Mar 122018
 

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OK Trainers, the curtain is drawn on another edition of the Sim Racing, EQUINICS, the thoroughbred equivalent to the world event, THE OLYMPICS. As usual there was fierce competition in every event and the worthy will go into the Sim history books. Well done to every participant, you did your Residency proud. I would firstly like to thank and congratulate Metallinut and the his team for making this possible. To all the people coordinating the event, game staff, Residency bosses and a myriad of people behind the scenes, we salute you for maintaining the integrity of this great event.

To me there were 2 special performances. Firstly the winning Residence, GR Simsters, what a powerhouse, then there was another superlative performance by the great Spiced Turtle. Brilliantly prepared once again, an incredible horse trained by a true Sim Legend.

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RESIDENCE WINNER GR SIMSTERS   

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SPICED TURTLE
There were 2 noteworthy performances deserving honorable mentions

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MINNESOTA TESTBARN RESIDENCY, 2nd overall

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BLAZING SADDLES, 3rd overall
We all stand proudly to witness another spectacular Closing Ceremony, joining together to share stories of our journey, promises of bigger performances next time and overall good will to our fellow competitors.

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The stage show brings everyone to their feet and we witness an amazing fireworks display in the background

WWW

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Some pics of the crowd in full party mode

EEE    TTT

 

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Written by GCLIFFO (Greg) Sorry for the late submission as I was hospitalized, back to full health once more.

Views (352)

2018 EQUINICS RESULTS REPORT

 Posted by at 8:09 pm  General
Feb 242018
 

EQUINICS 2018

RESIDENCY POINTS STANDINGS

1ST – GR SIMSTERS – 31

2ND – MINNESOTA TESTBARN – 23

3RD – BLAZING SADDLES – 22

4TH- UNIVERSAL RACING – 20

5TH- ELITE RACING – 19

6TH – MIDAS – 18

7TH – EMPIRE STATE – 17

8TH – ALL-STARS RACING – 16

TIE 9TH – PASTURES OF GREEN – 14

TIE 9TH – SIM HISPANO – 14

11TH – EAST-WEST CONNECTION – 8

12TH – NORTHWEST RACING – 6

TIE 13TH – MEGALOPOLIS – 4

TIE 13TH – RACING HQ – 4

 

EQUINICS 2018 MEDAL COUNT
REZ GOLD SILVER BRONZE TOTAL
GR SIMSTERS 4 2 5 11
MINNESOTA TESTBARN 1 5 3 9
ELITE RACING CLUB 2 2 3 7
EMPIRE STATE RACING 1 3 3 7
BLAZING SADDLES 3 2 1 6
UNIVERSAL RACING CLUB 3 1 2 6
ALL-STARS RACING 1 3 2 6
MIDAS 3 1 0 4
PASTURES OF GREEN 2 1 1 4
SIM HISPANO 2 1 1 4
EAST-WEST CONNECTION 1 1 0 2
NORTHWEST RACING CIRCUIT 1 0 1 2
MEGALOPOLIS 0 1 1 2
RACING HQ 0 1 1 2

 

 

VERMONT (DIRT)
RACE GOLD SILVER BRONZE
CALL OF THE WILD II RYAN’S SPEAKER(UNIVERSAL) WAR’S COMING(MINNESOTA TESTBARN) I MISS MELANIE(GR SIMSTERS)
SOLAR SONG RECORTE(NORTHWEST RACING) VINDICATION GONE(RACING HQ) EVOLUTIONARY LEAP(UNIVERSAL)
MINE FOREST BEEF AND BEER(BLAZING SADDLES) TIFFIN(MEGALOPOLIS) OTTO SWITCH(GR SIMSTERS)
I SEEK YOU DANCE NOW(MIDAS) TAP SUZY(EMPIRE STATE) KING OF JEU(UNIVERSAL)
UNION JACK FLYER DEEP PACT(ALL-STARS) ANGEL’S TRUMPET(MINNESOTA TESTBARN) ZIP HER UP(GR SIMSTERS)
STORMY PROSPECTOR HATEFUL ENTITY(MINNESOTA TESTBARN) DE LONHRO(ALL-STARS) DANZIGOF THE NILE(ELITE RACING)
KRISHNA CONNECT THE SPOTS(MIDAS) MIDWEEK(EMPIRE STATE) CHARM OF LIZ(NORTHWEST RACING)
QUEENS CATS SKYLINE SLEW(UNIVERSAL) SADDLES ABLAZE(BLAZING SADDLES) A PRIZE SHE MAKES(RACING HQ)
BUDA WITH THE SLEW ST. LOUIS ORCHESTRA(MIDAS) FIRST SPIN GOLD(EMPIRE STATE) DIVINE KINGDOM(MINNESOTA TESTBARN)
DUSTY DANCE OTTO OVER EASY(GR SIMSTERS) STORMY MO(UNIVERSAL) ZOMBIE SCENE(PASTURES OF GREEN)
I WONT LOOK BACK NUKA DEATHMATCH(GR SIMSTERS) SHAMOLINE ROCK(ALL-STARS) THE ELECTRIC CITY(EMPIRE STATE)
CASTERLY ROCK METAPHORICALLY(UNIVERSAL) YEAH THANKS(BLAZING SADDLES) FALCHION(MINNESOTA TESTBARN)
DIRT MEDAL COUNT
REZ GOLD SILVER BRONZE TOTAL
UNIVERSAL RACING CLUB 3 1 2 6
GR SIMSTERS 2 0 3 5
MINNESOTA TESTBARN 1 2 2 5
EMPIRE STATE RACING 0 3 1 4
MIDAS 3 0 0 3
ALL-STARS RACING 1 2 0 3
BLAZING SADDLES 1 2 0 3
NORTHWEST RACING CIRCUIT 1 0 1 2
RACING HQ 0 1 1 2
MEGALOPOLIS 0 1 0 1
ELITE RACING CLUB 0 0 1 1
PASTURES OF GREEN 0 0 1 1
EAST-WEST CONNECTION 0 0 0 0
SIM HISPANO 0 0 0 0
SOUTH KOREA (TURF)
RACE GOLD SILVER BRONZE
SUNNYBANK MEMORIAL WAKI HADDA(PASTURES OF GREEN) NO NAY SATAN(MINNESOTA TESTBARN) FEAR THE WAR(BLAZING SADDLES)
GENERAL’S CHARIOT CRIMSON AND DEAD(BLAZING SADDLES) RADICAL SWEEP ER(MINNESOTA TESTBARN) MISS WAR PIG(ALL-STARS)
CECIL ROO SECRET KITTEN(ELITE RACING) LOVEROCK(MIDAS) FURIA DESATADA(SIM HISPANO)
SEEKING SAL HAACK’S ARROGATE(SIM HISPANO) WEAVER’S WARRIOR(GR SIMSTERS) HAND OF KANE(ELITE RACING)
VOLOTILE NIJINSKY FORGET THE KING(GR SIMSTERS) DARCI’S CHARM(ELITE RACING) ROLLING OASIS(ALL-STARS)
TURNING JAPANESE VT INVINCIBLE(PASTURES OF GREEN) TORAMBO(ALL-STARS) TEARS IN SEATTLE(GR SIMSTERS)
MR DEVIOUS FEASTING(BLAZING SADDLES) GHOST AVENUE(ELITE RACING) KAATERSKILL FALLS(EMPIRE STATE)
RAY OF PYE MAJOR DANSILI(ELITE RACING) CONCEJAL(SIM HISPANO) HOULIHAN(MEGALOPOLIS)
HORSESHOE BAY SCOTIAN HEN(EAST-WEST CONNECTION) TIL IT’S GONE(MINNESOTA TESTBARN) SWEET CHILLI FILLY(GR SIMSTERS)
AMANDA JANE ROYAL BLESSING(EMPIRE STATE) KOKO’S KITTEN(GR SIMSTERS) FIORE(ELITE RACING)
COLD STORAGE ARSAT(SIM HISPANO) CRIES FOR OIL(EAST-WEST CONNECTION) ORB OF MYSTERY(MINNESOTA TESTBARN)
LEX LUTHOR SPICED TURTLE(GR SIMSTERS) O WHAT A NIGHT(PASTURES OF GREEN) NO CHANCE CADET(EMPIRE STATE)
TURF MEDAL COUNT
REZ GOLD SILVER BRONZE TOTAL
ELITE RACING CLUB 2 2 2 6
GR SIMSTERS 2 2 2 6
SIM HISPANO 2 1 1 4
MINNESOTA TESTBARN 0 3 1 4
PASTURES OF GREEN 2 1 0 3
BLAZING SADDLES 2 0 1 3
EMPIRE STATE RACING 1 0 2 3
ALL-STARS RACING 0 1 2 3
EAST-WEST CONNECTION 1 1 0 2
MIDAS 0 1 0 1
MEGALOPOLIS 0 0 1 1
NORTHWEST RACING CIRCUIT 0 0 0 0
RACING HQ 0 0 0 0
UNIVERSAL RACING CLUB 0 0 0 0

Views (378)

2018 Equinics Guide

 Posted by at 11:13 am  General
Feb 242018
 

1:10 PM Call of the Wild II

6f Dirt 3yo Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44372

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049000

 

 

 

1:20 PM Solar Song

6f Dirt 3yo Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44219

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049024

 

 

 

1:30 PM Mine Forest

9f Dirt 3yo Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44209

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049002

 

 

 

1:40 PM I Seek You

8f Dirt Older Male

BTB Coverage  http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44318

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049003

 

 

 

1:50 PM Union Jack Flyer

6.5f Dirt Older Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44193

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049004

 

 

 

2:00 PM Stormy Prospector

12f Dirt Older Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44223

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049005

 

 

 

2:10 PM Krishna

12f Dirt Older Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44348

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049006

 

 

 

2:20 PM Queen’s Cats

8f Dirt Older Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44364

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049007

 

 

 

2:30 PM Buda With The Slew

10f Dirt Older Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44273

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049008

 

 

 

2:40 PM Dusty Dance

9f Dirt 3yo Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44379

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049009

 

 

 

2:50 PM I Won’t Look Back

10f Dirt Older Male

BTB Coverage  http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44260

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049010

 

 

 

3:00 PM Casterly Rock

6.5f Dirt Older Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44191

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049011

 

 

 

 

3:10 PM Sunnybank Memorial 

6f Turf 3yo Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44160

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049012

 

 

 

3:20 PM General’s Chariot

6f Turf 3yo Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44201

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049013

 

 

3:30 PM Cecil Roo

8f Turf 3yo Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44229

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049014

 

 

 

3:40 PM Seeking Sal

8f Turf 3yo Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44316

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049015

 

 

 

3:50 PM Volotile Nijinsky

6f Turf Older Female

BTB Coverage  http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44285

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049016

 

 

 

4:00 PM Turning Japanese

8f Turf Older Female

BTB Coverage : http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44225

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049017

 

 

 

4:10 PM Mr Devious

6f Turf Older Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44325

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049018

 

 

 

4:20 PM Ray of Pye

9f Turf Older Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44358

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049019

 

 

4:30 PM Horseshoe Bay

10f Turf Older Female

BTB Coverage  http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44271

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049020

 

 

 

4:40 PM Amanda Jane

14f Turf Older Female

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44234

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049021

 

 

 

 

4:50 PM Cold Storage

16f Turf Older Male

BTB Coverage http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44383

 

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049022

 

 

5:00 PM Lex Luthor

12f Turf Older Male

BTB Coverage  http://blacktypebugler.com/?p=44262

Race Viewer http://www.derbyfever.com/onerace.asp?whicher=old&raceid=2049023

Views (428)

Equinics – The Ray of Pye

 Posted by at 10:47 pm  Previews
Feb 232018
 

The Ray of Pye is for four year olds and up to be contested at nine furlongs over the immaculately manicured South Korean turf course.  It honors the great Hall of Famer who was campaigned by a teenage Tyedye.  Horse and trainer were eerily similar.  Brilliant, untamed and erratic.  Andrew raced his Rahy colt early and often.  Ray of Pye proved to be not only sinfully fast, but extremely versatile in terms of both distance and surface.  His five Grade One victories were earned from seven furlongs on the turf to nine furlongs on dirt.  He made a million dollars racing on the main course and three times that on the grass. Hats off to Ray of Pye and Tyedye!
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Here are the contestants for The Ray of Pye from the hedge on out:
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Universal Racing Club is well represented by multimillionaire Salt of the Turf.  The bad news is that Durkastan’s King Kamehameha colt is riding a seven race losing streak.  The good news is that Salt has a ton of back class having won two G-1s, a pair of G-2s and a G-3.  In addition, his last turf start two back was a very sharp second in the G-1 Parking Ticket, a race he won in 2016.  Looking to grab a medal and improve on his 4th place finish during the Summer Games in Rio.  Big money rider in NBonus.
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Ya Jackwagon carries the Blazing Saddles banner into combat.  Skunk’s Lonhro five year old has won three of his last four starts.  Among those wins was a G-1 tally, two races back, in Victoria’s The McKinnon.  Veteran conditioner knows all the tricks in the book and will undoubtedly have the second betting choice (5-1) ready for a top effort. 
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Third in the gate will be the Minnesota Testbarn representative.  Johnny Biggs is as honest as they come.  Thirteen starts, ten wins including his last five straight.  Granted, crushing claimers, starter allowances and local breds is a far cry from Grade 1 success.  But Kingranch’s Big Brown colt cannot read the tote board (41-1).  All he does is run as fast as he needs to in order to win.  Produced a personal best 112 SP in winning a stake at 16-1 last time out.  Needs a big step forward. 
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CVBear will send out his homebred Houlihan for Megalopolis Racing Circuit.  Houlihan is by Shamardal out of the promising young broodmare Ballinora (Dubawi x Theatrical).  Bear’s five year old is a multiple graded winner of over half a million dollars and shows speed figures as high as 117.  Should be competitive if he brings his “A” game.
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Empire State Racing’s leading trainer for 2017 was Cadet.  So it is fitting that Mohegan Sun Cadet should represent ESR in the Ray of Pye.  The six year old son of Sea The Stars and Robby’s fine Giant’s Causeway broodmare Uncas Ruckus will be trying to end a three race losing streak.  It should be noted that MSC was riding a three race losing streak when he won the Breeders’ Bowl Mile in 2016.  Connections are very high on his chances this week.
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Reasonable Sanity is a graded winning half millionaire from the barn of veteran trainer Smokeglack.  The flashy bay son of Smart Strike prepped with a HOT race romp at nine panels right here in South Korea.  If the All-Stars Racing rep is going to medal, Smoke will need to reach pretty deep into his bag of tricks.  Pretty nice horse in a most difficult spot. 
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Concejal’s two victories came in a maiden allowance and a HOT race.  On the plus side, he is quite well bred (Sea The Stars x Danehill x Alydar), trained by high percentage conditioner Pato for Hispano Parlante, and posted an eye popping 115 speed figure last time out winning that HOT race prep against a bunch of stable mates.  Facing an uphill task.
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Although he has yet to win a stake, H Q Racing’s Im A Stranger Here is knocking on the door.  Last time out, Phenomanaz‘  lightning quick son of Leading The Parade set wicked splits before giving way very late to the well intended Take Care of Me in Victoria’s Grade 2 Railweigh.  His 119 speed figure compares favorably to many of his compatriots.  In the hunt. 
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Kymar’reilly seeks gold for the Midas folks.  Tulloch has prepped his Aljabr gray with a trio of graded races.  Considering the fact hat he has yet to win a stake of any kind, three straight third place finishes in graded company is not too shabby.  Showed in the G-1 Jolly Summer last time out behind Given’s standout Here to Forever.  Another time, another place.
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Lenny has the top qualifier by far in Drakon’s Bazooka. Assured a future in the Hall of Fame already, Ryan’s rangy Exceed And Excel colt is closing in on ten million dollars in career earnings.  The G R Simsters’ representative has won five consecutive G-1 races using his lethal stalk and pounce tactics.  Speed numbers are unworldly.  Shipped in early to assure his acclimatization, Drakon’s Bazooka has been prepping for his 2018 debut with a series of steady works.  Fired a bullet :57.33 geared down the last seventy yards on Monday.   Simply too fast for these if the real Drakon’s Bazooka shows up.
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Just a neck shy of three straight graded wins.  That’s the story on EWC stalwart Take Care of Me.  Trainer Atthewire claimed the son of Medicean for $100K last March.   The change of scenery helped big time.  Take Care of Me consistently shows lines that would put him squarely in the picture.  This is a high speed horse who can carry that speed a long way.  Dangerous with the right setup.
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Seize The Carp is the longshot at 88-1.  6ward3 trains for Northwest Racing Circuit.  The son of Carpe Diem is a bit slower than the foes he will face on Saturday.  Would require a number of things to go his way.
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Post hoc, ergo propter hoc?  Cause and effect?  Your guess is as good as mine.  All we know is that since Ichiba was gelded, he has become a world class terror.  Dixiedotco’s Deep Impact gelding was obviously meant to be a good one.  His mom, Mercato (Dubawi), was a sensational graded winner of over $700,000.  All of her babies are runners.  So, perhaps, all Ichiba needed was a little more time.  Moot point now.  Vermont’s favorite son is on the prowl and looking to medal for the folks back home.  
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Rounding out our field is Elite Racing Club’s Major DansiliJbcri and his gang of rowdies escaped from Purgatory about five years ago and took The Promised Land by storm.  They ask no quarter and give none.  Major Dansili is seeking redemption for a sub par effort two years ago in Rio.  Since then, he has won a pair of graded events and popped a 121 speed figure.  Your call.

