Sep 132019

First, a quick recap of last week’s race, and I think it’s safe to say that when it comes to predicting these 2yo races, I don’t know anything.  That race began when Practical Clown and Young Free Single got out of the gate quickly, and the two of them set the pace early.  And frankly, things didn’t get all that interesting most of the way around.  It wasn’t until the stretch that Buzzed Baseball made his run from midpack to take on the pacesetters.  But Practical Clown ($27.20) dug in gamely and held off the late charge, wiring the field and winning by ½ length with a 90 SP.  Buzzed Baseball closed for 2nd, also earning a 90 SP, while Young Free Single hung on for 3rd (88 SP), just narrowly staying ahead of Curly’s Ghost, who just ran out of room at the wire.

This week, the Future Stars Series stays in Kentucky but heads over to the grass, where 11 colts will do battle in a NW3L Allowance at 8 furlongs.  The field is:

#1 – Faulconbridge (Sepoy x Montjeu x Dynaformer) – Owned by 2019mmassatoga – 13/1

Race Record: 6:2-1-1; $70,875

Capsule: Faulconbridge made his racing debut on January 24 with a 3rd place finish, and it wasn’t until his 3rd career race that he would break his maiden.  In that 3rd race, a 6.5f-T MSW on April 12, Faulconbridge broke towards the back early, but made a nice move late and drew off to win by 1-3/4 lengths, earning a 73 SP as the 5/1 third choice.  He cut back to 5.5f-T for his first allowance try, a NW1x, but caught a 3 horse field (plus 1 CPU horse) and easily cruised to victory at 2/5.  From there, he made a big leap into stakes company, first trying a G2 at 5.5f-T but finishing 7th, and then most recently trying a 6.5f-T stakes where he sat midpack early and picked off tiring horses in finishing 4th.  This will be Faulconbridge’s first attempt at routing.  Faulconbridge is a scratch-bred son of Sepoy, out of a Montjeu mare.  Sepoy ($11,000), the #41 ranked Australian sire in 2019 and the #92 ranked European sire in 2018, was a multiple G1 winning turf sprinter and champion 2yo and 3yo in Australia on the track.  In the sim, his 2018 sim crop currently ranks #50 overall, with 93 winners from 128 runners to date.  That crop is his first crop to not yet include a stakes winner, but what he lacked in 2018, he has made up for in 2019.  The 2019 crop, which only includes 40 winners from 90 runners to date, already has 5 stakes winners and 3 graded stakes winners, among them being Saucy Reign, the #3 ranked 2yo female turf sprinter thus far.  It shouldn’t be much of a surprise that his 2019 foals have been strong early, as his sim foals are largely turf sprinters (65% of earnings on turf, 62% in sprints), and his sim AWD of 6.82 is on par with his real world AWD of 7.29.  The Sepoy x Montjeu cross has been used 22 times in the past 5 years in the sim, with 18 winners and 3 stakes winners (2 graded) among them.  The horses have a heavy turf preference, and the Montjeu bloodlines seem to add some stamina to the usually sprint-heavy Sepoy (in fact, both graded stakes winners are turf routers).  Faulconbridge (DI: 0.92, CD: 0.04) will hope to get that distance as well as he gets some class relief today, but he’ll need to take a step forward to do it.

Watch Level: Medium

#2 – Secret Spirit (Awesome Again x Ophidian Sky [Danzig x Gone West]) – Owned by tigereyes – 9/1

