May 182019
 

GRADE 1 – THE COBBLER MILE

 

A very talented group of horses have gathered here in California for the G1 COBBLER MILE to be contested on Sunday, May 19th on a firm turf over the distance of 1 Mile (8 furlongs) or 1600 meters for the metric set.  The 14 runners will bust out of the gates at 3:00pm.

The Handicapper must have been having fits trying to separate the strengths of the runners in this field, as he has established the co-favorites at 7-1 odds and has all, but 1 entry packed in between there and 14-1.  In fact, the longest shot is only at 19-1 odds.

The field is made up of 8 graded stakes winners with 5 more listed winners and only 1 that has yet to win at the stakes level.  8 entries are mare bred with 5 scratch breds and 1 from a he-mare.  6 Four year olds, 7 Five year olds and 1 Six year old have been entered.  5 of the starers were bred in Kentucky, with 3 from England, 2 each from Japan and Ireland and 1 each from Australia and New York.

A LOOK AT THE POST PARADE:

1

PT’S CENTERVILLE

13-1 fetti50 22-6-4-2
JOHANNESBURG x RED RANSOM x ELUSIVE QUALITY

After switching over to the turf he won his first 3 starts with the last being the Hulk Car Turf Special last February.  Last 12 starts have all been turf miles.  Had a best SP# of 115 running 2nd in the G2 Sunny Mile.  Likes to run out in front in the early fractions.  Out of the allowance winning mare ROXY THE SECOND.  Recent form suggests that he would need a lifetime best effort.

2

BERRINCHE

19-1 pato7 12-4-3-1
EPIPHANEIA (JPN) x FLYING SPUR x SILVANO (GER)

The handicapper has tabbed him as the longest shot on the board.  The only entry in the field not to have a win at the stakes level.  Won last out in a NW4L allowance over a field of 5.  Has a best SP# of 112 two starts back.  The scratch bred has made 5 graded starts with a best finish of 2nd in the G1 French 2000 Guineas last May.  Likes to be out front with the early speed.

3

TELAMANUS

14-1 handshobby 20-8-4-2
OASIS DREAM (GB) x GHOSTZAPPER x EMPIRE MAKER

Out of the stakes placed mare NO DOUBT I’M FAST.  Last out finished 3rd in only graded start the G2 Bourbon Mile and one back set a SP# best of 118 while winning the Her Attack Turf Mile in only listed start.  Does not look for the early lead but keeps the leaders in his sights.  Could be involved in the stretch run if upward trend continues.

4

MARSELLUS

11-1 stoners 24-9-6-4
CITY ZIP x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY x DANZIG

Has won 6 out 14 starts since changing owners and settling on the turf.  Is based on the stakes winning he-mare WINNFIELD.  Closed out last season posting a 113 SP# running 2nd in the G2 Railweigh Stakes and one before that he won the G2 Challenger.  Has made 5 graded starts but this is the 1st G1.  This deep closer will come a running in the stretch.

5

THREATENING SIGNS

14-1 bigt123 18-5-3-3
GOLDEN TICKET x RAHY x MARIA’S MON

The scratch bred come in here off a 3rd in the G3 South Florida Mile in his 2nd graded start.  His last win was in September in a 52k Open Allowance.  Posted his best SP# of 113 running 2nd in the Refuse To Tango Turf Mile.  Has never been lower than 4th at the 1st call so will be on or near the early lead.  Won the Rockland Turf Mile last May.

6

JETNIKOFF

7-1 ladofmanor 22-9-4-2
SEPOY x MONTJEU x MR. PROSPECTOR

The lone 6 year old in the field is this multiple Graded Stakes winner that has posted 119 SP# in winning both the G1 Queen Sam and G2 Futility Stakes.  The scratch bred did not fare well in only start this year in the Emirates finishing 14th in the G1 Sand Castle Fee Duty.  Has had his best results with stalking type runs.  The handicapper has him as the ML co favorite.  Has shown the ability to get it done at this level.