Views (303)

Feb 232018
 

The longest of the Equinics races will be run in South Korea on Saturday at 4:50 PM Game Time. That distinction goes to the Grade One Equinics 2018 Hall of Fame Winners – Cold Storage at two miles on the turf for older horses. The purse is a cool $1,250,000 and the track is firm.

Cold Storage is a sixteen year old mare by Victory Gallop out of the grade three winning Unbridled’s Song x Danzig mare L’Rod’s Songbirds. Cold Storage won thirteen of thirty three starts and over four million dollars. Eight of her wins came in grade one events. All of those races came on the grass at distances between a mile and one eighth and a mile and three eighths. As a four year old she was the 2006 Champion Turf Mare. She has produced nine foals of which only one is a stakes winner. That is the four year old filly It’s a Cold World by Ruler of the World who does her best running at about a mile.

Let’s take a look at the field!

#1 Highflow’s Angel 22/1
Highflow’s Angel is a four year old son of Dark Angel out of the High Chaparral x Kingmambo mare Highflow. The mare has been very productive. She has nine foals including a two year old of 2018 and of these one is a grade three winner, two are listed winners and two others are stakes placed. Highflow’s Angel is lightly raced for his age with only thirteen starts, especially considering he debuted in April of his two year old season. Patience has paid off with this colt who has won five of nine route races with two thirds. His last four starts have come at longer distances of a mile and one half or more and he has three wins and a third in that skein. That includes a residency restricted stakes in his only try at two miles.

#2 Hate My Boss 5/1
Hate My Boss is a five year old scratchbred son of Savabeel x Caerleon x Machiavellian. He had his best season in 2017 when he made eight of his fifteen starts including wins in the Grade Three BBR Special and the Grade One Gold Glass in back to back starts last spring. Both races were run at two miles and he closed from near the back of the pack to win going away in both of them. Indeed his turn of foot was quite impressive as he was over twelve lengths back at the third call in each start. After those two races he went on to finish second, beaten only a half length in the Grade Two Kergolay at a mile and three eighths and later was third in the Grade One Winter Cup at a mile and five eighths in his most recent start. The favorite here has been off since that race on December 23rd.

#3 Under Water I Go 18/1
Under Water I Go is a five year old gelding by Skimming out of the War Emblem x Flower Alley mare Bigtate Child Dos. This is her first foal, she has two younger runners one of which is a winner. Under Water I Go deserves his longshot status as he has never run this distance on either surface and has yet to win on turf and yet he is an intriguing entrant. Since being gelded last fall he has made three starts. The first came on dirt going a mile and one quarter in an allowance where he was badly beaten. He jumped over to the grass for his next two races which both came in listed stakes races. The first was at seven furlongs and resulted in a good closing fifth place finish with a 104 speed and the next a third, again with a strong closing kick when running a mile and three sixteenths. He ran a 106 speed in that race. He had previously run a 107 speed on the dirt as a three year old but these were his second and third best. He hasn’t started since December sixteenth so he comes in with on a bit of a freshening. Chances are he won’t factor but remember – this is the race that marked the beginning of Dark Mandu’s career. I’m not saying he’s another Mandu (who can be?) but you never know.

#4 Orb of Mystery 17/1
Orb of Mystery is a five year old son of Orb out of the grade one winning Curlin x Summer Squall mare Seattle In Summer. This is her second of four foals and by far the most successful. Back in 2014 Seattle In Summer won the Equinics – HOF Committee which was run at a mile and three quarters on the dirt for older mares, one of two grade ones at that distance she captured in her career. Orb of Mystery has done most of his running on the dirt as well. He really developed well in the fall of 2017 winning three starts over long distances on dirt. This included a listed and a grade two at two miles and an allowance at a mile and five eighths. His only run in 2018 resulted in a major set-back as he was distanced while finishing last in another two mile grade two on January 20th. Orb of Mystery has run only four times on turf but really it is the two starts he made in 2017 that should be focused on. These runs were both at a distance and included an allowance win and a second place finish in a local championship stakes at two miles.

#5 Royal Ascot Cadet 11/1
Royal Ascot Cadet is a five year old scratchbred son of Dubawi x Dynaformer x Blushing Groom. This colt was bred as a three year old but only made six starts that year (he currently stands at seventeen). Royal Ascot Cadet really started to blossom last June. He took two allowances at long distances on turf. By September he ran a strong second in a local championship at a mile and three quarters and followed that up with a two mile Grade Three win. He dropped back in distance to a mile and five eighths in a listed stakes in December where he ran second and then returned a month later to finish second in an allowance at two miles. In his best races he’s shown some early speed but he does not need to be on the front end.

#6 Marechal Lannes 13/1
Marechal Lannes is a four year old son of Siyouni out of the Arch x Rainbow Quest mare Sharapova II. He is the first of the mare’s two foals but she was produced by the graded placed, stakes winning mare Tess Carlisle. Tess Carlisle produced a grade three winner by Galileo and two graded placed stakes winners including the wonderfully named Wolfram and Hart, by Empire Maker. Interestingly Tess Carlisle and her two stakes winning offspring were all best at routes but the Galileo foal was a sprinter. Sharapova II was a winner at two miles. Mareschal Lannes made only one start at two. He eventually broke his maiden in a sprint but in July he made his first start at a mile and one quarter and kept stretching out from there. He earned a win in the mile and three quarter Grade Three Dutch St. Leger in October and followed that up with a photo finish second in the Grade One Vicky Derby. He has only made one start this year but it was a facile wire to wire victory in a two mile listed at the end of January.

#7 Neon Jungle 15/1
Neon Jungle is a five year old son of Paco Boy out of the Falbrav x Sadler’s Wells mare Orion TB. She has produced five foals so far. OrionTB was produced from Bom Bom, a three time grade one winner at two miles on dirt who also was a grade three winner at that distance on the lawn. Her best foal is a grade one winning five year old by Dubawi named Turfocharged who won the Singapore Cup at a mile and three eighths last November. Neon Jungle has developed an admirable record of fifteen in the money finishes from seventeen turf route starts. He has never run beyond a mile and a half but he’s run that distance in allowances in each of his last four starts. He’s won the two most recent ones but was second and third in the two prior. He ran a career best 108 speed in his most recent run which came in December.

#8 Every Bit Rotten 12/1
Every Bit Rotten is a four year old son of Teofilo out of the grade three winning Deep Impact x Nureyev mare You Rotten Kid. Every Bit Rotten is her fourth of five foals and the first one who has yet to win a stakes race. You Rotten Kid won her grade three at a mile and one half but was twice grade two placed at a mile and three quarters. Her three previous foals all were best at routes but none won farther than a mile and one half. Every Bit Rotten’s last five starts have all come at a mile and one half or longer and he’s won twice and finished third three times. His two most impressive starts were his two most recent ones, a second in a listed at a mile and five eighths where he ran a massive 113 speed back in December and then another second in a grade two going two miles in January. That was his only start at this distance and his speed did decrease to a 104 but he is improving mightily at just the right time.

#9 Arsat 9/1
Arsat is a five year old son of Sea the Stars out of the graded placed stakes winning Invincible Spirit x Shakespeare mare Mulatona. This is her first foal and currently the only stakes winner. She won two listeds at sprint distances and was grade three placed going a mile. Mulatona was produced by grade one winner Off With His Head, another sprinter-miler. Mulatona was her first foal and so far only stakes winner. Arsat’s last four starts have all come at two miles and he’s won three of them including the Grade One Longchamp Marathon and the Grade Two Longdale Cup. His only poor race was a ninth place finish in the Grade One Millwood Cup. He prepped for this start with a facile four length allowance victory in mid-January.

#10 Cries For Oil 10/1
Cries For Oil is the only mare in this field. She is a six year old scratchbred by Street Cry x El Prado x Seattle Slew. In 2016 she ran in the Equinics race for turf females at a mile and three quarters where she finished fourth. On the lawn she does have a listed stakes win and a grade three win, both at two miles and both back in 2016. She spent 2017 racing exclusively on the dirt where she won the two mile Grade Two Turtle Bridge Stakes and the Grade Three Saint Paul at the same distance while also hitting the board in three grade ones, one of which she lost only by a neck. She faced the boys in the Breeders’ Bowl and closed stoutly from over twenty five lengths out of it to finish fourth.

#11 East Germany 15/1
East Germany is a four year old son of Soldier Hollow out of the Deep Impact x Danehill Dancer mare Chiba. He is her first and currently only foal. She broke her maiden going a mile and one half in her only start at that distance and was retired shortly after. East Germany has made the fewest starts of any horse in the field with nine but he has won three and been in the money a total of eight times. He enters this race off two huge career best efforts. In November he won an allowance at a mile and one eighth with a 114 speed. He returned in January to run second, beaten only one half length for the win in a listed at the same distance where he ran a 113 speed. The farthest he has ever raced is a mile and one quarter and he did not win that effort but he’s improved significantly in a short period of time. He has the pedigree to go a distance but two miles is a big step up.

#12 Rawmarsh 6/1
Rawmarsh is a six year old son of Camelot out of the Pulpit x Darshaan mare Lodosa. He is third stakes winner produced by Lodosa, one of which was a grade two winner. Rawmarsh was claimed as a three year old in August of 2015 for $30,000. By October of 2016 he won his first stakes race, a residency restricted race at a mile and one half, and added two more listed wins in rapid fashion after that. Last season he ran second in a grade two at a mile and one half and added another listed win. He has made one start in 2018, a win in a listed at a mile and three quarters. It was his second try at that distance which is the furthest he has ever run.

#13 Outback Palmyra 6/1
Outback Palmyra is a six year old scratchbred son of Dubawi x Kingmambo x Monsun. He is one of four grade one winners in the field but the only one who tops five million dollars in earnings, much of which came from a victory in the $6,000,000 Grade One Millwood Cup in 2016. That year he also ran in the Equinics where he finished fourth going a mile and five eighths on turf for older males. In 2017 Outback Palmyra ran second in three grade one races going two miles on the turf but his only victory came in an allowance at a mile and three quarters. He finished the year on Halloween with a tenth place finish in an attempt at a title defense in the Millwood. He’s been on vacation since then. At this age there is always a question of how they will come back in their first start of the new year and this colt has been off for over four months.

#14 Kmar Seayou 8/1
Kmar Seayou is a five year old son of Aragorn out of the graded placed stakes winning Sea the Stars x Pine Bluff mare Seayouinparadise. Seayouinparadise was a listed winner and multiple graded placed going two miles on the grass. Her first foal, Cowra Nirvana by Unbridled’s Song was a stakes winner at two miles. Kmar Seayou is her third foal out of five total. Seayouinparadise was based on the grade one winning hemare Stairwaytoparadise who was an out and out sprinter on the dirt. Kymar Seayou debuted in a $2,000 maiden claiming event (one of the special “Christmas Presents” series). This colt has proven to be an excellent pickup as he has earned over $800,000 with wins in the Grade One Man of War Stakes at a mile and three eighths as well as three listed stakes wins. His only start at two miles came in a local bred championship stakes back in May of 2017 but his most recent race saw him win a listed at a mile and three quarters. He showed great determination to get that win and ran a 111 speed. That start came in mid-January so he should be primed for a big effort here.

Good luck to all!

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EQUINICS – QUEEN’S CATS

 Posted by at 12:54 pm  Previews
Feb 232018
 

Vermont (VT)  Saturday, February 24, 2018 — 2:20PM EST | Race ID : 2049007
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cats

 

 

Grade I / Group 1 – Sponsored – Purse : $1,250,000
4 Year Olds and Older  -   Fillies and Mares  -  Owner Restricted
8  Furlongs | ~1600 Meters | One Mile                             Fast Dirt
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Vermont

 

 

 

 

 

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From the state fair grounds in Rutland,  Vermont we proudly bring you one of the many Equinics events,  The Queen’s Cats.  This race will be contested at a flat mile (or ~1600 meters for the metricians) over the mile dirt oval,  with older fillies and mares battling it out for the winner’s share of the $1,250,000 purse,  and for the glory and recognition that comes with a victory in one of these prestigious events.  All of the Equinics trophy presentation ceremonies are a joyful celebration,  and this should live up to those standards.

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This race is named after the Hall Of Fame runner,  QUEEN’S CATS (Storm Cat x Mr. Prospector x Search for Gold)

.1995 Mare    Owner/Trainer  slewbetcha        Record: 100-33-15-12 $3,997,430.