Race Record: 3:2-1-0; $77,940

Capsule: Secret Spirit made his debut on January 16 on the dirt, where he ran 2nd in a slow race, so rather than move forward from that, he took some time off.  He came back to the track on June 2 in a 6.5f turf MSW and showed that the break was worthwhile.  After breaking midpack early, he made a move at the start of the turn, picking off horses one-by-one until he got to the front, where he went on to win by 1-1/2 lengths with a career-high 76 SP.  Secret Spirit took on NW2L company next time out, at 7.5f-T, and in the field of 5 he was left sitting just off the pace early, but after that pacesetter tired Secret Spirit took it over and then held off a late charge to win by a head, with a 75 SP.  But it’s not the race history of Secret Spirit that makes him the most promising colt in this field; it’s his pedigree.  Secret Spirit is by Awesome Again, and is the 15th foal from 19yo mare Ophidian Sky.  Awesome Again, the 1998 Breeders Cup Classic winner and Canadian Hall of Famer, was the #50 ranked US sire in 2018.  His sim foals, however, has been much better, as the 2018 class currently ranks #9 overall, with 141 winners from 180 runners to date, and the 2019 crop currently ranks #5 overall, with 69 winners from 161 runners to date.  Awesome Again is typically a dirt route sire, with 68% of earnings coming on dirt and 67% in routes, and his 7.86 sim AWD lines up with his real life 7.43f AWD.  The 2018 class includes 17 stakes winners to date, with 5 of those taking home graded honors, including My Awesome King, the Sim Eclipse Award 2yo Turf Colt of the Year.  Ophidian Sky won 4 of her 26 career races, and was a G2-placed turf miler.  But what she did on the track is nothing compared to what she’s done in the breeding shed.  Of her 14 previous foals, she has 2 G1-winning millionaires, a G3 winner, 2 more stakes winners, and 4 more stakes placed horses (so in total, 9 of her previous 14 foals are stakes-caliber horses).  The 3 graded winners are all turf runners of varying distances, as are the vast majority of her foals, though she has thrown a couple of dirt stakes-caliber horses as well.  The Awesome Again x Danzig cross has produced 20 foals over the past 5 years in the sim, with 17 of those earning wins (and 4 stakes winners in the group).  The foals are almost exclusively dirt runners with a preference for sprinting, and thus far Secret Spirit is really the only exception to that.  Based on that, it’s no surprise that Secret Spirit (DI: 2.67, CD: 0.61) debuted on dirt, but we’ll see whether his female bloodlines take over and push him to today’s distance.  If they do, he’s a force to be reckoned with in the future.

Watch Level: High

#3 – Street Kirby (Carpe Diem x Any Given Kirby [Any Given Saturday x Street Cry]) – Owned by bottlecollector – 13/1

Race Record: 3:2-0-0; $45,420

Capsule: Street Kirby had the latest debut in the field, on July 22 in a 5.5f turf MSW.  In that race, Street Kirby sat midpack early, 3 lengths back, but made a big move late and got up for the win by ¾ length, earning a 72 SP.  He came back 2 weeks later and cut back to 5 furlongs against a field of 3 (plus 1 CPU horse) and led the entire way, ¼ length clear at the wire.  From there, Street Kirby came back after another 2 week break, this time mixing things up by stretching out to 8 furlongs and jumping to the dirt.  The race was a failed effort, finishing 7th, though he earned a career high SP, which suggests that he might take to the 8f distance once he gets back onto the turf.  Street Kirby is a son of Carpe Diem, and is the 8th foal from 12yo mare Any Given Kirby.  Carpe Diem ($25,000) was a multiple G1-winning dirt router (8.5-9f) on the track, and is currently the #9 ranked first-crop sire in the US, with 7 winners out of 28 runners thus far.  In the sim, Carpe Diem’s 2018 crop currently ranks #43 overall, with 92 winners out of 123 runners (the 2019 crop is currently ranked #87, with 28 winners from 77 runners).  6 of those 2018 winners have found stakes success, but none as of yet are graded stakes winners.  Carpe Diem’s sim foals have a strong dirt preference (69% of earnings on dirt), while also showing a slight preference for sprinting (56% of earnings in sprints).  His sim AWD of 7.27 also suggests a slight sprinting preference, but a number of the foals also have the ability to route, and and all 4 of Carpe Diem’s sim graded stakes winners are routers.  Any Given Kirby won 6 of her 34 career races, mostly at the allowance level, and mixed up the types of races that she won, though most of those races were in turf routes.  Her foals, however, have not been all that impressive.  None of her previous 7 foals have won at the non-hot, non-local allowance level, meaning that Street Kirby is already the most successful of Any Given Kirby’s foals.  None of her foals have cracked the 100 SP barrier.  Most of the foals have earned their wins while sprinting, with a mix of turf sprinters and dirt sprinters.  The Carpe Diem x Any Given Saturday cross also has a sprinting preference.  There have been 7 foals with the Carpe Diem x Any Given Saturday cross in the sim, 6 of whom have won a race (4 allowance winners), and although none are stakes winners, 1 of those is a 3-time stakes placed dirt sprinter.  Most of the foals sharing that cross have been dirt runners (69 dirt races vs. 8 turf races).  Street Kirby (DI: 1.80, CD: 0.36) might be able to get today’s distance, but it will largely depend on whether he can use the turf to his advantage, and it remains to be seen if he’ll be able to do so or if he’ll need to stick with sprinting.

