Sep 202019

Fourteen juvenile fillies are looking to punch their tickets to Breeders’ Bowl Juvenile Filly Turf with a run in the Grade One Filly Grand Prix in Surrey. The one mile race will give out valuable route points to the top three finishers and conceivably all three could make it to the big race with those points. Three of the fillies in this race are already graded stakes winners, including Just a Wasp who already has the points to make the Breeders’ Bowl after winning a different one mile grade one. Let’s take a look at the field.


#1 Vera Rubin 8/1


Vera Rubin took three tries to break her maiden but the daughter of Galileo began her career in February and ran three times in three months (although she did have about a seven week break between her first two races). She did break her maiden in April going five furlongs against Irish breds and she followed it up with a five and one half furlong listed win. Her most recent start saw her finish twelfth in the Grade Two Young Lady at seven furlongs which is perplexing considering her sire should add stamina to her pedigree. Her stakes placed Street Cry x Deep Impact hemare was capable of sprinting but was marginally better over a mile. Vera Rubin could surprise with the switch to routes but she may be one of those sim anomalies that runs the exact opposite of her pedigree.



#2 Savoury Shapes 9/1


Savoury Shapes exits a strong third in the Grade One Wet Bikini Stakes which is the first one mile stakes race for two year old fillies of the year. The talented filly was nearly ten lengths back at the second call and over six lengths back at the stretch call before closing stoutly to be beaten just two and a quarter length. She ran a 79 speed that day but it was back on July 20th and with over two months off it should be expected that she can improve dramatically off that run. In her previous two starts she broke her maiden on debut at five furlongs and was second in a five furlong listed. The daughter of Camelot is based on the grade one winning millionaire Savoury (High Chaparral x Machiavellian). Savoury won his grade one going one mile and was talented enough to run fourth in the Breeders’ Bowl Mile.



#3 Act of War Even 7/1


Act of War Even is the most experienced filly in the field with nine starts and she’s won seven of those with one runner up finish. Interestingly Act of War Even has changed hands twice in her young career, breaking her maiden in a $12,500 claimer and then running back in a $20,000 claimer, being picked up both times. Perhaps her connections believed that a daughter of Pariah would not attract interest from the claiming crowd but they were obviously wrong. She’s out of a Camelot x Monsun mare which should give her some stamina. Four of her wins came in starter allowances although she does have one allowance win to her credit. Her only off the board finish came in her most recent start, the Grade One More Glare Stakes at seven furlongs. The race was more encouraging than it may seem, she closed well at the end and ran an 83 speed. The added furlong in this spot may see her return to her winning form.



#4 Saucy Reign 7/1


Saucy Reign is one of three graded winners in this field. She accomplished that by taking the Grade Two Young Lady in her last start. The seven furlong race saw the filly sit about two lengths off the lead which was contentious before closing to beat A.P. Pie Pye by a head. That filly comes back in this start and she was a part of that crowded early pace. Saucy Reign has won three straight including a listed stakes. She broke her maiden in an allowance and her only other race was her second start when she was second by a half length in another allowance. The daughter of Sepoy out of a More Than Ready x Storm Cat mare. The mare has produced four foals including one stakes winner and a three year old stakes placed runner. If there is a chink in Saucy Reign’s pedigree it is that both her dam and her stakes winning half sibling were both stone cold sprinters and Sepoy adds a lot of speed to a pedigree.



#5 Omni Galaxy 28/1


Omni Galaxy broke her maiden in her debut back in March before jumping straight to listed company where she finished off the board in two starts. With a drop back to an allowance she battled for the early lead before taking the lead in the stretch and getting run down at the finish to be second. She returned to a listed in her last start and showed no speed whatsoever starting and finishing in last place. That suggests that the race was an anomaly and it would be interesting to know how she came out of the race. Omni Galaxy is a daughter of Silver Galaxy out of the grade three winning Snitzel x Rock of Gibraltar mare Omnibot. She is her dam’s second foal and second winner. Omnibot is a half sister to two othe rgraded stakes winners and a graded placed winner all of whom were produced by a long distance runner who earned over a million dollars and was a graded placed stakes winner.



#6 Nite King 7/1


Nite King has run 81 speeds in both of her most recent starts. The first was a second place finish in the Grade Three Princess Margo at six furlongs and the more recent was a seventh place finish in the Grade One More Glare Stakes at seven furlongs. Her best races, including the Princess Margo, debut win and an allowance win have seen her less than two lengths off the lead early on. She was much farther back in the More Glare but still managed a small closing run. Where she ends up early on in this spot will likely determine how well she finishes. Nite King is a daughter of Kingfisher out of an Exceed and Excel x Pivotal mare. She is her dam’s second foal.



#7 Holistic Laugh 19/1


It is difficult to write at length about Holistic Laugh as she has only one start to her name. That race was a five furlong NW1x allowance where she battled for the early lead before fading to finish second by three quarters of a length. She ran a 67 speed in that start which featured a four horse field, two of which were *CPU runners. Holistic Laugh is a daughter of Ajaya x out of Pentire x Agnes Tachyon mare. From seven foals to race the mare has produced two allowance winners. One thing to consider is that at 19/1 Holistic Laugh is picked at lower odds than several winners so maybe the oddsmaker knows something we don’t.