Two time G1 winner,  TEN time G2 winner,  two time G3 winner,  also placed in four G1 events.  One hundred career races (they don’t make ‘em like that anymore),  finished in the money in 31 of her graded starts.
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ERETRIA,  from the davarto barn representing the Midas residency,  is rated at 5/1 as the morning line favorite,  followed by the trio of THETA,  FLASH TO THE FOX,  and KASH STRORM at 6/1.  Interestingly,  the defending Breeders’ Bowl Distaff champion,  TREACHEROUSLY II is held at 10/1 by the handicapper in her first outing since that smashing triumph.  We have an impressive group of milers gathered here for this affair.  Let’s take a closer look at them in post position order and see what the stats may indicate.
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 MO TWITCHY                       NWRC        KY     4F     be1stfarms     M McClendon         22/1
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Leading them out on to the track is this Uncle Mo madamoiselle,  out of the stakes winning sim mare Itchy Witchy (by Scat Daddy),  who seeks her fourth straight triumph in her very first stakes appearance.  Last out she closed from the back of the pack to score in a restricted allowance at 7.5 furlongs,  flinging a 108 SP#.  Bay four year old filly took an open allowance one before that,  also at 7.5 panels,  flipping a 106 SP# in a five horse affair.  Her prior start was a win in a restricted allowance,  again at 7.5 furlongs,  floating a 100 SP# from the back of the pack.  Runner from the be1stfarms racing group seems ambitiously placed here,  but what the hey an Equinics start IS an Equinics start;  will need a career best to make an impact with these.
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SKYLINE SLEW                  Universal Racing    KY     4F     jms11         T Ace             13/1
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Bay four year old filly seeks third straight win after wiring the G2 The Barbacoa Handicap at 8.5 furlongs,  blasting a 113 SP#.  Scratch bred Distorted Humor dame (by Seattle Slew) went coast to coast one back of that in the G3 South Bend Oaks at 8.5 panels,  bashing a 112 SP#.  In her previous start she tired to 7th in the G3 The Chicago Oaks at 9 furlongs,  bagging a 104 SP# after setting  all the early fractions.  Jms11 trainee should be winging it on the front end as the only speed in the field,  should like the shorter trip here and is eligible to clear them and leave them gasping in the straight – solid upset chance.
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THETA                                         Megalopolis        NY     5F     litelight     H Harzheim         6/1
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Cuts back to a mile for the litelight racing organization after taking the CV Bears Gotham City Distaff at 8.5 furlongs,  earning a 111 SP#.  Light grey five year old mare fell short against males in a state bred allowance in prior run,  again at 8.5 furlongs,  eking out a 103 SP#.  Alpha athlete,   out of the sim he-mare Native Truth (by Macho Uno) came on for 2nd one before that in the Saddle Tetecate listed at this route,  etching a 110 SP# in a mid pack trip.  Eight week freshening may help,  but last G1 foray wasn’t inspiring;  yet the handicapper has her as one of three co-second choices;  still has to catch the front runner,  tough task.
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AMERICAN DESTINY     Pastures of Green    KY     4F     futurestar     J White         14/1
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In and outer of late is due to be in for owner/trainer futurestar,  after an 8th at 8.5 panels in the Nimble Flyer listed stakes,  pegging a 106 SP# after some early interest.  American Pharoah prancer,  out of the Hall Of Fame sim mare Dangerous Reward (by Kingmambo)  got the money at this distance in the Hole Jove listed,  punching a 109 SP# from just off the pace makers.  He was an even 5th one prior to that at 7 furlongs in the Poat Oak Bluff,   posting a 104 SP#.   May have to be used early to give Skyline Slew some company;  but still will find it difficult to hold off the late runners assembled here.
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 FORT CAP                                 Elite Racing        FL     4F     extras1     M Grunhard         27/1
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Lightly raced,  light grey four year old filly comes off four month layoff and picks a formidable spot to return.  Scratch bred Fort Larned femme (by Capote) was a gaining 2nd last time over,  the G2 Gowader Stakes at this distance last October,  garnering a 111 SP# in a just off the pace run.  She raced just four times last year,  so I asked my rez’ bud extras1 what gives.
“Fort Cap required a few races as a 2 year old to figure out what she was supposed to do. Since then she has made steady progress. She will need to step it up to compete at this level but she is fresh and ready and I am expecting her to run her best race to date.”  Good luck, harry.
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 TREACHEROUSLY II     Minnesota Testbarn    KY     4F     canyongate     P Jolly             10/1
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2017 Breeders’ Bowl Distaff champion makes her first start since that glorious day in November.  Brown four year old filly went last to first at 20/1 odds in the Distaff,  sizzling a 116 SP#.  Scratch bred Malibu Moon miss (by Deputy Minister) got under way too late when 6th in the G1 The Bra Strap at 8.5 panels,  snaring a 103 SP#  in her first try against older.  She took down the G3 The Jersey Oaks at 8.5 furlongs one back of that,  snatching a 112 SP# from way back in the pack.  Bluegrass Oaks winner from the canyongate racing operation seeks fifth G1 victory,  putting her one shy of the Hall Of Fame;  will be flying late but will she run out of ground in first race in over three months.
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FLASH TO THE FOX       Empire State        KY     5F     golddog     H Artack         6/1
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Currently stuck in a “seconditis” rut,  this bay five year old mare  comes off a 2nd in The Conjugal Conjecture listed stakes at this trip,  catching a 108 SP# chasing a “cadet jet” in a four horse affair.  Giant’s Causeway gal,  out of the G1 winning,  million dollar earning sim mare Fox And Forty (by Forty Niner) closed well for the place one back of that in the G2 Good Times Handicap,  also at a mile,  cashing a 109 SP#.  In her previous try she was,  you guessed it,  2nd in the G2 Snownut Handicap at this distance,  crashing a 110 SP# in a mid pack run.  Golddog protege may be closer to the front in this group;  handicapper likes her chances as one of the three co-second choices on the morning line.
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HAKOYO                                    GR Simsters        KY     4F     dragonrider8     T Small             14/1
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Hailing from the dragonrider8 barn is this bay four year old filly,  who seeks her fourth straight win after taking the G2 The Encino Man at 8.5 furlongs,  blasting a 114 SP# from way back in the pack.  Distorted Humor damsel,  out of the stakes placed sim mare Tokoyo (by Bernardini),  made a nice stretch run to score in the Wondergirl Angie listed stakes at 9 panels over this oval,  bagging a 108 SP#.  She started her streak with a win in a restricted allowance at 9 furlongs,  bashing a 112 SP# in a five horse contest.  Versatile runner won her first grade/group try,  will be hoping someone softens up SKYLINE SLEW to aid her late kick.
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 LA NEGRA CELIA              SIM Hispano        KY     4F     haack02     O A Haack         20/1
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Distorted Humor duchess,  out of the sim mare Light Haack (by Storm Cat) exits a nice win in a hot race allowance at this trip,  drilling a 114 SP# in an off the pace effort.  Bay four year old filly was 2nd around the course one before that in a NW4x allowance at 8.25 panels,  drawing a 107 SP#.  One back of that she won a NW4L allowance at 8.5 furlongs,  dropping a 106 SP# from mid pack.  Runner from the haack02 racing group steps way up in class making her first stakes appearance,  but is in good form now and could be along for a minor share on best.
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WAIT OR WASTE               All-Stars Racing        FR     5F     isabella19     RK Evans         14/1
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Brown five year old mare was an excellent,  closing 3rd in her first stakes try in the G3 Natural Springs Stakes at 7 furlongs,  tossing a 111 SP# moving from next to last early.  Redoute’s Choice ripper,  out of the sim mare Speightful Dooter (by Speightstown),  took an open allowance at 7.5 panels in her prior outing,  throwing a 110 SP# in a last to first trip.   She won a state bred allowance one before that at 7 furlongs,  tabbing a 102 SP# in a stalking run.  Versatile isabella19 trainee could be a early pace factor,  can hit the board if she maintains her current good form.
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KASH STORM                       East-West Connect    KY     6F     kashbred3     K Ledwith         6/1
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Three time G1 champion ended 2017 on a sour note when last of fourteen in the G1 The Japan Dirt Cup at 9 furlongs in the slop against males,  lucking into a 101 SP# while always watching them all.  Scratch bred Bernardini babe (by Storm Cat) closed well for 4th one before that in the G1 Breeders’ Bowl Distaff,  landing a 111 SP# from way back in the pack.  Bay six year old mare won the G1 Superfilly Handicap in her previous outing,  lashing a 110 SP# moving from next to last.  Runner from the kashbred3 racing stable cuts back to a mile in her 2018 debut;  classy lady could loom large in the lane if ready off twelve week freshening.  Handicapper likes her chances as one of the three co-second choices.
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SADDLES ABLAZE           Blazing Saddles        KY     5F     sms1         A Jolly             7/1
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Late running Hard Spun Honey,  out of the sim mare The Jokes On Me (by Ghostzapper),  came on for 2nd last out in an open allowance at 8.5 furlongs,  nailing a 108 SP# moving from last.  She was a gaining 4th one back of that in a residency stakes against males at this trip,  notching a 112 SP# from way back.  In her previous try she was no factor in the G2 The Cool Hand Luke at this distance,  nabbing a 102 SP#.  Five year old bay mare from the sms1 barn would prefer rapid pace up front,  but lack of front runners  doesn’t help her cause.

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 A PRIZE SHE MAKES      Racing HQ        KY     5F     hellholt     B Wu             11/1
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Another deep closer,  this one from the hellholt racing group,  who comes out of a no impact 11th in the G3 The Exit Stage Left at 8.5 furlongs,  working out a 102 SP#.  Bay five year old mare flew home for 4th one back of that in the G2 The Cool Hand Luke at this route, wrangling a 111 SP# moving from last of fourteen.  Scratch bred Pure Prize princess (by Broad Brush) was a close 3rd in her prior run in the G2 The Pitcher Molly at 8.5 panels,  whacking a 112 SP#.  She would also like some pace up front,  but still may not be enough ground for her in this heat.
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 ERETRIA                                   Midas             ENG     5F     almaarad     F Gossett         5/1
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Last out on to the race track is our morning line favorite,  who was a late moving 3rd in her 2017 finale in the Black Sparky listed stakes at this route,  slashing to a 110 SP#.  Charm Spirit cutie,  out of the sim mare Divinity (by Elusive Quality),  stormed down the straight to get the place in the G2 The Cool Hand Luke at this distance,  scalding a 115 SP# from mid pack.  Bay five year old mare showed some life for 3rd one back of that  in the Admirals Projects listed at a mile,  snagging a 108 SP#.  Stretch runner from the almaarad racing stable will need a clever jockey ride to navigate smooth trip from  imposing post position.
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Good luck everybody,  and may they all come home fast,  safe and sound,

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Equinics 2018 – Krishna

 Posted by at 11:53 am  Previews
Feb 232018
 

Equinics 2018 Krishna Fillies and Mares, 12 Furlongs, Fast Dirt

Race ID : 2049006

As we get into late February, the sap is starting to rise in Vermont’s much vaunted maple trees, and the excitement level among the Equinics residencies is rising too.

This Equinics race commemorates the great Arizona-bred son of CARISMATICO (CHI), KRISHNA, an unraced 10-year-old.

http://derbyfever.com/onehorse_inline.asp?horse=11100001367

No, wait, it must be for the Hall of Fame inductee from Theatrical Stables of the same exact name.

http://derbyfever.com/onehorse_inline.asp?horse=10400011687

That top racemare, a product of the eponymous sire of her stable, was a stalwart distance horse, winning several Grade 1 races on dirt and turf from ten furlongs to two miles.  She banked $5 million plus, and serves as a worthy Equinics ideal for the aspirations of this year’s fourteen Equinics competitors.

A mile and a half on dirt is, in North America at the very least, a specialty distance, even more so for females.  There are not many opportunities for the real-life, top-class distaffer on this continent.  Sim breeders can use sires successful in the classic races, but there is still the problem of a late-winter dirt surface affected by recent freeze-thaw cycles in Vermont.  Let us greet, then, the representatives of the fourteen residencies who have accepted this challenge.

MIDWEEK runs for Pointblank under the ESR banner.  She is herself a sim classic winner, having trounced the boys in the New Yorker last year.  She went on to challenge older horses at the end of her season, finishing well beaten in the Breeders Bowl Marathon.  But against older mares she was much more impressive, with on the board finishes in the Great Dane and Empire State Stayer.  It still looks like it will be tough sledding for her today.

CHARM OF LIZ runs for Hardhead2 and the NWRC.  She has enjoyed running amongst her fellow Turkish-breds, with four wins at today’s distance or longer, including local bred stakes.  The daughter of Scarface was just mid-pack against Grade 3 foes in the All Nighter, though. It looks as though she was a little closer to the pacemakers in that one, and with a reduction in distance for this graded event, perhaps her best tracking style will resurface for a much improved showing.

KNOWS BEST represents Amir1605 and Elite.  The German bred and daughter of Dabirsim has most of her wins on polytrack, but more recently has popped some triple digits at around this distance on dirt. Past efforts indicate she will challenge for the lead, though with this step up in class it may prove a challenge to remain in the trifecta by the end.

HASHTAG PYE, the Tyedye/EWC representative, has really just burst upon the distance-running scene in her past few races.  She followed up a November frontrunning allowance win at two miles with the same feat in December’s Saturday Night Girl, that time posting a 113 speed.  Her debut this year was a step back in the Pittsburgh Stayer, but a return to December’s form would make a formidable one to catch today.

MEDAGLIA MARCI, for Liam and the GR Simsters, rides in on a four-race streak; more impressively, she has won each race by a wider margin than the last.  It’s fair to give the Cape Cross lass the chance here, even though she has not run in a graded event to date, because this is the time in a horse’s career where you have to try the big girls.  Oddsmakers have her at 9-1, but I like her a little more than that.

CONNECT THE SPOTS, who runs for Tgerk and MIDAS, has also won four straight, though by almost the exact same four-plus lengths each time.  She has taken down some of her competitors in that span when winning the Pittsburgh and the Empire State, and the betting public is figuring her for the favorite.  With a light 14-race docket for a 7-year-old, due mostly to a two-year break after her maiden win, and a powerful closing style, she is deserving and dangerous.

EMPTY ETHICS, racing for Flagdown under the Pastures of Green colors, grew into her own at the end of her sophomore season, winning two dirt distance stakes.  Her 4-year-old debut was iffy, but if that’s a throwout, there is a lot to like in the strongly bred Honor Code female.  Can probably lay behind the speedy ones and be ready for a big run at the first opportunity going home.

GO OUT STRONG (the Blazing Saddles rep for Mtk76) is aptly named as a typical frontrunner. She has run a series of big numbers in allowances and stakes at this distance, but had somewhat more trouble navigating the fourteen furlongs and Graded level of the Empire State two back.  Jockey M Kelly stays aboard, but does he understand the filly properly?  There is talent here, but one wonders whether it will manifest against some toughies at this juncture.

OLLIE SAND, running for Rbokie24 and URC, the Irish Oaks victor from two years ago, has quite relished her recent change to, first, poly surfaces, and now, in 2018 and for the first time ever, to dirt.  Her dirt debut last month was a smashing six-length romp in a West Virginia stakes.  There is the back-class factor in her favor, but probably she needs her very best to win gold for URC.

SOFIA VERGARA is pretty, it is true, but as a runner for Haack and Sim Hispano, she has been impressing in this dirt distance division since 2016.  She will most likely be making her move from far back, and with graded placings and a life-best speed of 115 at the distance, she should not be discounted for the win.

YANKEE CRYSTAL, the Handshobby filly for the All-Stars, is a win machine at 13 for 18 lifetime, and maybe just peaking as she turns four.  Equally at home on turf and dirt, and with enough speed to win at seven furlongs, it seems like a good bet that she could also be adaptable enough to not try to fight off all the other speed today.  If not, it may turn into a class test that could be her undoing.

Regally-bred FEELIN’THEFEELIN’ lost out in the Empire State, but prepped for representing Minnesota Testbarn by running in Sweden at eleven furlongs.  Canyongate had the touch in that race, as she won easily with a career-best 114 speed.  A fourth member of the Jolly jockey clan (P) takes the reins today, so it may help if he can get some tips from his siblings who have already had the ride.

WATCH ME STRUT (Zia runner representing Racing HQ) might have a little more juice for a ten-furlong affair than this longer stretch.  A speed-favoring style could be compromising, but a life-best 114 speed counts in her favor.  I think her chances are a little longer than her 7-1 odds.

At the extreme outside runs DARK OXBOW for the prolific Lightng99 and my residency, Megalopolis.  She has the longest odds of all, but she does run well at the distance.  It will be a step up to compete against these, but being by Belmont-placed Oxbow can’t hurt.

Medal predictions:

Gold – MIDAS

Silver – Minnesota Testbarn

Bronze – All-Stars

 

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Equinics – The Mr. Devious

 Posted by at 10:48 pm  Previews
Feb 222018
 

The Mr. Devious will be for the older turf sprinters, and is named after Mr. Devious, a warrior horse who won 27 out of 55 lifetime starts between 2005 and 2010. He was the winner of five G1 races, and hit the board in two Breeders’ Bowl races. He racked up $5.8 million for owner londoner.

This race is set at 6 furlongs on a firm turf course at South Korea, and will feature a rematch of some G1 winners, as well as some new faces that could spoil the party.

(1) BARB CAN’T RECALL (representing Pastures of Green, owner barbheff, 25/1) has been a machine at winning ungraded stakes, racking up eight of them in 16 lifetime starts. In total, he’s won 12 out of 16 races. Despite the ungraded success, he’s only started in one graded stakes race, which was a victory in the Group III Canterbury Tales in Australia last March. He’s wrapped up 2017 with two wins in September and October, before finishing a close second with a career best SP of 107 in November. Coming in off a 3+ month layoff, we’ll have to see if that’s a plus or minus. The 6 furlong distance seems to be what he prefers, and while this is his first effort against older horses, any improvement in form puts him at least in the conversation to be a factor in the minor prizes.