Watch Level: Medium

#4 – Rally Again (Awesome Again x Rally Cat [Storm Cat x Seattle Slew]) – Owned by shiekabner – 4/1 (f)

Race Record: 3:2-0-1; $72,940

Capsule: Rally Again made his debut on May 27 and popped a massive race.  Breaking in a bunch that was forwardly placed in a 6f-T MSW, he was finally able to settle and find some running room, allowing him to grab the lead in the far turn and then dig in gamely to win by ¼ length, earning a career-high 80 SP at 9/5 odds.  The race was strong enough for Rally Again to enter an ESR residency-restricted stakes race, and he held his own there, sitting midpack early and then moving up late, picking up a stakes placing by finishing 3rd in the 6.5f-T stakes, with a 79 SP.  He received some class relief last time out and went back down to the NW2L level as he stretched out to 7f-T, and there he sat midpack early before making a very late run and just getting up in time to win by a head with an 80 SP.  Rally Again will continue to stretch out here as he tries the mile for the first time.  Rally Again is a son of Awesome Again, and is the 14th foal from 18yo stakes-winning mare Rally Cat.  See Secret Spirit above for information about Awesome Again.  Rally Cat was a solid turf router who won 10 of her 32 career races, including a stakes win at 9.5f.  She has carried that ability into the breeding shed, as 7 of her first 13 foals are stakes winners, including 1 graded stakes winner and 1 graded stakes placed horse.  The graded stakes winner, 4yo Grannyibakeduacake (Pioneerof The Nile), did so in a dirt mile G3 in 2018.  The foals are a mishmash of turf runners, dirt runners, routers and sprinters, indicating that the sire may have a say in how the foals do.  And when it comes to the Awesome Again x Storm Cat cross in the sim, that preference looks like it may be dirt sprinting.  The cross has produced 55 runners over the past 5 years, of which 46 have won and 8 are stakes winners.  The bulk of the foals are dirt sprinters, but when it comes to quality, all 5 of the graded stakes winners have done so in dirt routers (one also won a graded stakes dirt sprint).  Rally Again (DI: 3.00, CD: 0.72) looks like he should be able to get this distance and surface, and he’s a strong contender today, but one has to wonder if he may be even better on the dirt in the future.

Watch Level: High

#5 – U S Navy Spirit (U S Navy Flag x Spirit of the Surf [Invincible Spirit (IRE) x Shirley Heights]) – Owned by secondchance – 9/1

