EWC New Yorker

The third and final leg of EWC’s Triple Crown will be run this weekend in New York.  Although we unfortunately do not have a runner trying for the coveted Triple Crown we do have 2 horses fighting it out for the first prize.  A quick recap of the first two races saw Not In Charge beat the filly Bridledini with Lamellar coming in 3^rd place.  The second race saw the result reversed with Bridledini beating Not In Charge and Flagship Killer.  Both these races were on rain affected tracks but the weather looks fine in New York this weekend and with the distance 12 F will we see the dominance of these 2 continue or will someone else grabbed the glory.  Let’s look at the field.

 

1.     Respect Is Earned  5/1  (owner Atthewire)   12 Starts 4-0-2

A colt by Arrogate is the first child from an allowance winning mare.  Never raced over 8.5F but has 10 starts over the route distance for 4 wins. Last start was a winner with his first start on the grass and before that ran second last in a Grade 3 over 8.5F.  This horse gets a start through a wildcard entry and is atthewires second choice for this race.  Buyer beware.

Not this time

2.     Bridledini  3/1   (owned by Millerfarm)   7 starts 3-3-0

A second in the Derby and a win in the Middle Jewel places this filly right in this up to her eyeballs.  Beautifully Scratch bred (BERNARDINI x UNBRIDLED x SECRETARIAT) her 2 runs in the series have been outstanding. Will be a fair way back when they straighten but has so far shown a huge turn of foot and should be once again going stride for stride with Not In Charge.

Whoever beats her wins

3.     Frosted Devil  39/1   (owner José)    8 Starts 0-1-1

A maiden by Frosted out of an allowance winning dam is having his 9th start and only his second start at anything over 8F.  Last start out was a Maiden Claimer over 7.5F on a rain affected track where he finished 4^th with a speed of 86.  Probably a little out of his depth here but you can’t win it if you’re not in it.

Not here

4.     Bluekin   20/1   (owner Denovo)   10 Starts 0-1-1

A maiden but a bit of a dark horse.  This Filly by Bluegrass Cat and out of a Group 2 winning mare has got starts in both the Derby and the Jewel and may not have handled the heavy tracks.  Her previous starts before that showed a horse that was showing improvement the further she went and the more mature she was becoming.  Is she up to these?

Has a lot going against her but don’t discard

5.     The Final Causeway   4/1   (owner Roxy)   4 Starts 2-2-0

This lightly raced filly by Giants Causeway out of a Stakes winning Group Placed Hemare,  makes her series debut. She is coming off a Group 3 where she stalked the leaders, hit the front but was run down at the finish.  Although she did hold her ground over the concluding stages of the Group 3 Her Hemare has never won over 9F so distance maybe an issue.

Interesting Runner bears thought

6.     Not In Charge   9/2   (owned by Neonshadow)   9 starts 3-3-0

A colt by Take Charge Indy out of an allowance winning dam is certainly one of the horses to beat.  Has relished running on rain affected tracks its last 2 starts.  Both of those were legs of the Triple Crown where he finished 1^st and 2^nd respectively but has also won in the dry.  Looks like he’s crying out for 12 F so distance shouldn’t be a problem. If there is plenty of speed up front he will be flying home again.

One of the main chances

7.     Be Like Walter   6/1   (owner Marky)   6 Starts 2-1-0

This scratch bred horse is by young gun sire Arrogate.  His last start was in the first race of this series the EWC Derby where he was far from disgraced finishing 7 ¼ Lengths 4^th.  He’s back for another go and will have the advantage of some extra rest.  He seems to get lost in the middle stages of his races but if he can fix that he might be able to give some of these a run for their money.

Watch betting

8.     Onrushing Wagon   30/1   (owned by crawf68)    3 starts 0-1-0

This Filly by Wheelaway out of an allowance winning dam Onrushing Flood is still a maiden.  This will be only her 4^th start and   everything in her breeding and dosage says she’s a sprinter, but her previous 3 starts have shown that the distance may not be a problem.  Will find these all a bit too good for her but a bold run wouldn’t surprise.

Wait till she is back to her own sex and class.

9.     Doctor Beeper   9/1    (owner Pmill3)      7 Starts 1-2-2

A newbie to the series, this scratch bred (BERNARDINI x TIZNOW x EMPIRE MAKER), has only the 1 win from seven starts and that was over 8.5F.  He has had a couple of starts over the 9.5F and although hasn’t won he has shown the ability to keep coming at them late.  His last start speed of 101 at that distance has been his best numbers so far.  Can he get the 12F?  We will know soon enough

If he improves on last run, a chance

10.    Lamellar   6/1    (owner Atthewire)   9 Starts  1-1-2

Another interesting runner.  Lamellar, a colt by Bodemeister out of a stake winning dam, has competed in both races this series.  In the Derby he finished a nice 3^rd before a disappointing 8^th in the Middle Jewel.  Has this one had enough?  One huge advantage for this horse is that his trainer has been on fire of late and if anyone can get this horse back on track its Casey.

Maybe too far and may have had enough

 

To sum up and without sticking my neck out too far,  I  believe this is a match race in two between Not In Charge and Bridledini.  Although there doesn’t look  to be a lot of pace out in front I do believe these two have the others covered.

My numbers will be  2-6-7

Roughie 4

 

 

 

 

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