(2) GHOST AVENUE (representing Elite, owner summerset4, 10/1) was putting up decent races back in 2016, but struggling to rack up many wins late in his 3-year-old season. After owner summerset4 switched him over to the turf last January, the light bulb went off and he quickly rattled off two wins, which were then followed by three on-the-board finishes in graded stakes races. This included a victory in the Group II Len Knocks in the UK. After a solid second in the Group I Sprint Cup, he faded badly in his two most recent races after being up close to the pace early, finishing ninth and thirteenth. It’s hard to explain the sharp drop-off in form, and it’ll be tough to predict how he will fare here.

(3) ARAM HALO (representing GR Simsters, owner givenfinal, 6/1) is one of three G1 winners in this race, and he has two to his name, the MGD Special in France last July and the Breeders’ Bowl Turf Sprint in November. His only race since then was in the King Kong Sprint back in December, where he never really fired and finished 5th. After a lot of globetrotting in late 2017, he has a relatively short trip up here to South Korea. He is definitely one to watch – if you throw out his last race (which he only finished 3 3/4 lengths back despite finishing 5th), he has been ultra consistent. If he runs his best effort on Saturday, he’ll have an excellent chance to win.

(4) FEASTING (representing Blazing Saddles, owner mainsequence, 7/1) is still searching for his first graded stakes victory, despite some close calls recently. He finished third in the Grade II Near Tic at Ontario in October, and then finished a close second in the Group III Japan Sprint in November. He followed that up with an open allowance race last month, where he won easily by nearly 3 lengths. He has been very consistent since moving back to the turf in September, and this seems to be the best distance for him. That was a nice prep race last time out, and he could easily be contending for a medal here.

(5) SUR LEMON DROP (representing EWC, owner booberry, 9/1) has won 12 out of 23 lifetime starts, but will make his first G1 start here. He’s coming off two solid wins in ungraded stakes races in December and over this turf course in January. He has had some more mixed results in his G2 and G3 starts, but still has several on-the-board finishes, including a victory in the Group III Bally’s Chorus over in Ireland last June. It looks like sprint races are more up his alley than the races closer to a mile, so he should like the cutback is distance today. His consistency makes him a player in here despite the sizable step up in class.

(6) KAATERSKILL FALLS (representing ESR, owner chloedawg1, 6/1) will make his ninth straight G1 start, and usually either fires in these races or doesn’t. He has won 3 out of the 8 times, finished second once and finished off the board the other four times. The last line is certainly a solid win, as he took home the Group I Pekays Remembrance Stakes down in New Zealand last month. Looking through the past performances, though, you notice that he has never put together two on-the-board finishes in a row in G1 races. With that in mind, while this horse definitely has the talent to win this race, I have to wonder if he’ll be able to find the winner’s circle given the recent pattern.

(7) SKOWHEGAN (representing URC, owner newmarketstud, 12/1) has been rounding into somewhat better form of late, finishing third in the Group III Desert Airport Trophy back in September. He followed that up with a win next time out in a Group III in Italy. After a nice ungraded stakes win in December, he never really fired on a yielding turf course last month in a Group III race. He’ll make the jump to G1 company in this race. While he has certainly made some nice strides in the past 4-6 months, I still think he’s just a cut below the top horses in here. Even so, running a race like that G3 win in November would at least put him close to the lead group.

(8) HOLES IN MY PANTS (representing ASR, owner krustyk, 6/1) has been very sharp over his last few races, and he’ll be looking to continue that into this race as one of the favorites and the leading earner in the field. After a solid second in November’s Breeders’ Bowl Turf Sprint, he went on to win the Group I King Kong Sprint in early December. To prepare for this race, owner krustyk shipped him in early enough to get a tightener race in – an allowance race last month, where he went off as the heavy favorite and did end up with the victory, although he did have to work hard to get by stubborn WUZ UP HANK in the stretch. If he runs like he has been lately, he should be charging hard at the end.

(9) STEEL NURV (representing Racing HQ, owner acity, 34/1) will go off as one of the longer shots on the board, although he has put together some nice races of late. The question is whether he can compete at this level. He is coming off a nice wire-to-wire win down in New Zealand in a NW4x allowance. Before that, he finished second and fourth in a pair of ungraded stakes races. He’s only made one graded stakes start, which ended in an 8th place finish in the Group III Tetris Stakes last April in Ireland. While he’s been fairly consistent of late, I’m not sure he’ll be quite ready to step up to this level of competition.

(10) JOHNY BAG O DONUTS (representing Minnesota Testbarn Residency, owner cyrusbred, 9/1) is a horse who’s form has been all over the place lately while racing longer distances. In October, he easily won an open local-bred allowance race with an SP of 115, but faltered next time out in a NW2s, finshing 6th over 15 lengths back. Last time out, he fared a bit better, finishing fifth in a MNTB residency stakes race. He has visited the winner’s circle plenty over his career, winning 13 out of 25 lifetime starts, many coming in allowance and ungraded stakes races. He does have a Group III race on his resume, which was a close second at this distance back in September. Has the talent to be close here, but those last two races don’t instill a ton of confidence on the step up in class.

(11) RAYO DE SOL (representing Sim Hispano, owner argentino7, 8/1) is the oldest horse in the field, and actually competed in this very race in the last Equinics back in 2016. He struggled to keep up, finishing 18th out of 19 that day. That, of course, was a year and a half ago. This is a horse that has put in some nice races, but has struggled to get the top prize in a stakes race for some time. He comes into this race on a hot streak, winning four in a row by more than a length. These were all in allowance races, including a hot race last month at this surface to help him get more comfortable here. He’s had some great races in his career and is in nice form, but his inconsistency in stakes races makes me leery.

(12) GOVENOR DALE (representing NWRC, owner bird, 28/1) is coming into this off the best race of his career, posting an SP number of 109 in an allowance race over a good turf course last month in the U.S. He has been improving over the last several races, but is still searching for his first stakes win. He finished third two back in an ungraded stakes at Iowa, but finished off the board in the other two attempts. The California-bred has been racing at longer distances of late, generally between 7.5 and 9 furlongs. He has not raced at this 6-furlong distance since his debut race in August 2016, and I’m not convinced the cutback in distance will be a big help here.

(13) DARK GLACKZAPPER (representing Megalopolis, owner wyndaway30, 15/1) will find a new surface under his hooves for the first time in over two years, as this will be his first race on the turf since January 2016. The first few races of his career were on the grass, but he was much sharper on the dirt and had never looked back…until today. He’s had some nice races over the dirt, including a second in the Grade III Maryland Breeders Bowl last May. He’s also coming off a victory in an ungraded race over in the U.S. last time out, which was back in December. This horse has displayed some talent, but I have a hard time getting on board with no recent turf races to go off of, especially since he has seemed to to better on the grass.

(14) THE JUDGEMENT (representing Midas, owner deyoto7, 12/1) rounds out the field, and has won four in a row dating back to September. After starting his career on the dirt, he has won 6 out of 7 on the turf. Owner deyoto7 seems to have found his ideal distance, as three of those four straight wins were at this 6-furlong distance, including an ungraded stakes last time out and the Group III Zeppelin Cap down in New Zealand back in December. While against lesser company, those races stack up reasonably well against most of this field. Plus, his jockey, GD Mate, is hitting at over 30% in the past 3 months. This will certainly be a step up, but he seems very sharp right now, and I’ll take a shot with him.

My Picks:

(14) THE JUDGEMENT (Midas) 12/1 – A fresh face to a lot of the top horses in here – he comes into this race very sharp and really likes this distance. Post won’t be as much of an issue with the long backstretch to run, and he gets a positive jockey change.

(8) HOLES IN MY PANTS (ASR) 6/1 – That King Kong Sprint was a nice race. Had probably a tougher trip than expected here last time out in the allowance race that was a prep for this. Now, he’s had a trip over this surface, so there are no excuses.

(4) FEASTING (Blazing Saddles) 7/1 – Consistency has improved since moving back to the turf last summer. I like the freshener in Japan last month, and he should be ready to roll.

(3) ARAM HALO (GR Simsters), 6/1 – Has a Breeders’ Bowl win under his belt – just didn’t quite fire last time. If he does fire this time, he’ll be in contention for a win.

(1) BARB CAN’T RECALL (Pastures of Green) 25/1 – This horse likes to win…a lot. Most of his success has been in ungraded stakes, but he has a sneaky G3 win from last year. With up-and-coming sire I Am Invincible in the pedigree, I think he races better than his odds would suggest.

Good luck to all!

Views (208)

Feb 222018
 

An impressive field of 13 older fillies and mares are set to head to the post in the $1,250,000 Buda With The Slew, a 10 furlong race on the dirt in my adopted home state of Vermont. 

This Grade 1 Equinics event is named after Hall of Famer Buda With The Slew, one of the earliest stars of the Sim. The 20-year-old son of Danzig, out of a Seattle Slew mare, raced 35 times for capeside at the beginning of the century. Buda With The Slew finished in the money in just over half of his trips to the post, earning nearly $4,000,000 for his connections. Among his ten victories were an awesome six Grade 1 wins! 

As a two year old, Buda With The Slew broke his maiden in his second start in July, before winning an allowance race in his fourth start in late August. His next race, the Grade 1 High Flyer Stakes on the grass in Ireland, marked the beginning of a brilliant stretch, during which he finished in the money in 10 of 11 starts in graded company on both the dirt and the turf. Buda With The Slew won the High Flyer by more than three lengths, and he followed up that effort with a third place finish in the Grade 2 Manofjunk Stakes. He then posted a 106 speed figure while winning the Grade 1 Breeders Bowl Juvenile by nearly three lengths in his first attempt on the dirt since a third place finish in his debut. He finished off his two year old season with a third place finish in the Grade 1 VideoLand Colt Division. 

Expectations were high for Buda With The Slew as 2001 began, but his three year old season got off to a slow start, with a seventh place finish in the Grade 2 StarHandicapping.com, followed by a pair of in the money finishes in Grade 3 events. Things began turning around for him when he won the Grade 1 Corkscrew Stakes in March, followed by a win in the Grade 1 Santa Clara Derby. This set Buda With The Slew up for the Grade 1 Bluegrass Stakes, which he won by 3 ½ lengths as the 8-1 second choice. Next up was the Grade 1 Middle Jewel Stakes, which he won by a quarter of a length to deliver his fourth consecutive Grade 1 victory! 

Sadly, the Middle Jewel victory represented the peak of Buda With The Slew’s career. He finished a distant eighth as the 7-2 favorite in his run at the Triple Crown in the New Yorker, and with the exception of one race, was never quite the same horse after winning the Middle Jewel. Some have speculated that wear and tear finally got the best of him. Buda With The Slew raced 15 times over the first 11 months of his career, delivering eight of his ten career wins, including all six of his Grade 1 victories. He did bounce back from The New Yorker, winning the Grade 2 Buckeye Derby in July, but then won just one more race in his final 18 trips to the starting gate.

But what an effort that final win was! After concluding his three year old season with seven straight out of the money finishes, expectations were tempered as Buda With The Slew began his four year old season. Only two horses went to the post with longer odds in the Grade 2 San Valenzuela Breeders Bowl Stakes. At 13-1, Buda With The Slow delivered a performance for the ages on a sloppy track in California, running a career best 129 speed figure to best fellow Hall of Famer Western Groom by nearly three lengths. The third place finisher was more than 20 lengths behind the winner. It was clear that Buda With The Slew’s best days were behind him after that race, however, as he registered just two third place finishes in his final ten races, wrapping up his storied career with a fourth place finish in an Allowance race in Nevada in September 2002. While today’s field is quite accomplished, none of these fillies and mares have yet reached the same heights that Buda With The Slew did almost two decades ago. 

That said, it is an impressive field, and we are expecting a very competitive race. Let’s look at the contenders:

1 – Noodle Salad (13-1)

One of ten Stakes winners in the field, trainer grtnotion (atthewire) plucked this nicely-bred four-year-old (Candy Ride x Danzig x Mr. Prospector) out of claiming company last July. Since then, she has won four of five races, including back-to-back stakes wins. For her career, Noodle Salad has won six of 15 starts, earning over $275,000. While the public likely won’t back this representative of EWC, there’s a lot to like here, as she’ll be well-rested, is proven at today’s distance, and is coming off a career best 113 speed figure.

2 – St. Louis Orchestra (13-1)

Representing Midas, St. Louis Orchestra presents a bit of a challenge for bettors. Her in the money percentage is best in the field, as she has missed the board in just one of 13 starts. However, this gael5-trained (shagfarms) filly has the lowest winning percentage of any entrant, with just two trips to the winner’s circle. One of only three horses in the race without a stakes win, we think this daughter of Arch might be in a bit over her head today, but we can’t fault anyone for using her on the back end of their exotics.

3 – Divine Kingdom (6-1)

The Minnesota Testbarn Residency is represented by Divine Kingdom, a six-year-old daughter of King Kamehameha. Spruce3 claimed the mare for just $25,000 in late 2014, and resuscitated her career with a move to the dirt. She has now won seven of 20 starts, earning over $300,000. Divine Kingdom had a solid season last year, hitting the board in five of seven starts, with a pair of wins. She won the Grade 3 Lapel Pin Stakes against a pair of today’s rivals at this distance in October, posting a career best speed figure of 118. Hard to ignore, but at today’s odds we’ll probably look elsewhere in a very even field.

4 – Shades of Dawn (17-1)

This asrstar8-trained (tenpoint) filly highlights the depth of today’s Equinics field. Shades of Dawn has won half of her 14 starts, earning nearly a quarter of a million dollars, but she will head to the gate as the longest shot in the field for ASR. The daughter of Dawn Approach, out of stakes winning mare Forty Shades Green, prepped for The Buda With The Slew with an easy hot race victory last month over 11 furlongs on the grass. We think she’s better suited for the turf than the dirt, and would be surprised to see her in the photo. But what do we know? Her connections have tried the turf-to-dirt angle with her three times in the past, and it has delivered a pair of wins at today’s distance.

5 – Perturbada (10-1)

Sim Hispano is represented by Perturbada, a nicely-bred (Awesome Again x Empire Maker x Nureyev) mare trained by pato14 (pato7). The five-year-old has hit the board in 12 of 14 starts, winning seven times and earning over $268,000. After three months of freshening, she made her 2018 debut last month, easily winning an Allowance race at today’s distance while posting a 106 speed figure. Perturbada also has a stakes win at today’s distance to her credit from last April, when she won the A.P. Sadler Dirt Mare Route with a career-best speed figure of 115. She’ll need to be at her best in the Equinics to compete with this crew.

6 – Guns For Hands (11-1)

One of two Grade 1 winners in this event, this lightly-raced filly won the Grade 1 Sister Hen Stakes with a career-best speed figure of 111 last June. She’s raced four times for nepenthe14 (nepenthe) since then against top-flight competition, with a third place finish in the Grade 2 Cotton Handicap to show for her efforts. This representative of URC has won six of 13 starts, earning over $800,000. She clearly has the class to compete with this field, possesses sterling bloodlines (Empire Maker x Bernardini x Kingmambo), and should be well-rested after almost three months off, but we’re looking at others on the top of our tickets.

7 – Amulet of Mara (5-1)

Masterm07 (masterm) trains Amulet of Mara, the morning line second choice. The six-year-old seems to check all the boxes you’d expect from an entrant by the powerful GR Simsters team. More wins than anyone else in the field? Check, with nine victories in 18 starts. Regally-bred? Check, Tapit x Deputy Minister x Mr. Prospector. A blazing career-best speed figure? Check, with a 118 in an Allowance victory last March. She won her first stakes race last month by nearly six lengths, taking the Seattles West Dirt Mare Route at 10.5 furlongs. While she’s stepping up in class, ignore her at your own risk.

8 – Antrim Coast (12-1)

This daughter of Golden Horn (GB) out of the Grade 1 winning mare Lacada Paint wears the silks of xpansion9 (dixiedotco) while racing for Pastures of Green.  While five wins in 13 starts doesn’t sound that impressive in the context of this field, she is proven against top class competition, with almost $700,000 in earnings and a pair of in the money finishes in Grade 1 races at today’s distance. She was closing at the end her last time out, posting a career-best speed figure of 112 in a narrow miss in the Racey Opossum Dirt Mare Route at 9.5 furlongs. Antrim Coast is in the best form of her life, with seven straight triple digit speed figures, and should appreciate the extra half furlong today. Definite value here, so we can’t fault those who take a flyer on her at 12-1. 