Race Record: 3:2-0-1; $54,900

Capsule: U S Navy Spirit made his debut on April 12 in a 4.5f turf MSW and finished a close 3rd.  But he comes into this race off of 2 consecutive wins.  The first came in a 5f-T MSW in his second race, where he led the field of 10 the entire race and held on late to win by a head.  U S Navy Spirit came back about 2 months later in a field of 4 in a 5f-T NW1x allowance, and there he sat close to the lead before grabbing it late and drawing off to win by 1 length, with a career-high 76 SP.  He’ll take a huge leap in distance today and he leaves Iowa for the first time for this 8 furlong test.  U S Navy Spirit is the 2nd foal from 6yo mare Spirit of the Surf, and is by U S Navy Flag.  U S Navy Flag ($25,000) may have a US-based name, but he did his running in Europe, where he was a multiple G1-winning turf sprinter and European Champion 2yo before retiring and entering stud this year.   In the sim, his freshman 2019 crop currently ranks #22 overall, with 21 winners from 69 runners.  3 of those runners are already stakes winners, a great sign of things to come.  The foals are almost exclusively turf sprinters, but we’ll see if that changes at all as more foals are able to try routing or the dirt.  Spirit of the Surf was a stakes placed turf sprinter who won 5 of her 26 career races.  She specialized in short sprints, with her wins all coming in the 4.5-5.5f range.  Her first foal, however, has shown a lot of stamina, and picked up her only win thus far in a 10f turf MSW.  U S Navy Spirit (DI: 0.83, CD: -0.14) will hope that the same applies to him as he tries routing here today.

Watch Level: 9.78

#6 – Igneous Pinch (Falvelon (AUS) x Formanov [Dynaformer x Romanov (IRE)]) – Owned by nwo4life42 – 17/1

Race Record: 11:2-2-2; $63,940

Capsule: Igneous Pinch is the veteran of this field, having already raced 11 times since he debuted on January 8.  He broke his maiden in his 2nd start, at 4.5f on the turf (his first turf try), where he broke with a few others out front but outdueled them at 10/1, winning by ¼ length.  It would take another 7 starts, bouncing back and forth between turf and dirt, before he finally picked up his 2nd win, again at 4.5f on the turf, this time in a NW1x in a field of 6.  In that race, he had the lead the entire way, winning by ¾ length.  Igneous Pinch has been stretched out in his last 2 races, and comes into today’s race off of a well-beaten 5th at 8f-T, where he tired after dueling the pace early but earned a career high 77 SP.  Igneous Pinch is the 6th foal from 15yo mare Formanov, and is by Falvelon.  Falvelon, the #92 ranked Australian sire in 2019, was an excellent turf sprinter on the track and has produced similar runners in the breeding shed.  In the sim, he has not been used nearly as much as in real life, and his 2018 crop contains only 3 runners to date (1 winner), ranking #3,185 overall.  The 2019 crop thus far has 2 winners from 4 winners, and is Falvelon’s highest ranked crop at the moment, at #732.  Throughout sim history, he has only sired 2 stakes winners (and no graded winners), one from 2013 and one from 2009.  Falvelon’s sim horses are mostly sprinters (79% of earnings in sprints; sim AWD of 6.2), and only 1 of his 43 runners in the past 5 years have won in routes.  Surface wise, however, they are pretty evenly split between turf and dirt.  Formanov was never much of a runner, with 4 wins in 49 career starts, all at the claiming level.  She was a turf runner who did her best racing in turf routes.  Unfortunately, she hasn’t produced much in the breeding shed either; only one of her 5 previous foals is an allowance winner (which was in a dirt sprint, even though the horse spent most of his career in long distance turf races).  But to the extent that they do run, they are largely turf routers.  Igneous Pinch (DI: 1.00, CD: 0.00) will hope that he too can take to longer distances, but his pedigree and recent races both suggest that this race might be too far for him.

Watch Level: Low

#7 – It’s No Sin (Kodiac (GB) x Feel The Draft [More Than Ready x Seattle Slew]) – Owned by ashokfarms8 – 5/1