#8 Sorry Dude 25/1


Sorry Dude earned her only career victory in a four and one half furlong maiden over a synthetic surface. She began her career on the dirt before switching to the grass. In three career starts on the grass she has never finished worse than fourth. Her best turf race came in her most recent start when she challenged males in a NW1x allowance. She challenged for the early lead when fourth by one half length. She faded a quarter of a length bu that was good enough for a second place finish. She’s a daughter of Tamarkuz out of a Cape Cross x Secreto mare, giving her a balance of speed and stamina. From eight foals to race Sorry Dude’s dam has produced two allowance winners but also two foals who retired without winning a race.



#9 My Trak Tizway 32/1


My Trak Tizway is the longest shot in the field but she may be better than her odds suggest. She has two wins from four starts, including a four and one half furlong maiden win with a 72 speed. Her two off the board finishes came in stakes races, one in a grade two on the dirt. Her most recent start came in a four horse field in a NW1x allowance where she dominated the field by challenging for the early lead before taking over and winning by over a length. Her odds are likely effected by the slow speed of that race which was a 55 but My Trak Tizway won so easily that she didn’t need to run faster. That doesn’t mean she can run faster here in her first start going a mile but she is intriguing. She is a daughter of Upstart out of the grade two winning Tizway x Yeats mare Dark King Tizway. Dark King Tizway earned that grade two in the eleven furlong Italian Oaks so stamina should be no problem for her daughter. Second dam Dreaming of Death was also a long distance stakes winner and she was a half sister to two graded stakes winner.



#10 Causeway Aclaim 18/1


Causeway Aclaim broke her maiden in fine fashion, taking a listed stakes race against eight other fillies back in April. She ran an impressive 73 speed while going five furlongs. Her connections were so confident they sent her into a grade two next and she hasn’t been the same since. She finished thirteenth and last in that race and in her two subsequent races she’s been tenth (last) in a listed and ninth of ten in a dirt listed going a mile. Her speeds have regressed into the 60s in those races. She’s a daughter of Aclaim out of a High Chaparral x Giant’s Causeway mare. She is a half sister to a filly who won a grade three at ten furlongs.



#11 A.P. Pie Pye 5/1


A.P. Pie Pye broke her maiden versus males in a residency sponsored maiden. She immediately jumped into a listed and won easily after pressing the early pace. That race was six and one half furlongs and in her next start she dropped back to five furlongs in a grade two. She never got close to the lead and recorded her only off the board finish in her career so far. Most recently she was second in the Grade Two Young Lady at seven furlongs where she was part of a furious early pace and came up just a head shy behind Saucy Rein who sat in the garden spot and pounced on the leaders. It was a brave effort for A.P. Pie Pye. She also has one of the better pedigrees in the race being by Pierro out of the grade three winning A.P. Indy x Unbridled mare A.P. Rizz Kid. A.P. Pie Pye is a half sister to two graded winners and four other stakes winners. A.P. Rizz Kid did all her best running in turf sprints but the grade one winning millionaire hemare Donnie Rizzo upon whom she was based won up to a mile and one half.



#12 Bali Impact 22/1


Bali Impact is a daughter of Bal a Bali out of a Deep Impact x Shirocco mare. Her second dam was a stakes winner sprinting on the dirt but the rest of the family is a bit ordinary. Bali Impact’s dam was also best sprinting on dirt which is why Bali Impact started her career on the dirt. She was unsuccessful in two starts before switching to the grass and immediately breaking her maiden. She added a second place finish in a first level allowance before jumping up to a grade three where she was well beaten. She followed that with a listed race where she did increase her speed to a 72 but still finished off the board. She did close a bit in the stretch of that race and she’s never been beyond six furlongs.



#13 Just a Wasp 11/1


Just a Wasp is the only grade one winner in the race, having taken the one mile Wet Bikini Stakes back in July. She finished ahead of Savoury Shapes in that spot (that filly ran third) but that filly has shorter odds in this spot oddly. Just a Wasp sat in second place behind a clear leader early on before pouncing and taking the lead in the stretch. It was her third win from four starts and easily her most impressive. She broke her maiden in an allowance and then won a listed. She was well beaten in a grade two going five furlongs in June but it seems obvious that she is a different filly routing versus sprinting. She’s a daughter of Just a Way out of a Bluegrass Cat x Smart Strike mare. Her female family does not meet her talent level. She is the first sim grade one winner for her sire, a son of Heart’s Cry who was upgraded in 2017.



#14 Lucky’s Ginger 4/1


Lucky’s Ginger is our favorite and the daughter of Frankel has been impressive in her career. She’s a daughter of the grade two winning Ghostzapper x Storm Cat mare Lucky’s Kimberly M who did her best running around a mile on turf, including hitting the board in two grade ones at that distance. Lucky’s Ginger also has a half brother by Kitten’s Joy who won a grade two at a mile on the grass as well. Lucky’s Ginger comes in off a win in the Grade Three win in the seven furlong Calvados stakes where she ran an 83 speed, her second consecutive 80+ speed. In that race she sat in sixth before closing well to win by a neck. In a listed stakes win two races prior she was as far back as ninth early so this filly will be coming late.


Good luck to all!

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