9 – First Spin Gold (9-2)

My residency (ESR) is represented by the morning line favorite, a five-year-old daughter of Hard Spun out of the stakes-placed mare An Angel First. The kingny2-trainee (kingab) is the model of consistency, and hasn’t delivered a speed figure below 105 in nearly two years. She’s earned over $400,000, with seven wins and 14 in the money finishes in 17 starts. The three-time stakes winner has never competed against higher than Grade 3 company, so she will be stepping up in class against this crew. First Spin Gold will have to be at her best to bring home an Equinics Gold, but almost certainly will be in the mix as they race down the stretch.

10 – Sabora (11-1)

Racing HQ is represented by Sabora, a five-year-old daughter of I’ll Have Another. The keenfire-trained (zia) mare has won five times in 21 starts, earning almost $170,000. Some will immediately throw her out because she hasn’t hit the board in two tries in stakes races, but we note that she’s coming off the best race of her career, running a 115 speed figure in Allowance company in Oregon last month. She’s never tackled today’s distance, but we think she’ll appreciate a bit more length. That said, we still see better value elsewhere.

11 – Well Hello Dolly (7-1)

Representing Elite, Well Hello Dolly is the only Equinics veteran in this field. Two years ago she finished fourth in the Equinics at today’s distance against three-year-old fillies. This Grade 2-winning daughter of Union Rags has won seven times in 18 starts, earning over $662,000. She won three in a row for rac4 (summerset), two of which were at the graded stakes level, before a disappointing fourth place finish in an Allowance event last month. We’re assuming her connections used that as a prep race, and think she’s a live one. 

12 – Competitive Swag (14-1)

The only millionaire in the race, Competitive Swag has won seven races in 13 starts for trainer blazsadcfo (mtk76), earning almost $1.4 million. Last year this Blazing Saddles representative raced in three consecutive Grade 1 events in New York, finishing second in the Players Club National Oaks and winning the Birmingham Stakes before a 13th place finish in The Great Dame in her first attempt against older competition. The four-year-old daughter of Competitive Edge, out of stakes winner Swagger Jacker, hasn’t ventured back into graded company since then, winning a pair of Allowance races and finishing second in a non-graded stakes. Despite her impressive on-track accomplishments, she’ll need a career-best performance to top this loaded field. 

13 – Picnicathangingrck (14-1)

The most experienced competitor in today’s field, this representative of Megalopolis has four wins in 24 career starts. The five-year-old Aussie-bred mare races for 5wide (fastnfirm), and has earned over $230,000 for her connections. The daughter of Fastnet Rock, out of stakes winning mare Looming Threat, has only raced on the dirt four times in her career, with two wins and a place to show for her efforts. She finished 11th in the Grade 3 Lapel Pin Stakes, well behind two of today’s rivals, Divine Kingdom and Perturbada, in her last attempt on the dirt. Picnicathangingrck will need to take a major step forward to win against this crew.

POINTGUARD’S PICKS:

GOLD – Amulet of Mara (GR Simsters)

SILVER – First Spin Gold (ESR)

BRONZE – Antrim Coast (Pastures of Green)

BEST LONGSHOT – Noodle Salad (EWC)

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EQUINICS – I SEEK YOU

 Posted by at 3:47 pm  Previews
Feb 222018
 

Vermont (VT)  Saturday, February 24, 2018 — 1:40PM EST | Race ID : 2049003

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Grade I / Group 1 – Sponsored – Purse : $1,250,000
4 Year Olds and Older    Owner Restricted
8   Furlongs | ~1600 Meters | One Mile       Fast Dirt
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Vermont

 

 

 

 

 

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A full field of fourteen older male milers will meet in the I Seek You event of the 2018 Equinics,  from the state fair grounds in Rutland,  Vermont.   This race will be contested at a flat mile (or ~1600 meters for the metric fans) over the mile dirt oval,  with the entries battling it out for the winner’s share of the $1,250,000 purse,  and for the glory and recognition that comes with a victory in one of these prestigious events.  All of the Equinics trophy presentation ceremonies are a blast,  and this should prove to be no exception.
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This race is named in honor of the only sim three year old dirt Triple Crown winner,  I Seek You.
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I  SEEK  U
2002 horse, (Gone West x Unfuwain x Mr. Prospector)
Owner/Trainer: indy            Record: 28-14-4-1; $5,116,580
Six time G1 winner,  Triple Crown winner,  placed in three other G1′s.
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The handicapper had a real tough time with this field.  Finally,  he just threw up all his papers into the air and rated a five horse group as the co-favorites at 7/1 on the morning line.   This is a solid group of milers,  with a good mix of front runners and late closers.  This should be an exciting race,  and the stretch run should be quite a sight.  Let’s take a closer look at the field in post position order and see what the figures may reveal.
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DANCE NOW                       Midas         KY     6G     scharenberg         F Gossett     8/1
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Leading the post parade is this light grey six year old gelding,  who closed well for 2nd last out in the G3 It’s All Your Fault stakes at this trip,  sizzling a 118 SP# from midpack.  Tiznow toughie,  out of the stakes placed sim mare Just Zoot (by Storm Cat),  was a dull 8th one back of that in the G2 Middle Ground Mile,  stabbing a 111 SP# while never a factor.  He just missed getting the money in his prior try in the G3 The Salvatore Mile,  slashing a 115 SP# from the middle of the pack.  Scharenberg trainee has four wins at this route,  will need smooth trip from the rail – his prior inside post assignments were not his best efforts.
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HALCON                                   Sim Hispano        KY     5M     argentino8         A Jolly         7/1
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Speedster from the argentino8 barn exits a hot race mile,   where he went wire to wire with a 119 SP# in his 2018 debut.  Scratch bred Uncle Mo master (by Forty Niner),  tired badly late to finish 11th in the G1 Sterile Mile one before that,  dropping a 109 SP# dueling on the lead.  He smoked an open allowance at this distance in his previous start,  drilling a 119 SP# making all the pace.  Looks like he can get to the front from inside barrier;  certainly eligible to clear them and not look back,  if he can avoid a speed duel with LUCKI DAN.  One of the five co-favorites on the handicapper’s early line.
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TAP SUZY                               Empire State        KY     5M     snag             H Harzheim     7/1
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Light grey five year old horse makes his 2018 debut.  He ended 2017 with a poor 13th place finish in the G1 Sterile Mile,  posting a 105 SP# while never in it.  Tapit tomcat,  out of the graded placed sim mare Suzyniner (by Forty Niner),  just failed to hold on when 2nd in the G1 Breeders’ Bowl Dirt Mile,  pasting a 112 SP# in a pace setting performance.  His prior try was a victory in the G2 Middle Ground Mile,  popping a huge 123 SP# from just off the pace.  Seven of his eight career wins were at this distance;  one of the five co-favorites should track HALCON and look to get the jump on the deep closers into the lane for owner/trainer snag.
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INSIDE PITCH                   Megalopolis        KY     4M     gallantbloom         S L Ledwith     28/1
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Hailing from the gallantbloom stable is this Street Sense strider,  out of the sim mare Fielder’s Choice (by Grand Slam),  who apparently disliked the sloppy surface last out when 11th in the G3 The Pal’s Hope at this route,  casting a 100 SP# while no factor.  Brown four year old colt came on for 3rd one before that in the G3 It’s All Your Fault Stakes,  also at a mile,  crashing a 117 SP# from the middle of the pack.  In his previous start he closed well for 2nd in the G2 South Bend Derby at 8.5 panels,  copping a 114 SP#.  Stretch runner looks to rebound off last,  should be part of the cavalry charge home;  will need top try to impact this group if the handicapper’s 28/1 rating is an indication.
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LUCKI DAN                           Minn. Testbarn        KY     5M     falcon12         N Ambrose     11/1
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Scratch bred Smart Strike stroller (by Danzig) seeks third straight win making his initial grade/group appearance.  He wired the MNTB Dirt Mile last time over,  zapping a 116 SP#.  One back of that he ran off with a restricted allowance at 8.5 furlongs,  zinging a 111 SP# leading at every call.  One before  that he failed to hold on in an open allowance at 6.5 panels,  zipping a 106 SP# making all the pace.  Runner from the falcon12 racing group will have to contend with HALCON on the front end,  gets serious class test trying for Equinics glory.  Handicapper gives him a decent shot at 11/1 on the morning line.
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DIVERGENT STREAMS     NWRC       KY     4G     hardhead     J Dawg             31/1
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Reformed claimer picks a tough spot to make his stakes debut,  after taking a NW1x allowance at this trip,  sticking a 109 SP# from just off the pace.  Light grey four year old gelding got caught late when 2nd in a NW4x allowance at 8.25 panels,  smacking a 112 SP# prompting the early pace.  War Front wrangler,  out of the stakes placed sim mare In The Books (by Tapit) was claimed for $60,000 in his prior start,  a wire to wire score,  slinging a 109 SP#.   Continues to improve for the hardhead barn,  but has never faced a field like this.  Handicapper holds him as the longest shot in the field at 31/1.
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READY INDEED                Elite Racing    AUS     4M     mightyforego26     R Pollard     18/1
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Roan four year old colt was a no factor 10th last out in the G3 Narrowly Missed Stakes at 7.5 furlongs,  kicking out a 109 SP# over a good surface he probably didn’t care for.  More Than Ready mister,  out of the sim mare Rare Indeed (by Unbridled’s Song),  flew home to take the Koorawatha listed stakes at this route,  killing a 119 SP# from back in the pack.  My rez’ representative is in town,  so I got to talking with mightyforego about his steed.  “I’m very happy to be participating in this year’s Equinics. This colt has taken some time to develop but seems to do his best running at a mile where he has run some very solid speed figures.  Although he hasn’t performed well in his two previous graded tries, I’m hoping that the third time is the charm.  I am especially proud of this horse because he is out of a mare I bred in my first year of playing the game. His dam was probably one of the first ‘expensive’ breedings I ever made. It was the last year of breeding for Unbridled’s Song and I wanted to have a one of his mares for breeding purposes. So far she has one graded and one listed winner out of 3 foals.”  Good luck Dave.
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FOREVER MALIBU        GR Simsters    KY     4G     fairhaven1         L Radzinski     13/1
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Malibu Moon mauler,  out of the graded placed stakes winner Forever Forty (by Medaglia D’Oro),  faltered to 6th in his seasonal debut in the G3 The Khartoum Challenge at a mile,  tossing a 111 SP# after being close early.  Bay four year old gelding was an excellent 2nd in the G1 Sterile Mile against others in here in his 2017 finale,  throwing a 115 SP# from just off the pace.  He was a tiring 6th one back of that in the Breeders’ Bowl Dirt Mile,  tabbing a 108 SP# with his usual trip.  Runner from the fairhaven1 racing operation should be tracking the pace setters,  should be fitter today in second start of the year – upset chance.
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POPPING OUT                    Blazing Saddles    IRE     5M     bsben5         D Givins     7/1
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Another of the five co-favorites,  this one from the bsben5 stable,  flew through the straight to get the money in his latest,  the G3 The Khartoum Challenge I at this trip,  blasting a 118 SP# from way back in the pack.  Bay five year old horse won a residency stakes one back of that at a mile,  banking a 117 SP# with another stretch running effort.  One before that he just missed when a late running 2nd in the Sundays Rule listed at this trip,  bashing a 117 SP# in a twenty horse field.  SP#’s have been impressive over the last 5 months,  look for the blur in the stretch as this guy flies home from far back,  as he should get a rapid pace to chase.
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KING OF JEU                      Universal Racing     IRE     5M     fernando         O A Haack     10/1
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Sea The Stars stepper,  out of the sim mare Reina Del Mambo (by Montjeu) smoked an open allowance at 8.25 furlongs in latest,  flashing a 119 SP# in a front running performance.  Bay five year old horse tired late to 3rd one back of that in the G3 The Christmas Stakes at this distance,  flinging a 111 SP# after setting all the pace.  He tired to 10th in his prior run in the G3 Save A Buck at 8.5 panels,  flipping a 106 SP# chasing a runaway winner.  Speedster from the fernando barn faces like minded foes  here,  will find it difficult to get to the top going  into the first turn;  may be a bounce candidate off career best effort last out.
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HAVE NEW DOUBTS      Racing HQ    AUS     5M     zia3             B Wu         10/1
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Bay five year old horse was an even 4th in his 2017 finale,  the G1 The I Believe In Christmas Stake at 9 furlongs,  grabbing a 114 SP# while 4th around the track.  Not A Single Doubt nipper,  out of the sim mare Apropos (by New Approach),  stalked the leaders and ran off in the stretch,  taking the G2 Lewis & Clarke stakes at 9 panels,  garnering a 120 SP#.  He won a residency stakes at a mile one before that,  gaining a 115 SP# tracking the leader.  Zia3 protege makes first start of 2018,  will get a swift pace to chase,  but is he fit enough to contend with some tough customers in this heat.
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TIZ SPECTACULAR       All Stars    KY     5M     desertdog         K Ledwith     7/1
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The fourth of our five co-favorites exits a late running 3rd in the G2 San Valenzuala Breeders Bowl Stakes at 8.5 furlongs,  nailing a 116 SP# in a mid pack run.  Five year old light grey horse won a restricted allowance at 8.5 panels one before that, nabbing a 117 SP# with the same tactics.  Scratch bred Tiznow tomcat’s (by Broad Brush) prior outing was a closing 3rd in the Kris Noia listed stakes at this route,  notching a 113 SP# moving from 13th of fourteen.  Runner from the desertdog racing group gets contested fractions up front to help his late kick,  must overcome outside post in large field.
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DONT BE SMART W ME         East West Conn    KY     6M     sheeba         T Small         7/1
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Our fifth and final co-favorite comes off a so-so 3rd in an open allowance at 8.25 furlongs,  landing a 108 SP# from just off the pace.  Brown six year old horse won in the same exact conditions one back of that,  lashing a 116 SP# in a five horse field.  Scratch bred Smart Strike senor (by Nureyev),   was 10th one before that against some in here in the G1 Sterile Mile,  lucking into a 110 SP#  from the middle of the pack.  Runner from the sheeba stable may have his best racing days behind him,  but could hit the board for a minor share on best effort.
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ROOKIE HAZING            Pastures Of Green    AUS     5M     xpansion8         J White     11/1
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Watching them all exit the paddock is this scratch bred Bernardini bubbala (by Wild Again),  who wired the G3 The Pal’s Hope at this trip over a sloppy track,  rocking a 117 SP# while never headed.  Brown five year old horse was an even 3rd one before that in the Fly For Buda listed stakes at a mile,  racking up a 108 SP# .  In his previous outing he failed to hold on in the Slither listed at a mile on a sloppy surface after leading by as many as 7-3/4 lengths,  settling for 2nd and rambling to a 122 SP#.  Xpansion8 trainee likes to be near the early lead,  but will have a tough time accomplishing that in this field from the far outside barrier.
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Good luck everybody,  and may they all come home fast,  safe and sound.

Views (197)

Feb 222018
 

By ITCH

Inspection of the entries for the Equinics 2018 Horseshoe Bay, a Grade 1, 10-furlong turf test for older fillies and mares carrying a hefty purse of $1.25 million, shows this is a race on the cusp.

The cusp, that is, between the route and long divisions. Several of the top-qualifying fillies and mares are in the turf route division. That makes sense. The route division spans the distances from a flat mile to a mile and a quarter. However, many second-tier qualifiers hold their top rankings in the turf long division. These fillies and mares may have been earning stakes points in races which may translate more effectively to the 10-furlong distance of the Horseshoe Bay, as opposed to fillies and mares we might find in the entry list who have earned their points racing shorter distances. What kind of filly would you rather back? One that has raced well at nine furlongs or another who raced well at 11 or 12 furlongs?