Race Record: 2:2-0-0; $59,580

Capsule: It’s No Sin comes in as the most lightly raced horse in the field, but that doesn’t mean he lacks talent.  He made his debut on June 11 in a 5f-T MSW facing off against a field of 8, and he dueled for the lead early before grabbing it and pulling away to win by 1 length, earning a 70 SP as the 4/5 favorite.  He was made a 4/5 favorite again in his 2nd race, a 5f-T NW1x in a field of 4, and none of his competition stood much of a chance against him.  It’s No Sin sat just off the pacesetter, but as they hit the stretch It’s No Sin took over, blowing out the competition with a 2-1/4 length win and earning a career-high 78 SP.  It’s No Sin is the 5th foal from 17yo mare Feel The Draft, and is out of the sire Kodiac.  Kodiac ($65,000), the #10 ranked European sire of 2018, is primarily a sprint sire in real life (which is also where he did his best racing).  In the sim, Kodiac is also a heavy turf sprint sire, with 65% of earnings coming in sprints and 69% on the turf and his sim AWD of 7.00 is close to his real world 6.75 AWD.  Kodiac’s 2 most recent crops are his best to date, as the 2018 crop ranks #87 thus far with 66 winners from 91 runners, and the 2019 crop ranks #73 overall with 20 winners from 55 runners.  The 2018 crop includes 8 stakes winners (2 graded), and the 2019 crop includes Street Kodiac, currently the #9 ranked 2yo male turf sprinter, who won The Future-G2 (7f-T) in his most recent start.  Feel The Draft won 5 of her 41 career races, but they were all at the claiming level.  She primarily raced in turf routes, and has passed down that turf ability to her foals.  Two of her first 4 foals have picked up allowance-level wins, and 3 of the 4 are turf sprinters (the fourth is a router who has done well on both turf and dirt).  The biggest question mark for It’s No Sin (DI: 2.56, CD: 0.75) here is the distance, as it’s a huge jump from 5 furlongs to 8, and the pedigree puts today’s distance in question.  But today will be the first real test that he has faced, and it will be good to see how It’s No Sin handles the race.

Watch Level: High

#8 – Genocide II (Muhaarar (GB) x Genocide [A.P. Indy x Fusaichi Pegasus]) – Owned by theranch – 12/1

Race Record: 4:2-0-0; $79,596

Capsule: Genocide II made a dull debut at 6f on the turf on February 16, where he never showed much interest and finished 9th.  However, he came back 2 months later at 6.5f-T and demonstrated that he just needed a race.  There, Genocide II lead from the first jump and saw his lead expand as the race went on.  He eventually crossed the finish line 2 lengths in front, earning a 73 SP.  He repeated that exact performance in a URC residency-restricted allowance next time out, winning by ¼ length, but comes into this race off of a bit of a down race at 7.5f-T, where Genocide dueled for the lead early but ran out of gas, finishing 5th (of 6), 8-1/4 lengths behind the winner.  The upshot is that even in defeat, he earned a career-high 74 SP, and the horse that won that race would go on to a G3 attempt next time out (though that horse was a well-beaten 9th).  Genocide II gets his name from his dam, 14yo mare Genocide, and he is the 9th foal from her (but first from sire Muhaarar).  Genocide (the mare) was bred to run all day, but ended up as a dirt sprinter, with 3 wins in 28 career starts.  It was a bit of a disappointing career, as she only broke the 100 SP barrier once, but what may be even more disappointing is that none of her foals have exceeded her exploits on the track.  Only 2 of her previous 8 foals have won at the non-local, non-hot allowance level, though both of those foals are stakes placed in short-field stakes races).  Almost all of those foals are dirt runners, and most have seen their fastest speeds come in routes, though most of the wins are sprinting.  Muhaarar ($30,000), a multiple G1-winning turf sprinter, has his first foals hitting the track in the real world this year, and he is currently the #14 ranked first crop European sire.  In the sim, his 2018 crop currently ranks #71 overall, with 84 winners from 105 runners to date, and his 2019 crop is #52 with 28 winners from 78 runners.  The 2018 crop includes 9 stakes winners, one of which has found a graded stakes victory, and that horse is a turf miler.  However, most of Muhaarar’s sim foals have a strong preference for turf sprinting, with 79% of earnings on turf and 71% in sprints, and his sim AWD of 6.75 is pretty similar to his current real world AWD of 6.24.  Genocide II (DI: 2.33, CD: 0.55) will try to reverse the trend of his dam’s progeny, and the sire could help, but he’ll need to bounce back from his last race to get the job done today.

