This Sunday at Ireland, the feature race of the day is the Tattersalls Gold Stakes, a Grade 1 battle for runners 4 years old and older at the unusual distance of 10.5 furlongs over the turf course.
There was a slight chance of wet weather in the forecast, but that storm front dodged the area. The turf course is listed as Firm.
Ten runners are entered, and all of these have at least placed in graded stakes while seven have wins.
OTTO ORLANDO (6/1) is the #5-ranked older female in the Long Turf division, and tries males here for just the 2nd time in her career. A 6yo daughter of Scat Daddy, this Kaner Stables trainee faded badly in the Grade I Japan Classic in her previous try vs. males, but that field was super-loaded and it was 12 furlongs. Draw a line through that? Maybe. Wet turf would have helped, but the Kaner rain-dance failed to work.
GREEN LIGHT GO GO (14/1) has been a fairly tough cookie in allowance races, but has just a pair of 3rd’s in 13 graded-stakes tries over his career. From the Graywolf6 stable group, he’s got a steep hill to climb with these.
MINOR INDULGENCE (7/1) is a 4yo son of Frankel who improved markedly after being gelded following his 3rd career start. The Canyongate Stables colorbearer won the Grade III Manatee Stakes to end his 3yo campaign and has three consecutive graded-stakes 3rd’s so far this year. Even a slight improvement from those will make him hard to deal with.
PREMATURE ARRIVAL (9/1) comes from the Aggs (Hmm, Lenny’s rabbit, perhaps?) racing group, specifically croissant1. A 5yo gelding by Darci Brahma, his form has slipped some since his front-running Grade I Coxless Stakes win late last year. Certainly will keep the pace honest, but he’s going to have a form reversal to make the podium with these guys…
THE BIGGEST DEAL (7/1) is a late-running 5yo son of Medaglia D’Oro who just might benefit from the added sixteenth-mile he faces here. Repping the MTK76 stable group, he has showed up only a little bit late for the party in a number of slightly shorter graded stakes races lately, and with a lot of solid speed figures. Not without a shot here.
BRUTAL LIE (9/2) comes off a sparkling win at today’s distance in last month’s Grade I The Good Day Stakes at Paris. For his efforts that day, the 5yo son of Kuji Fiseki earned a spectacular 121 speed rating. If trainer golfteam (Golfteam Stables) can coax that level of performance from him today, this guy will be extremely tough to beat. There is another even faster 120+ speed fig in this one’s record; I wonder how many have ever topped 120 twice (or more) in Sim history? While this one’s record is just six wins in 20 starts, he is almost always in the hunt.
INDEED HE NEEDS (6/1) races for bigmac of the LSUMark stable group. This 5yo son of Lonhro has just one graded-stakes win, the 2019 Grade II Kinsho Kho Classic, but he always seems to be closing well late and has several graded-stakes placings. Will need to have a huge day in order to have much success with this bunch. Odds are surpisingly low; maybe the CPU ‘cappers know something I don’t…
FINKE OMEO (10/1) tries to regain the excellent form he showed when running 3rd in three consecutive graded-stakes tries in late 2017. It’s been a long road since then, but the 5yo son of Sea The Stars seems to have made a bit of a comeback lately. Trained by iluka of Tulloch Racing, he’ll need to come up with a good bit more to compete successfully here.
SWILCAN BURN (5/1) followed three consecutive 2nd’s in graded stakes races with powerful runaway wins in the Grade II Kyota Handicap (120+) and her most recent run, the Grade I Sydney Cup. The 5yo son of Dubawi is trained to near-perfection by titleist (Balata Racing Stables), as illustrated by his ridiculous 1459 CPU value. Yikes!
YSGRAMOR (5/1) looks to match or beat his fine performance in winning the Grade II Buck Dharma Handicap back in January. A 5yo Dubawi gelding out of Lenny’s stable group, the fairhaven3 trainee has done his best racing at or very near today’s distance and it would be no huge surprise to see him right in the thick of things here.
I’ll go with SWILCAN BURN to get the very slight upset.
BRUTAL LIE is my place pick, and YSGRAMOR is my show choice.
Good luck all!