Now, the inspiration for this race was most assuredly in the turf long division. HORSESHOE BAY is an all-time Sim great. He raced during the dominant days of the Texasace stables. Texasace won Trainer of the Year so many times, they retired the award.

Of all the wonderful horses who raced under the colors of Texasace, Horseshoe Bay may have been the greatest. The Hall of Famer won six straight Grade 1 races in 2005!

By Red Ransom, Horseshoe Bay was a scratch-bred using Woodman as DS and Raise a Native as DDS. Nobody who watched the 2004 running of the Breeders’ Bowl Juvenile Turf, not even his trainer, could have guessed the seventh-place finisher was bound for the Hall of Fame.

In one of so many reminders that trainers need to be patient with their horses, the great Horseshoe Bay did not flourish until his 11th start, when he was stretched out to 12 furlongs in the Grade 1 Sydney Derby. While it is true that Horseshoe Bay won his first three starts and certainly was no slouch as a junenile, he still was not quite ready for Grade 1 competition. He could not quite keep up. A year later, there was no Grade 1 field in the turf long division that could keep up with Horseshoe Bay.

By the time the Simulated horseracing history book was closed on the 2005 season, Horseshoe Bay had cemented his place in the Hall of Fame. After an unexplained clunker in the Coalminer Cup, Horseshoe Bay won the 2005 running of the Grade 1 Breedes’ Bowl Turf in spectacular fashion, romping home in front by three lengths.

Amazingly, Horseshoe Bay’s gigantic 3yo season left plenty in the tank. He came back as a 4yo to win another seven Grade 1 races! Once again, he demolished the best the Sim could offer in the Breeders’ Bowl Turf, winning by four lengths.

And still he was not done!

With 14 Grade 1 wins under his belt and two straight Breeders’ Bowl crowns, Horseshoe Bay was the undisputed king of the Sim turf, and was not yet ready to relinquish his throne. He had two more Grade 1 wins in him as a 5yo, and a third-place finish in the Breeders’ Bowl Turf. He is one of the greatest performers in the history of the Sim’s championship day, the Breeders’ Bowl.

When Horseshoe Bay was retired two races after his third-place run in his fourth BB, every Sim trainer in the game in 2007 knew we had just witnessed a career of immense proportion. He is one of the few horses in Sim history to win more than $10 million, and bag an astonishing 16 Grade 1 wins.

Our tribute complete, it is time to turn our attention to the runners in Saturday’s Equinics race. They go to post at 4:30 p.m. in South Korea.

Our top qualifier is an extremely rare horse. Almost every Grade 1 winner in the history of the game shows only one owner. Every once in a while, a horse may show no promise early in its career, drop to claiming ranks, get claimed, then elevate itself to Grade 1-winning status. Even more unusual is a horse that wins a Grade 1 race for more than one owner. Yet, this is the strange tale of KRAKEN EVIL, a 5yo bay daughter of the Irish sire Camelot. Our story must begin with an apology. This writer apologizes to Kingranch for having to report on what must be a painfully revolting development. Kingranch is the breeder and original owner of Kraken Evil. A scratch-bred with Diesis in the middle and Grey Dawn II behind, Kraken Evil was a cracking turf runner right from the start. She debuted as a 3yo, winning her debut at a flat mile, then showing real competitive spirit when jumping in class and distance for her second start, running hard at the end to get up for a narrow victory. She would win her first five in a row, culminating in a resounding score in her Grade 1 debut. What could have been better? Little did Kingranch know, his filly was about to go sour. The happy start to her career became a horror show, with back-to-back clunkers, including a disappointing 11th-place run in the Breeders Bowl. Kingranch was so distraught, he put the filly on the auction block. There, Newmarket stood waiting, Simulated checkbook in hand. As his mates at the Universal Racing Club are well aware, the purchase of Kraken Evil has to go down as one of the best auction buys in the history of our fine game. After three months of rest and the chance to turn four, Kraken Evil was ready to start running again with two easy allowance scores. Then, by October, URC joined voices in singing the old Beatles lyric: “And our friends are all aboard … many more of them lived next door … And the band begins to play … We all live in a yellow submarine, a yellow submarine, a yellow submarine.” Yes, it was the Grade 1 Yellow Submarine which saw Kraken Evil return to the Grade 1 winner’s circle. She followed that up with a score in the Grade 1 The Best of Rome. Both victories came in races at Saturday’s exact distance. Raced only once since November, it appears that Newmarket put this Equinics race squarely in the sights of this remarkable mare after her back-to-back Grade 1 wins in the fall. She is now a fresh horse on a three-race winning streak. Kraken Evil is co-second favorite at 6-1, and will break from post No. 6. No matter what happens on Saturday, she always will be one of the best auction buys you’ve ever seen.

All hail the King of Empire State Racing! Trotter runs the show, but Cadet stars in it. For two years now, Robby has ruled the ESR Training Contest. The list of races is available for all ESR members to see at the beginning of each year. Yet, none of them can do anything to knock Cadet off his throne. Not Kingab, not Trotter, not Casino. Not Bristolred, Pointblank, Frankster, Spinround, Awkwardandchai, Balata, Donny Beisbol, Hartack, Hawkz, Irisharse, Jastables, Jetman, Jrm, Lamphet, Nextbonus, Pointguard, Ruffian, Tonyalb, Capecod, Rocky, Kingman, Nycowboy, Velasa, Ace, Aladar or Ivanymil. All of these great trainers are reduced to the role of also-ran when it comes to the ESR Training Contest. So, our fine residency sends our version of Babe Ruth to the plate to represent us in the Horseshoe Bay. Can Cadet win us a gold medal with JUDGED BY CADET, a Grade 1-winning 4yo bay daughter of Dubawi, out of his graded-placed Cape Cross mare JUDGED BY NONE? She’s got the class, as evidenced by her triumph three back in the Grade 1 QE2 Challenge. Judged By Cadet crushed the field that day, rolling home more than three lengths in front. However, that race was at a mile and an eighth, and Saturday’s Equinics test comes at a mile and a quarter. Can Judged By Cadet contend at the longer distance? So far, it’s proven a furlong too far. The shrewd Cadet attempted to prepare his fine filly for Equinics with an easy 10-furlong allowance win. The only problem? She did not win. “Her last run was just a prep, but was disappointing,” Cadet admitted. “She flashed all sorts of talent moving up the class ladder. She is an absolute splash of a filly from the mare’s first foal.” Judging from her debut at 10 furlongs, one might suspect that Judged By Cadet will be forwardly placed. “It all depends on the jockey assignment,” Cadet said. “I would expect in a big field she would be toward the back. That might have been the problem in the last. They made the lead too early and eased up a bit.” Judged By Cadet has been judged by the South Korean morning-line oddsmaker to be a notch below the other top qualifiers. He rates her at only 11-1. She will break from post No. 3. Her rider is T. Loesch, and your guess is as good as mine how this affects the tactics for Judged By Cadet.

As they have been in every Equinics in recent memory, the GR Simsters are favored to win the team gold medal. They will be represented in the Horseshoe Bay by SWEET CHILLI FILLY, a front-running 6yo scratch-bred daughter of Peintre Celebre. She is trained by Liam. Now, as we have pointed out, Liam spelled backward is Mail, so this trainer should deliver on the regular. Can Sweet Chilli Filly deliver a gold? She’ll be trying to do so right from the start. This mare has stamina, but she also has speed. Sweet Chilli Filly has set the pace in her last 10 races in a row. If any filly intends to run in front of Sweet Chilli Filly in this race, she’ll have to go too fast for the distance and quite likely will set it up for a closer to win. Sweet Chilli Filly’s Grade 1 win came three back in the prestigious Cedora D. Stakes, run in Illinois on Aug. 12 of last year. As per usual, she set the pace in the Cedora D., and built a lead of four and a half lengths by the head of the stretch before holding on comfortably for the victory. The date of that win, coupled with the fact that it was only three races ago, let’s us know that Liam is bringing a fresh mare into the Equinics. She has started only twice since August! If anything, the fact that this mare comes into the race so fresh may only serve to sharpen her speed. Experience tells us that the pool of Simulated talent at GR Simsters is very deep. For them to have selected this mare to run tells us that she is very well meant. If those sharpies at GR Simsters say she can do, who are we to doubt them? After all, Liam delivers on the regular. Sweet Chilli Filly is the other second co-favorite at 6-1, and breaks from post No. 7.

The strongest challenge to set the early pace may come from our very next qualifier. It’s FALL FOLIAGE, a 5yo light gray daughter of Kitten’s Joy. She’s trained by Gowans, who will represent that very tough bunch at Blazing Saddles. Like Sweet Chilli Filly, Fall Foliage is quick from the gate. In most of her races, including her triumph three back in her lone career Grade 1 race, she has broken forwardly and pressed the pace. Perhaps the most likely scenario is that Sweet Chilli Filly breaks in front, with Fall Foliage just off her shoulder. Then, we’ll see at roughly the halfway point who is going to win the early pace duel. However, Fall Foliage was unexpectedly sharp last out in a 10.5-furlong listed stake. Instead of pressing the pace, she blasted her way to lead by more than six lengths at the second call. The new tactic did not work, as she faded in the lane to finish fourth, beaten more than four lengths. After her strong finish to win the Grade 1 Liz Taylor three back, Fall Foliage has not been able to carry her speed to the wire in her last two. (Maybe a date with Liz Taylor takes it out of you.) Fall Foliage certainly qualifies in the Horseshoe Bay in terms of class and distance. She’s won a race at Saturday’s exact class and distance. That’s all you can ask when you handicap a horse. However, these last two are causes for concern. Who knows what Gowans may have up his sleeve? It is hard to tell with this talented, young trainer. Why would an intelligent guy like Gowans consistently hire drunken Jocko Maloney out of West Virginia to ride his horses? I never could tell. Then again, I never could doubt either Gowans or the crew at Blazing Saddles. Fall Foliage breaks from post No. 5 and is 9-1.

TIL IT’S GONE is one of these fillies on the other side of the 10-furlong fence. On the short side, you have a mare like Cadet’s Judged By Cadet, who has done her best running at nine furlongs. We don’t know if she can get the mile and a quarter. With Til It’s Gone, we have a different set of circumstances. She can get the distance, no question. Her challenge will be to compete successfully on the cutback in distance. A 4yo scratch-bred bay daughter of Redoute’s Choice (Dynaformer X Nureyev), Til It’s Gone is impeccably bred and has not let her owner down on his investment. It’s Minty9, one of these single-barn operations out of The Minnesota Testbarn Residency. These single-barn outfits are prevalent at the Minnesota residency. Who knows why? Secrecy maybe? Sure seems like a lot of passwords. But whatever. To each their own. The first thing that jumps off the page about this talented filly is the fact that she’s earned more than $1.3 million in only 11 starts! Wow. Talk about a great start to a career. Can she keep it going in the Equinics? Her ability to cut back two furlongs will be the key. Til It’s Gone has been racing very successfully in the turf long division. She owns one victory in a Grade 1, and has been second in two others. Hence her lofty ranking at No. 5 in the turf long division. She will come into this race as a fresh filly, not having raced since the Grade 1 King Kong Vase on Dec. 9 in Hong Kong. That will be 10 weeks between her last race and Saturday’s Equinics test. In her longer races, Til It’s Gone has shown herself to be very valuable in a tactical sense. She drops back to set up her closing run, but usually does not drop back too far. She has been behind by at least five lengths at the second call in each of her last four races. You would have to think that may translate to being further behind in this shorter race, especially with two classy frontrunners in the field. Will she run out of ground? Will she be able to make her late kick minus two furlongs? Only time will tell. We will find out at 4:30 p.m. on Saturday in South Korea. Til It’s Gone is 12-1 and breaks from post No. 4.

CHILD OFTHE FOREST is the first runner in the Horseshoe Bay for whom the race represents the chance to win a first Grade 1. This 6yo bay daughter of Bernardini has won a Grade 2, but not yet a Grade 1. The Equinics provide a unique opportunity for Child ofthe Forest. Although she is now a 6yo, Child ofthe Forest is lightly raced, having started only 21 times. Davarto’s mates at MIDAS know just how keen a trainer he is, and he’s shown his patience and acumen with this fine mare. It’s no wonder that Davarto knows how to train a Sim horse. He’s been playing a long time! Witness the story of the broodmare for this racer, a 22yo Danehill mare named ZARB HILL, who was claimed by Davarto from the CPU for $3,500 back in 1999. That’s right, Davarto’s involvement with this Simulated racing family began 19 years ago! To show how times and speed figures have changed, Zarb Hill managed to win 12 races despite almost always running speed figures less than 90. Only once in 32 career races did she go as high as 90, and that was only once! Most of the time, she earned a number somewhere in the 70s or 80s. Despite this apparent lethargy, she earned and earned some more, mostly under Davarto’s tutelage, and mostly in starter allowances. Back then, starter tags lasted a year, not six months. She won nine races for him in 1999 and 2000, before he lost the mare to a claim. But, Davarto never gave up on this old gal. He kept her in his breeding plans, and in 2014 hit the jackpot with her, just a year before her advanced age forced her retirement. Child ofthe Forest is Zarb Hill’s only graded winner. She can become her only Grade 1 winner on Saturday, and it says here she has a chance. She has blossomed since the summer of last year, winning a Grade 3 and then a Grade 2. She in sharp form, having won three of her last four. Equinics are all about the stories, and what a story this mare would be. She will break from post No. 8 and is 8-1.

SCOTIAN HEN is another one in very fine form. The East-West Connection members were overjoyed to see this nomination from the Scotian Stables. A 6yo bay scratch-bred daughter of High Chaparral, with Danehill and Mr. Prospector behind, she has won three in a row, all in convincing fashion. While her best ranking is in the turf long division, Scotian Hen is versatile in terms of distance. Her lone graded victory was at Saturday’s distance of a mile and a quarter. That triumph took place two back in the Paris Hilton Stakes, a Grade 3 on Nov. 11 in Queensland. Scotian Hen was much the best that day, powering home to win by two and three-quarters lengths. This is a rare mare indeed for the fact that she’s so versatile, both in terms of running style and distance. Most Sim horses run the same way almost every time, and most Sim horses are extremely distance-specific. Not Scotian Hen. She shows recent victories at 10 furlongs, 11 and 12. She has won while pressing the pace, setting the pace, and coming from midpack. She is extremely lightly raced, having been to post only 13 times in her career despite her advanced age of 6. What a tremendous job of training has been shown by the Scotian Stables with this fine mare! She’s gotten a ton of respect from the South Korean morning-line oddsmaker, as well. This is your race favorite at 9-2. She will break from post No. 11.

MOTOQUERA has drawn the far outside post, and will break from No. 14. She is our final Grade 1 winner in the field. She is trained by Pato, and will represent Hispano Parlante. Anytime we see a runner from the Hispano Parlante, we know it’s time to open another Internet window for Spanish to English translation. First of all, the trainer is named Duck. This is the same nickname carried by a favorite golfer of ours, Argentinian Angel Cabrera. This writer is a big fan of the game of golf, and always admired Cabrera for his habit of playing his best in the biggest tournaments. Cabrera is nicknamed El Pato, or The Duck. He got the nickname for his waddling gait. We do not know if the trainer of Motoquera walks in the same manner, or if he plays golf. We do know he trains Sim horses. And now, thanks to our Google translator, we know that he may also enjoy a ride on a motorcycle. The horse’s name translates to motorbike. Shoot, why stop there with our translator? We also looked up the name of the residency, which we now know means Hispanic Talking. Although we may guess from the name of his trainer that he may have preferred a rainy day for Equinics, the sun will be shining on Saturday in South Korea and the turf course will be firm. Luckily, that suits this mare just fine. Motoquera is no duck, and it’s hard to ride a motorbike in the rain. She has done almost all her running over firm ground, and has done just fine. Breaking from the far outside, we can expect jockey J. Harzheim to break forwardly and try to press the pace. At a short price of 7-1, this mare may be a slight underlay, especially considering her recent struggles in graded competition. Her last three tries at the graded level have all been clunkers. Can she reverse that worrisome trend of poor efforts? To do so, she’ll have to revert to the good form that saw her finish third in the most recent running of this race. Motoquera won a bronze medal in 2016, and she’s back for her second Equinics on Saturday.