Watch Level: Medium

#9 – Personality Hack (Honor Code x Gone West x Broad Brush) – Owned by whitewalker – 7/1

Race Record: 5:2-1-1; $67,650

Capsule: Personality Hack made his debut on March 20 on the dirt where he set the pace at 6f and finished 3rd, but that was enough of a warmup to boost his stamina for his 2nd start, at 6.5f on the good dirt.  In that race, Personality Hack set the pace and opened up a 2 length lead, and that opening enabled him to coast to a 1 length victory, earning a 72 SP.  After a 2nd place finish at 6.5f, Personality Hack picked up his 2nd career win at 7f on the dirt in a field of 4.  The lone pace, he opened up almost 6 lengths on the field and no other horse had a chance to catch him, as he won by 2.  Most recently, he tried stakes company for the first time in his first routing attempt, at 8f on the dirt, and he changed up his running style in that one but was unsuccessful in doing so, earning a career high 81 SP but fading and finishing 4th, 5-1/2 lengths back.  Personality Hack is a scratch-bred son of Honor Code, out of a Gone West mare.  Honor Code ($40,000), winner of the 2015 Met Mile (8f) and Whitney Handicap (9f) is currently the #28 ranked first crop sire in the US, with 3 winners from 19 runners thus far.  In the sim, he has had some more experience, and his 2018 crop currently ranks #39, with 127 runners and 90 winners to date.  The 2019 crop is even better and currently ranks #6 overall, as 37 of the 99 runners have won and 3 are stakes winners.  The 2018 crop has 4 stakes winners to date, including 2 graded stakes winners in dirt routes.  Honor Code’s sim progeny have a strong preference for dirt, with 81% of earnings on the main track.  His foals thus far seem to slightly prefer routes (54% in routes) and get better with distance as they age, and his sim AWD of 7.66 is likely to grow as more of his foals are able to start routing.  The Honor Code x Gone West cross has been used 14 times in the sim, producing 12 winners, 7 of them at the allowance level (and 1 stakes winner).  That stakes winner came in a dirt route, although the foals appear to be primarily dirt sprinters (at least for now).  They do have a heavy dirt preference.  Personality Hack (DI: 3.22, CD: 0.71) will shift to the sod for the first time in today’s race, and his pedigree suggests he might be able to get today’s distance, but this is a lot of “new” so it’ll be interesting to see how Personality Hack handles today’s race.

Watch Level: Medium

#10 – Terror In The Barn (Sepoy x Sea of Terror [Sea The Stars x Monsun]) – Owned by achmed – 6/1

Race Record: 3:2-1-0; $53,670

Capsule: Terror In The Barn began his career on April 27 in a 5.5f turf MSW.  In that race, he broke towards the back of the 10 horse field, but made a solid move at the top of the stretch and got up to win by ½ length as the 3/1 favorite.  From there, he tried 5.5f-T again, this time at the NW1x level, and followed the same strategy, but came up ½ length short, finishing 2nd (the winner would go on to run 9th in a G2 next time out, before taking an allowance with an 84 SP).  Since he ran out of running room in that race, Terror In The Barn was stretched out to 7.5f-T for his most recent race, a NW2L allowance, where he proved that distance won’t be a problem for him.  In that race, Terror In The Barn broke last of 11 but came flying late and crushed the field, winning by 1-3/4 lengths an earning a career-high (and field-high) 85 SP.  Terror In The Barn is by Sepoy, and is the lone foal from 6yo he-mare Sea of Terror.  See Faulconbridge above for a description of the sire, Sepoy.  Sea of Terror won 8 of his 33 career starts, with 5 of those at the allowance level and 1 WEC residency-restricted stakes win (in a field of 4).  That win came in a 10 furlong Polytrack race, but while Sea of Terror ran well on polytrack, he actually looked the best when on the turf.  He won races anywhere from 6f to 9.5f on the turf, though his strongest races came in the 8-8.5f range.  The Sepoy x Sea The Stars cross has been used 12 times over the past 5 years in the sim, with 10 winners (6 allowance) and 1 graded stakes winner among them.  That graded stakes winner is a turf sprinter, and most of the foals have been most successful sprinting, though a fair number have been dirt runners rather than turf runners.  Terror In The Barn (DI: 1.25, CD: 0.17) has been running like a terror in the barn recently, and today’s distance shouldn’t be a problem, so look for him to come on late and fast.

