting a speed of 116.  Based on recent performances ASTAIRE’S RIVAL will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

PP: 9 – OASIS FIRE – 11/1

OASIS FIRE, sired by OASIS DREAM (GB) (LION HEART), is running for the jonesstables7 stable.  OASIS FIRE’s last run was the ‘Sand Castle Fee Duty’ G1, a 8.5F turf where OASIS FIRE finished 8th posting a speed of 113.  Based on recent performances OASIS FIRE will likely be battling to finish towards the middle of the pack in todays race.

PP: 11 – THE LAST KING – 18/1

THE LAST KING, sired by KITTEN’S JOY (DANEHILL DANCER), is running for the kingscourt2 stable.  THE LAST KING’s last run was the ‘April Showers Cap’ G3, a 8F turf where THE LAST KING finished 2nd posting a speed of 116.  Based on recent performances THE LAST KING is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

PP: 13 – PHANTOM CADET – 29/1

PHANTOM CADET, sired by SEA THE STARS (MAKFI (GB)), is running for the cadetrx stable.  PHANTOM CADET’s last run was the ‘The Honey Bee Handicap’ G3, a 8.5F turf where PHANTOM CADET finished 10th posting a speed of 98.  Based on recent performances PHANTOM CADET is a long shot in todays race, likely to finish towards the back.

PP: 14 – EXPOSITORYPREACHIN – 11/1

EXPOSITORYPREACHIN, sired by TEOFILO (ROYAL ACADEMY), is running for the thewordstables3 stable.  EXPOSITORYPREACHIN’s last run was the ‘The Blank Eddie’ G3, a 8F turf where EXPOSITORYPREACHIN finished 3rd posting a speed of 109.  Based on recent performances EXPOSITORYPREACHIN has a solid shot to finish among the leaders in todays race.

 

Deep Closer

PP: 1 – ROGUE WON – 7/1

ROGUE WON, sired by DUNDEEL (NZ) (WOODMAN), is running for the monsterhigh3 stable.  ROGUE WON’s last run was the ‘Arcade Handicap’ G2, a 8F turf where ROGUE WON finished 2nd posting a speed of 115.  Based on recent performances ROGUE WON is a favourite to finish at the front in todays race.

PP: 10 – MUTANT POWERS – 7/1

MUTANT POWERS, sired by ENGLISH CHANNEL (TAPIT), is running for the sicko stable.  MUTANT POWERS’s last run was the ‘Sand Castle Fee Duty’ G1, a 8.5F turf where MUTANT POWERS finished 13th posting a speed of 104.  Based on recent performances MUTANT POWERS is projected to finish among the leaders in todays race.

PP: 12 – THREEBYFIVESACHARM – 8/1

THREEBYFIVESACHARM, sired by ZOUSTAR (AUS) (NUREYEV), is running for the foalhouse stable.  THREEBYFIVESACHARM’s last run was the ‘The Double M Memorial’ G2, a 9F turf where THREEBYFIVESACHARM finished 1st posting a speed of 119.  Based on recent performances THREEBYFIVESACHARM has a solid shot to finish among the leaders in todays race.

Analysis of Field

CIDARIS,  YOUNGY’S MISCHIEF, and OUTBACK ANGLER will be looking to jump to the lead out of the gates.  All three have pulled off Graded Stakes wire to wire victories through there careers, and whomever can pull out to the front out of the gates will be pushed to set a quick pace, and if they can maintain this into the stretch the rest of the field may be at risk of falling too far behind.  Of the three OUTBACK ANGLER would be my pick to lead the front runners.

UNIQUE SOCIETY is the favourite (from the oddsmakers) and will be expected to hold just off the pace and make a move into the stretch.  UNIQUE SOCIETY is coming off a career best speed (121) and will look to repeat, pulling ahead going into the stretch.

FARCE N, HAUT MONDE, ASTAIRE’S RIVAL, OASIS FIRE, THE LAST KING, PHANTOM CADET, and EXPOSITORYPREACHIN will all be looking to sit back from the leaders waiting to close down the stretch.  Of this group both ASTAIRE’S RIVAL and THE LAST KING are coming in with the best speed figures from their last races, however EXPOSITORYPREACHIN has had more consistency through his career and would be my pick to emerge as the leader of the closers coming into the stretch.

Sitting well off the lead will be the deep closers: ROGUE WON, MUTANT POWERS, and THREEBYFIVESACHARM.  All three are expected to close hard an challenge for the lead, being picked 2nd – 3rd – 4th by the oddsmakers.  THREEBYFIVESACHARM comes in just behind UNIQUE SOCIETY with the second highest career high for speed (119) in his last race, while ROGUE WON and MUTANT POWERS are first and third in posting consistently high speed figures with UNIQUE SOCIETY as the second in consistency.  There is a good chance this race will come down to UNIQUE SOCIETY leading down the stretch, attempting to hold off all three deep closers at the wire.

BeerKeg’s Picks

Favourite - UNIQUE SOCIETY
Wildcard - THE LAST KING

Thanks for reading, comment below with your picks!

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  One Response to “The Locksmith (G1) – Deep Closers Favoured on Yielding Turf Track”

  1. Thank you for the write-up. Rogue Won used the off-turf to his advantage and was able to pull out a victory over a good, deep field. First graded winner in the SIM for Dundeel. Your analysis was spot on as Outback Angler did get the lead and then it came down to the deep closers in Rogue Won and Threebyfivesacharm. I was fortunate to get the first jump and a favorable surface.