Now, we reach what we must anticipate to be the soft underbelly of the Horseshoe Bay. There are no more graded winners left in the field. The remainder of our runners will be trying to win their first graded race in a Grade 1. We are going to have to find a real up-and-comer to fit that kind of bill. Is there a filly or mare in this field who is improving so rapidly that she may be able to contend in a Grade 1 despite never having won a graded race? Our first runner to inspect is FRANKLIN ST. BLUES. The affable Mightyforego will represent Pastures of Green with this 4yo bay daughter of Frankel. This is our chance to offer another word of thanks to the fine folks at Pastures of Green, who did such a great service to the Sim community by running the Equinics for so many years. This is the greatest tradition our fine game has to offer. I know the game is called derbyfever.com, and it would have been too confusing to name it equinics.com, but it is the Equine Olympic event that has reflected the truest sense of our Sim community over the years. We all come together to race as one in this fine event, and it’s great that Metallinut and his mates at URC have come through to run the event after Pastures of Green decided to retire. Now, as far as this filly, she does not exactly fit the bill of what we are looking for among the lower-rated contenders. We said we are looking for an up-and-coming filly. Franklin St. Blues has shown herself to be a hard knocker in listed company, her current form leaves something to be desired. She has gone the wrong way in her last two, finishing fourth and seventh. Franklin St. Blues breaks from the rail at 18-1.

Most of CVBear’s 124 barns are not affiliated with any residency, and as such, most of his horses are not eligible to run in Equinics. However, he does have a handful of his barns racing for the Megalopolis Racing Circuit, and artsandletters is one of them. Thus, MALALA is eligible to race in Equinics, and the folks at Megalopolis are glad to have such a capable filly to represent them. Breaking from post No. 13, this 4yo bay daughter of the Japanese sire Epiphaneia has been dismissed at the long price of 18-1. This tantalizing parimutuel prospect alone gets us interested, as we know CVBear to be a shrewd veteran of the Sim. If he’s decided to take a shot in Equinics with this gal, we have to assume there is a good reason why. Indeed, there is. Witness Malala’s stakes debut in her most recent race. After winning an open allowance at Saturday’s distance of 10 furlongs while much the best, CVBear decided it was time for Malala to move up in class. Until her most recent race, the wily CVBear had been conservative in placing this filly. He was content to keep her in allowance racing as she continued to make gradual improvements. However, Malala has run very well in each of her four tries at a mile and a quarter. She ran her fastest race yet last out in that listed victory, earning her biggest speed figure of 114. Now, the boss says it’s time to tangle with the heavy heads. She jumps all the way to Grade 1. If Malala wins, she will be the first Sim graded winner by her sire. Epiphaneia has sired two graded-placed horses, but not yet a graded winner. So, there is a lot at stake in Saturday’s race.

Amir will represent the Elite Racing Club in the Horseshoe Bay with STORMLYER, a 5yo bay daughter of Drosselmeyer. She will break from post No. 2 and has been assigned a price of 12-1, which is pretty good respect from the South Korea morning-line oddsmaker for a mare with only 15 stakes points. He must like those speed figures of 113 and 111 which she has earned in two of her last three races. This mare kind of reminds me of that old country song by Randy Travis: “On the Other Hand.” On one hand, we have a mare taking a gigantic class jump all the way from her first listed victory to a Grade 1 Equinics race. On the other hand, we have a mare who is in razor sharp form, winning three of her last four. On one hand, we have a mare who has struggled in both of her tries at Saturday’s distance of 10 furlongs. A handicapper might fairly assume that she faces a distance challenge to go along with her obvious class challenge on Saturday. On the other hand, her listed victory last out was at 9.5 furlongs, and that’s awful close to 10. In the interest of full disclosure, that old Randy Travis song was not about a horse race. “On one hand I could stay and be your loving man, but the reason I must go is on the other hand,” it says. Travis, of course, was referring to his wedding band, and that country song is about a man tempted to cheat on his wife, and who overcomes that temptation. For Amir, however, there is no resisting the temptation of the Equinics. Stormlyer may or may not be up to the serious test facing her on Saturday, but we have to agree with Amir that she’s earned a chance.

In Greek mythology, Andromeda is the daughter of the Aethiopian king Cepheus and his wife Cassiopeia. When Cassiopeia’s hubris leads her to boast that Andromeda is more beautiful than the Nereids, Poseidon sends the sea monster Cetus to ravage Andromeda as divine punishment. Andromeda is stripped and chained naked to a rock as a sacrifice to sate the monster, but is saved from death by Perseus. (Thank you, Wikipedia). The Sim filly ANDROMEDA STAR meets a far less perilous fate on Saturday. While it’s true that horses are more or less naked on the track save their saddle cloth, the only thing she’ll enter on Saturday is a starting gate. Kobras sends out this scratch-bred bay 4yo daughter of Sea the Stars (Testa Rossa X El Prado) to represent All-Stars Racing. A lot is being asked of Andromeda Star. She’s jumping all the way from restricted allowance company to Grade 1, and jumping from nine furlongs to 10. However, if you take a look at her last two races, you can see why the gang at All-Star Racing is optimistic about her chances. She has exploded in her last two, accelerating from a lifetime-best speed figure south of triple digits to a 105 two back and then a great, big 112 last out. Now, this writer is not advocating that Simulated punters empty their pocket books on a filly taking huge jumps in terms of class and distance, but she may be “worth a jingle” at the generous price of 23-1. She just bears the look of a filly on the rapid improve. Conventional wisdom says we should oppose a filly like this, but she feels like an X factor with those recent improvements. Who knows how good she can be? Another thing to consider is that she is lightly raced. This is only her third race since Oct. 30.

Speaking of lightly raced, the filly in the field with the fewest starts is THERESE’S TERROR. She has only been to the starting gate 10 times! BBT sends out this rapidly improving scratch-bred 4yo bay daughter of Australia (Montjeu X Danehill). It is no wonder his mates at Racing HQ are lining up to bet this filly at 18-1. She simply dazzled in her most recent race, crushing the field in her listed stakes debut by more than three lengths with a smart speed figure of 115. Therese’s Terror may indeed throw fear into the minds of her opposing trainers in the Horseshoe Bay. What if she makes the same kind of improvement which she has done in her last two? They’ll be in trouble, that’s what. By now, we know that the soft underbelly which has been prevalent in Equinics races throughout the years has not materialized in the Horseshoe Bay. It’s true that many of our fillies and mares are trying to win their first graded race in a Grade 1. That does not happen on the regular. We said we would have to look for up-and-comers, and we have found several at juicy prices. This race handicaps nicely from top to bottom, and there are only a couple-three fillies and mares in here which we would be willing to take a stand against. The horses at the top of the qualifying order, and those with shorter prices, mostly handicap very well and are deserving favorites. I am not knocking the shorter-priced contenders when I say the best way to play the Horseshoe Bay would be to shop for a live horse at a big price. There are several, and it says here that Therese’s Terror is one of them. She breaks from post No. Even if the long layoff and class jump prove too much for this filly to handle on Saturday, this writer is convinced she is sitting on a monster year in 2018.

FORZENA is our final qualifier for the Horseshoe Bay. CRandy represents the Northwest Racing Circuit with this 5yo bay daughter of the Canadian sire Old Forester. In the interest of accurate reporting, it must be said that several red flags jump off the entry page against Forzena. She is the only runner to ever have been in a claiming race, and she’s been in several. Also, if you look at the capper bar, she’s the only runner with a “D” to denote her preferred surface. Since claiming her in late October from the very capable trainer Summerset, her new trainer has raced her three times, all in dirt sprints. The surprising thing is she’s only 24-1. This mare should be a much longer price than that. She probably has wandered into the wrong restaurant, but you know what? So did the Jamaican Bobsled Team. All competitors are welcome in the Equinics, and it must be that the residents of the Northwest Racing Circuit were left without many options for a graded quality mare that could get 10 furlongs. Hooray for CRandy for stepping up and saddling a runner to represent his residency. After this race, he may want to attempt to repeat the training regimen displayed by Summerset with this mare. She’ll need class relief, and as the capper bar says, she does her best racing two turns on the dirt. Here’s hoping this race takes little out of her and she can go back to earning in more favorable spots.

GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY!!!!!

Views (262)

EQUINICS – TURNING JAPANESE

 Posted by at 2:50 pm  Previews
Feb 212018
 

EQUINICS 2018 – TURNING JAPANESE

South Korea – 4 yo & Up Fillies & Mares – 8 Furlongs – Turf

A loaded field of contenders come to the Turf in South Korea to try and claim the GOLD for their REZ.  9 Graded Stakes winners and 5 ladies who earned over 1 Million in their careers.  3 Fillies in this group (BIG CITY KITTY, VT INVINCIBLE and SHIRLEY SPINGS), a pair of 6-year-old entries (TEARS IN SEATTLE and THE DEVIL DECIDES) and a 2017 EOY (TEARS IN SEATTLE).  A race that is chockful of speed as all 14 entries have a career high SP in the triple digits.  Will the early speed tire each other out and get ran down or will they have created too big of a gap for the closers to catch up?Now let’s take a better look at this field:

1

LIGHT CONNECTION

11-1

EAST-WEST CONNECTION

5- MARE

cygnusx

Career:  10-6-1-1

T. Dellenbach

In Jan. at South Africa stayed in front chase pack and ran down early speed to Win G2- Horse Station Stakes by ¼ length.  Before that Won the Her Ballots Turf Mare Route at Italy by 2 lengths.  Prior race posted best 114 SP finishing Third in G3- Foolish Symbol at Japan.
Chestnut scratchbred (Stay Gold (JAP) x Fantastic Light x Caro) did not race as a 2yo or as a 3 yo but has been to the winner’s circle 6 times in 10 career starts.

Owner Says

Prize horse won in EWC contest.  Won in first mile start so hopes are high here.  With some good fortune maybe an ITM could be in our sights.

REZ Says

Bold up-and-comer. Expect big things from this one in not too distant future.  Hoping the bounce is avoided.

2

SHIRLEY SPINGS

21-1

RACING HQ

4- FILLY

goldmembers

Career:  14-4-3-2

S. Proudfoot

Last time out in Jan. she ran down a NW2s field at California tying her lifetime best 108 SP in a victory.  Before that ran 7th in the G2- The Black Dahlia also at California.  Prior race came from 12 lengths back at the half mile to finish 3rd by ¾ lengths as the ML favorite in NW4L.
This Bay scratchbred Filly (Gio Ponti x Danehill x Shirley Heights) has only made 4 career Stakes starts (2 graded) and has never won above the 48k Allowance level.

Owner Says

It’s a tough race coming up and I being an underdog hope to do well, but most of all enjoy the fun of the games.  Big thanks to my REZ Racing HQ.

3

THE DEVIL DECIDES

9-1

MINNESOTA TESTBARN

6- MARE

shadyrest3

Career:  24-12-3-1

F. Duffy

On New Year’s Day had a third-place finish in the Dixieland Again Turf Mare Stayer.  Before that came 2nd by a ½ length in MNTB Turf Mile. Prior to that never fired finishing 5th in the Lpga Brass Sword Turf Mare Mile.  Last Win in April in G3- Wilshire Boulevard with a 121 SP.
Scratchbred Bay (Dubawi (IRE) x Danehill x Roberto) has over 2 Mil career earnings and Six Graded Stakes victories.  Won the GOLD MEDAL in Equinics 2018 in the Darley Arabian.  Duffy has had 3 previous trips onboard with 2 victories.

Owner Says

Was a gift horse from texasace and my first EOY, she seems to be just out of gas and this will probably be her final race.

4

CITY OF GOOD DEED

39-1

NORTH WEST RACING CIRCUIT

5- MARE

jdawg05

Career:  17-2-3-3

H. Head

Ran first week of February at Thailand in NW2x but could never get any higher than fifth..  Before that charged from off the pace to get 2nd in a NW4x at China.  Prior to that ran 3rd at UAE in a NW4L posting her lifetime high 102 SP.  Last Win was in December 2016 on the Dirt.
Scratchbred Bay (Elusive City x Touch Gold x Key To The Mint) makes first start in any Graded race here and will be looking to gain first Turf victory of career.

5

PRIAH

6-1

ELITE RACING CLUB

5- MARE

razer1

Career:  18-9-2-2

EC Doyle

Last time got out raced to finish by both TEARS IN SEATTLE & MUTANT POWERS finishing 4th 1 ¾ lengths back in the G1- Motherly Love.  Before that Won the G1- The Empire Rose by 2 lengths at Victoria.  Prior race posted career best 116 SP in the G3- Mothers Stakes victory.
Scratchbred Bay Mare (Pierro (AUS) x Lear Fan x Blushing Groom) will be making 2018 debut.  Won the GOLD MEDAL in the Mr. Hockey at the EQIUNICS 2016.  EC Doyle has ridden her 6 times before netting 3 wins.

6

DARK HOOKEM UP

15-1

MEGALOPOLIS

5- MARE

wyndaway27

Career:  19-6-1-2

N. Lawton

Last race out could not find the pace to get higher than 5th in G3- Honery Queen’s Plate at SAF.  Before that drew the rail in the loaded G1- Motherly Love Stakes and finished 13th.  Before that ended 6th in G1- The Last Woman.  Last Win came in May G3- Ridgewood Jewel.
This Bay Mare (Siyouni (FR) x Smart Strike x Theatrical) makes first appearance of 2018. Her career best speed of 113 came in G1- Foul Mouth Stakes finishing 2nd at Newmarket.

Owner Says

One of my favorite fillys, has a good closing style, I love watching her run, and I like her chances in this one.

7

TANINO MARCI

10-1

MIDAS

5- MARE

maxy

Career:  19-5-5-6

R. Whisper

Last Race was back in October in the loaded G1- The Empire Rose finishing 4th by 2 ½ lengths.  Before that was 2nd to PRIAH in the G2- The Mother Stakes posted her best 113 SP.  Prior to that faded to finish 7th on a good track in 60k Allowance race at New Zealand.
The Bay Mare (Tanino Gimlet x Fusaichi Pegasus x Seattle Slew) will be making first start of 2018 season after posting a pair of Stakes wins last year in New Zealand and Newmarket.

8

MUTANT POWERS

6-1

BLAZING SADDLES

5- MARE

sicko

Career:  18-10-3-3

J. Walsh

Won a NW2s as a large favorite in a field of 9 last race by 2 ¼ lengths at California.  The race before that finished 2nd in G1- Motherly Love Stakes to TEARS IN SEATTLE by ¼ length.  Prior race was a Win in the G1- The Last Woman by 2 ¼ lengths as the 5th choice.
This Roan Mare (English Channel x Tapit x Deputy Minister) has twice posted a 117 SP and had a 7-race win streak snapped in April at G3- Wilshire Boulevard by THE DEVIL DECIDES.

9

MESIANICA

18-1

SIM HISPANO

5- MARE

pato16

Career:  18-7-3-2

O. Osbourne

In a Jan. Hot Race on the South Korea turf went wire to wire over a field of five posted a best 110 SP.  Before that got caught at the end finishing 2nd in Fridays Child Turf Mare Challenge in Belgium.  Prior to that Won a 6.5f Allowance on a yielding turf at Ireland wire to wire.
Scratchbred Brown Mare (Pivotal x Lyphard x Deputy Minister) has a pair of G3 Victories on her record.  Competed in Equinics 2016 running eighth in the Mr. Hockey.

10

DYNIMAL

8-1

EMPIRE STATE RACING

5- MARE

ticketman2

Career:  20-5-9-1

O. Brim

On New Year’s Day finished 2nd 2 ¼ behind TEARS IN SEATTLE in the G2- Forget Me Not at California.  Before that ran 2nd in the G3- He’s a Charmer Stakes in Florida.  Prior to that had a disappointing 6th place in the G3- Bickerknocker Handicap at Delaware.
The Bay Mare (Animal Kingdom x Dynaformer x Nijinsky 2nd) has a high 115 SP and finished first or second in 8 out of 9 in 2017 starts. 2nd straight race with Brim in the saddle.