Watch Level: High

#11 – Egyptian Lynx (Cairo Prince x Bastet’s Tears [Street Cry x Storm Cat]) – Owned by giantputz2 – 5/1

Race Record: 3:2-0-0; $50,400

Capsule: Egyptian Lynx looked like a monster out of the gate.  He debuted at 5.5f on the turf on May 6, where he went off as the 2/1 second choice and dueled for the lead early, sitting a half length back, but he was able to take over the lead at the top of the stretch and held on to win by ¼ length, with a 75 SP.  From there, he stretched out to 6.5f-T in a NW2L and walloped a field of 6, setting the pace the entire way and cruising to a 1-3/4 length victory, earning a career high 83 SP (2nd and 3rd came back to run 2nd and 1st in their own allowance races next time out, both earning 82-83 SPs).  Egyptian Lynx took the leap from there and opted for a 6f-T stakes race in his most recent run.  This time, he couldn’t quite get to the front early and stalked the pace, racing relatively evenly throughout and ultimately finishing 6th.  He stretches out here to try routes for the first time.  Egyptian Lynx is a son of Cairo Prince, and is the 4th foal from 7yo mare Bastet’s Tears.  Cairo Prince ($25,000), a multiple graded stakes winning miler, was the #3 ranked freshman US sire in 2018.  In the sim, Cairo Prince’s 2018 crop currently ranks a career high #57 overall (the 2019 crop is closer to his standard ranking, at #200).  The 2018 crop contains 107 runners, of which 78 have won, and the reason for the high ranking is his 8 stakes winners and 2 graded stakes winners (his only 2 graded stakes winners to date), including G1-winning Revitalization, who won the Los Vinegrette Stakes-G1 at 8f on dirt and was 2nd in the Chestnut Stakes-G1.  Cairo Prince’s sim foals are largely dirt sprinters (75% of earnings on dirt, 65% in sprints), and his sim AWD of 6.84 almost exactly matches his real world 6.81 AWD. Bastet’s Tears won 3 of her 18 career races, all on the turf, and was multiple stakes placed in her career.  Her best effort came in a 3rd place finish in The Hot Springs-G3 (8.5f-T) as a 3yo, a distance where she did her best running.  Her 3 previous foals are all allowance winners already, with 2 of the 3 being turf runners and 2 of the 3 being sprinters.  The Cairo Prince x Street Cry cross has produced 3 allowance winners out of 4 runners to date in the sim, with most of the starts and wins coming on the turf.  Egyptian Lynx (DI: 11.00, CD: 1.17) has the pedigree of an excellent sprinter, but we’ll see today if he can stretch beyond any distance limitations and get the job done today.

Watch Level: High

That’s the field for this NW3L allowance.  And like I said at the top…I’m terrible at predicting these races.  The pace looks like it’ll be hot, but I have no idea who’s gonna win.  So I’m gonna go with (1) Terror In The Barn, (2) Rally Again, and (3) It’s No Sin.  Good luck!

Other Races To Watch This Weekend:

1)      Virginia – Alw NW3L @ 8f-T (Fillies) (Division 1) (Division 2)

2)      Kentucky – Allowance @ 8f (Fillies)

3)      Florida – Alw NW3L @ 7f

4)      Louisiana – Alw NW2L @ 8.5f-T

5)      California – Alw NW2L @ 6f

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  2 Responses to “Future Stars Series – 11 Colts Set Themselves Up For The Breeders Bowl Juvy Turf In A NW3L Kentucky Allowance”

  1. Thanks for the great writeup…thumbs up!

  2. I love the future stars series as it points out many who are about to make a name for themselves. This edition was well researched and well written. Thanks Shaggy you are the man!