7

GIVING DAVID LV

8-1 oldmoonfarms 21-8-3-4
LINE OF DAVID x POINT GIVEN x BROKEN VOW

The lone gelding in the field won his first 3 after the snip but only 1 out of his last 6. Finished 3rd here in the Cobbler Mile last year.  Put up a 119 SP# winning the Refuse To Tango Turf Mile in 2017.  Has made 5 graded starts gaining a 2nd in the 2018 G2 Arcade Handicap.  Was produced out of the allowance winning mare GIVING POINTS.  Will not let the early speed get too far out of his sights.

8

TEARDROP’S SECRET

10-1 trotking2 16-6-2-3
FASTNET ROCK (AUS) x NUREYEV x SECRETARIAT

Enters here on a 2 race win streak including last time out in the G3 South Florida Mile which was his first graded attempt.  The scratch bred has not missed the board in 4 starts so far this year.  Was the winner of the Third Offer Turf Mile.  Prefers to be mid pack in the early stages.  Recent results point to him being a player in the final straightaway.

9

FRIENDZONE JORAH

9-1 rickybobby 11-4-5-1
OASIS DREAM (GB) x NORTHERN METEOR x MONTJEU

This scratch bred has only missed the board once in his career back in his 2nd ever race.  Comes in off of a victory in the G2 Bourbon Mile.  Posted a blistering 121 SP# winning the Oh Black Water Turf Sprint gate to wire.  An all-out speed horse that wants to be out in the front.  With his top end speed you can not count him out of this one.

10

LAKE MOONLIGHT LV

7-1 bizalls 19-9-3-3
SNITZEL x MISWAKI x DANZIG

Was produced out of the Graded Stakes winning mare LAKE BEMIDJI and is her 3rd Graded winning offspring.  Handicapper has made him the ML co favorite.  Was the winner of the G2 Mile Championship and kicked a 119 SP# winning the G3 Cromson Bank.  Last 6 starts have all been graded turf miles.  Has won from both the front and mid pack.  Has pedigree and results to get the job done here.

11

PREACH FOR PROFIT

9-1 saluki2 22-8-5-1
FED BIZ x PULPIT x ENCOSTA DE LAGO (AUS)

The winner of last year’s running of the Cobbler Mile with his best SP# of 117 is back to defend his title which was his last victory. He was produced out of the allowance winning mare IN THE PULPIT and was her 2nd graded winner.  Has made last 9 starts as graded turf miles.  Has shown a variety of riding strategies so we will have to wait and see come raceday.

12

HOPE OF NATIONS

12-1 mtk76 1-7-2-2
GIANT’S CAUSEWAY x GALILEO (IRE) x KINGMAMBO

He was the 1st foal out of the Graded Stakes winning mare GUINEAS ROMP.  He is dropping back to the mile distance for this race.  He won the G2 Turf Invaders Stakes last July and posted his best SP# of 120 winning the Mia Then Back Turf Route.  His last 3 races have been here on the California Turf including last out winning a NW1n Allowance.  A definite high speed closer to be watched.

13

SHADY RAY

10-1 chilimac 12-4-3-2
SEA THE STARS x STORM CAT x SEEKING THE GOLD

Winner of the G2 Stepson and G3 Untouchable last year.  Has finished ITM in both starts this year with last out kicking a 117 SP# in the G1 Sand Castle Fee Duty running 3rd.  His last 9 starts have all been graded events.  He is out of the Graded Stakes winning mare GRAND ENTRY is her 5th graded winner.  Has provided his best results as a closer.

14

NAPLES LANE

8-1 given 14-6-5-0
MALIBU MOON x REDOUTTE’S CHOICE x KINGMAMBO

Has finish first or second in 8 of his 9 turf races with the other being a 4th place.  This will be his 1st graded attempt.  Talented early speed that has never not had the lead at 1st call on the turf.  In February popped a 120 SP# but finished in 2nd in the River Swell Turf Mile.  Was produced by Graded Stakes winning and former EOY mare WISTER ROAD.  First time in a full field of 14 horses.

Good Luck to all the connections……………………JB3

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