Owner Says

She has been frustrating.  Hoping the cut back in distance will keep her close enough to run by them all.  If not, she may end up in the broodmare band.

11

VT INVINCIBLE

20-1

PASTURES OF GREEN

4- FILLY

stormcat55

Career:  11-7-2-0

B. Ball

Had 6 race win streak snapped last time out by TORAMBO in G3- Lady Marmalade Stakes but posted a best 113 SP.  Before that Won the G2- New Zealand 1000 Dark Beers coming from off the pace.  Prior to that bested a field of 7 in the High On Gabor Turf Filly Sprint at Minn.
Light Grey Filly (Invincible Spirit (IRE) x Seeking The Gold x Spectacular Bid) will be making inaugural start of 2018.  This will also be her first G1 race.

12

TEARS IN SEATTLE

9/2

GR SIMSTERS

6- MARE

bodgit

Career:  20-8-7-2

D. Ledwith

On New Year’s Day stayed off the pace before blazing to a 2 ¼ length Win at the G2- Forget Me Not with a 2nd straight 116 SP.  Before that won from outside post 14 by ¼ length in the G1- Motherly Love Stakes.  Prior race ran 2nd to PRIAH by 2 lengths in G1- The Empire Rose.
The Bay scratchbred (Street Cry x Seattle Slew x Damascus) also claimed victory in the G1- Maybe Johnny Handicap in August at California.  7 career G1 starts.  Ledwith has 2 prior rides.  2017 EOY – Older Female Distance Turf.

Owner Says

One of my best sim horses ever, she is so consistent.  I don’t know how long she can stay at this high level now that she is 6 years old.

13

TORAMBO

6-1

ALL-STARS RACING

5- MARE

pjlracing

Career:  22-12-2-1

Z. Kentucky

Finished Third by ½ length in Jan. to LIGHT CONNECTION in G2- Horse Station Stakes at SAF.  Before that won the G3- Lady Marmalade by 2 ½ lengths as the ML favorite posted a career 117 SP.  Prior race ran 5th in the G1- Empire Rose at Victoria.  Has 3 career G1 Victories. 
This Bay (Toronado x Kingmambo x Storm Cat) has over 2 Million in career earnings and 6 career Graded Wins.  Competed in Equinics 2016 – ran 9th in the Mr. Hockey.

14

BIG CITY KITTY

24-1

UNIVERSAL RACING CLUB

4- FILLY

jms7777

Career:  12-5-2-1

A. Reed

Last time out in a December Stakes sat 10th at the halfway mark was coming and finished 2nd by ¼ length with a career high 113 SP.  Before that in G2- Mrs Clever Stakes did not fire but rallied for 7th.  Prior to that surged past a field of 4 in a NW4x Allowance race in Kentucky.
This scratchbred Light Grey Filly (Kitten’s Joy x Street Cry x Danehill Dancer) has a G1 victory in the Flambeau Turf Filly Route at Virginia.  Making her first start of 2018 season here.

Owner Says

Probably will go in as longshot vs. this field.  Improved a lot in 3 yo season, if she improves in her 4 yo season she could have a chance to hit the board.

REZ Says

Royally bred and lightly raced.  She will be a long shot, not sure if ready YET.

 

MY PICKS: 12-TEARS IN SEATTLE (GR Sim), 8-MUTANT POWERS (Blazing) & 5-PRIAH (ERC)

 

MOST LIKELY TO BEAT MY PICKS: 13-TORAMBO (ASR), 3-THE DEVIL DECIDES (MNTB)

 

MY PLAY:  I would do a 5 horse trifecta box with these.

 

Views (247)

EQUINICS- CECIL ROO

 Posted by at 1:46 pm  Previews
Feb 212018
 

EQUINICS 2018 – CECIL ROO

South Korea – 3 yo Fillies – 8 Furlongs – Turf

An interesting group of Fillies will take to the Turf to try and show that their REZ is the best.  10 out of 14 have Non-American Sires and 2 others have foreign links in their pedigree.  Galileo (IRE) and Fastnet Rock (AUS) each have sired 2 starters.  There are 5 Graded Stakes winners in the group.  Now let’s look at the field: 

1

OG OASIS MAMBO

7-1

ALL-STARS RACING

3- FILLY

baffer2013

Career:  8-3-2-1

N. Bonus

In January after sitting mid pack could only move up to 4th in Barbs Katie Turf Filly Mile at New York.  Hit triple digits 100 SP in winning the Hit in Mid America Turf Juvenile Fillies.  In the G1- Breeders Bowl Filly Juvy Turf she never fired and finished 12th 7 ½ lengths back.
This Bay Filly (Oasis Dream (GB) x Kingmambo x A.P. Indy) she does have a victory at the G3- Animale in her only graded race.

2

SECRET KITTEN

5-1

ELITE RACING CLUB

3- FILLY

rac1

Career:  8-4-3-1

EC Doyle

Posted a blazing 104 SP in winning the G3- Triangular Star Stakes at Hong Kong in January.  Last race of 2017 won the Rock of Miswaki Turf Juvenile wire to wire at Turkey.  Previous race ran 2nd in the Dansili at Japan.
Bay Filly (Fastnet Rock (AUS) x Kris S. x Mr Prospector) has never failed to hit the board with 4 victories in 8 career races.  EC Doyle gets 2nd ride, he Won first trip.

3

BARBARA HYPHEN

20-1

PASTURES OF GREEN

3- FILLY

cheapobarb1

Career:  6-2-3-0

J. Ledwith

Has been off since a December victory in a NW2L at West Virginia.  Had 2 seconds and a fourth in her previous 3 NW allowance races.  Will be making first start in any Stakes race.
Bay scratchbred Filly (Noble Mission (GB) x Danehill Dancer x Ghostzapper) will be making inaugural start of 2018.  May be looking to add an exclamation mark here at EQUINICS.

4

KOMMANDER OF KAOS

13-1

MEGALOPOLIS

3- FILLY

goldikova

Career:  4-2-1-1

E. Bernstein

Rallied to get third in Barbs Katie Turf Filly Mile at New York to LOVE ROCK posting up a 92 SP.  Had back to back wins prior to that.  Has never been in a Graded Strakes before.
This Bay Scratchbred Filly (Karakontie (JAP) x Dansili (GB) x Empire Emaker) has never failed to hit the board in her 4 career starts.

5

MAKERS DREAMS

12-1

EMPIRE STATE RACING

3- FILLY

alimitos5

Career:  7-4-0-1

P. Bangs

Could not rally from off the pace in last race the G1- Juvenile Filly finishing in 9th 5 ¾ back at Japan.  In G1- Breeders Bowl Filly Juvy Turf she did rally to come home third putting up a 93 SP.  Started her run a little late in G1- Filly Grand Prix and ended in 7th at Surrey.
This Bay scratchbred (Vadamos (FR) x Exceed and Excel x Empire Maker) does have 4 wins, 2 of them being G1- Wet Bikini and G3- Capital Stakes.  Making 2018 debut.

6

TENASARIN

7-1

GR SIMSTERS

3- FILLY

stupor1

Career:  7-5-1-0

Z. Kentucky

At New Zealand had 4 race win streak snapped G3- Ice Cream Gold in January.  Put up a 98 SP in winning the G1- Juvenile Filly at Japan.  Prior race in the Alythaw Turf Juvenile Fillies in wire to wire fashion at Delaware.
The Light Grey scratchbred (Mastercraftsman (IRE) x Sea The Stars x Nijinsky 2nd) will be making her first start of 2018.  Z. Kentucky in stirrups for third straight race, 1 victory.

7

KINZIG

10-1

EAST-WEST CONNECTION

3- FILLY

chorwon

Career:  6-4-1-0

N. Lawton

In December came from off the pace to win the Irish Flame Turf Juvenile Fillies at Kansas with a 96 SP.  Also won the Carolina Dreaming Turf Juvenile Fillies from back in the pack at Louisiana.  In G3- JPMC Jessamine stayed closer to the lead and ended 2nd by 1 ½ lengths.
Scratchbred Bay Filly (Sea The Stars x Dansili (GB) x Dubawi (IRE)) has won 4 out of her 6 career races.

8

EARTHBREAKER

15-1

UNIVERSAL RACING CLUB

3- FILLY

durkastan5

Career:  3-2-0-1

R. Whisper

In her last outing won the URC Hopes and Dreams 2yo Filly Stakes at Florida over a field of 4.  Broke Maiden the race before at Germany posting an 85 SP.  Has hit the board in all 3 of her career starts.
This Bay Filly (Galileo (IRE) x Kris S. x Nureyev) will be making her first start of 2018 season here at EQUINICS.  Only 3 starts so we will see what she’s got.

9

FRONTLINE STORM

6-1

MINNESOTA TESTBARN

3- FILLY

ihate2yos

Career:  10-4-3-2

K. Friar

Last race was at Claifornia on Dirt in G2- Yanta Snez Stakes finishing 2nd and tying her best of 95 SP.  Finished third in G1- Juvenile Filly at Japan to TENASARIN.  Came home in second place in G1- Breeders Bowl Filly Juvy Turf at California.
Scratchbred Bay Filly (Stormy Atlantic x War Front x Kingmambo) has 6 career graded starts including a victory in G2- Young Lady at Ireland.  K. Friar gets 2nd mount.

10

FURIA DESATADA

20-1

SIM HISPANO

3- FILLY

myhaack

Career:  6-4-2-0

J. Selden

In January won a 10k Hot Race at South Korea with a 93 SP.  Won a NW1s at Argentina before that.  Came home in 2nd in the Doctor Revenge Turf Juvenile Fillies also at Argentina.
Scratchbred Bay Filly (Muhaarar (GB) x Dansili (GB) x Forty Niner) has never failed to hit the board in his career.  This will be his first graded stakes outing.  Could be a wild card.

11

LOVEROCK

7-1

MIDAS

3- FILLY

deyoto4

Career:  6-3-0-2

GD Mate

Won last time out in Barbs Katie Turf Filly Mile at New York by 2 ¼ lengths posting a 97 SP from near the front.  Before that won a NW2L at Japan and prior to that ran third in the Ruby Slipper in Victoria.
Scratchbred Bay Filly (Fastnet Rock (AUS) x Lonhro x Kris S.) has put up 90+ SP in last 3 starts and is making Graded Stakes debut.

12

BUCKLEY’S CHANCE

11-1

RACING HQ

3- FILLY

ydracing6

Career:  6-2-2-0

Z. Graves

In January ended up second in Rope Blush Turf Filly Mile with a 95 SP at Minnesota.  Prior race was a victory in a NW2s wire to wire at Kentucky.  Faded to finish 5th in a NW2L on the Kentucky Dirt.
This Light Grey scratchbred Filly (Constitution x Dansili (GB) x Hennessy) has only 2 previous races on the turf and will be making Graded stakes start for the first time.

13

CUTTING WOOD

9-1

BLAZING SADDLES

3- FILLY

magoo2912

Career:  7-3-1-0

M. Zeus

In January faded to finish 6th in the Barbs Katie Turf Filly Mile at New York.  Before that won the Blazing Saddles Breeders Showdown Juvenile Turf Filly wire to wire and posted a best 96 SP at Ireland. In the G1- Filly Grand Prix ran out front before getting caught to finish 4th.
This Bay scratchbred (Galileo (IRE) x Cape Cross x Redoute’s Choice) has 3 wins under her belt and has 2 graded stakes appearances.

14

RIP YOUR HEART OUT

33-1

NORTH WEST RACING CIRCUIT

3- FILLY

jdawg04

Career:  9-2-0-1

R. Keough

This lady will be making only her 2nd start on the Turf, finished 8th in that try.  She has a lot of really really big names in her pedigree but has not shown that kind of form yet. Last time out came in 3rd in NW3L at Delaware dirt with a best 81 SP.
Scratchbred Brown Filly (Lion Heart x Dynaformer x A.P. Indy) has never raced above the allowance level.  May be out classed here unless…………….. she Rips Their Hearts Out.

MY PICKS:  2-Secret Kitten (ERC), 1-OG Oasis Mambo (ASR), 6-Tenasarin (GR Sim), and 7-Kinzig (EWC).

 

OUTSIDE SHOT:  11-Love Rock (Midas) and 9-Frontline Storm (MNTB).

 

MY PLAY:  Play a 6 horse superfecta wheel with the horses above.

 

 

 

 

Views (278)

Equinics 2018 Amanda Jane

 Posted by at 12:48 pm  Previews
Feb 212018
 
South Korea (SKO)
Saturday, February 24, 2018 – 4:40:00 PM EST | Race ID : 2049021
    
2018 Equinics
Grade I / Group 1 - Sponsored - Purse : $1,250,000
Restricted to 4 Year Olds and Older, Fillies and Mares Only Owner Restricted
14 Furlongs | ~2800 Meters | One Mile and Three Quarters Firm Turf 

Ladies and Gentlemen welcome to Seoul, South Korea for what is one of the most exciting times in all of Derbyfever, the Olympics of horse racing the Equinics! What wonderful day it will be with the Turf races being run at the fantastic facilities, know as Seoul Race Park. We have a capacity crowd of 80,000 expected despite the extremely cold temperatures. A field of 14 will be lining up to compete in the Amanda Jane run over 14 furlongs (2800m) for the fillies and mares. All 14 horses owners have had to survive the nervous process of having the honour of representing there residency and will now take centre stage for Sim bragging rights and the honour of being compared to the great 3 time Grade 1 winner and Hall of Famer, Amanda Jane.

 

1
SUMINAGASHI KY 5F brayden J Wilson 21 6 57% $234,976 14/1

Residency: Midas

Trainer: Davarto

GIANT’S CAUSEWAY x A.P. INDY x SEEKING THE GOLD

Davato’s very well named Suminagashi heads over to South Korea for her 2nd Grade 1 race, in her 1st grade 1 she ran 5th out of 10, beaten 36.25 lengths, but that was on a very wet Dirt track over 16F in Italy 2 starts back. Previous to that she ran a nice 2nd again over 16F with an SP of 106 in the Grade 3 Floor it stakes. Last start she was put back to allowance level and could only run 4th with an SP of 100 beaten 12.5 lengths over 13 Furlongs, It looks like Sumimagashi is going to have its work cut out to get a medal. 

2
ROYAL BLESSING KY 6F equistable J Ledwith 23 8 78% $1,371,630 7/1

Residency: Empire State Racing

Trainer: Frankster

GIANT’S CAUSEWAY x GALILEO (IRE) x DYNAFORMER

Royal Blessing is the daughter of of 5 time grade 1 winner and hall of famer, Magniforma. This is her 2nd Equinics, last time she picked up a silver medal over this trip at the summer games 2 years ago and will be looking to go 1 better this time around. Frankster her trainer was happy with her when I spoke to him at Tuesday’s press conference as she had badly missed the start over 11F in the breeders bowl, frankster decided to give her a long break and then gave her a quick tune up with a win in allowance company over 14F on the 2nd of Feb. At her best she has ran 116 sp over the distance, but that was in May last year, for me she will be fighting it out for Bronze.

3
MARKET DRAYTON IRE 4F royalatw R Truitt 15 3 47% $1,190,356 20/1

Residency: East-West connection

Trainer: ATTHEWIRE

EXCEED AND EXCEL x AUTHORIZED x MR. GREELEY

East-West connection have sent Market Drayton over to South Korea for the big race, the 4yo filly has been competing at the highest level since early in her 3yo campaign. Her crowning moment come in the Oaks De English which she won defeating Atomic Avenger by 1.25 lengths. At her next start she seemed to struggle and has been trying to take the next step that she needs to from her 3yo to her 4yo campaign. So far her best run was an 8th over 11 Furlongs at the breeders bowl. Today she faces the acid test by running 14 Furlongs for the first time, and since her sire was a 7 furlong specialist I can’t see her staying the distance.

4
PANDA PANDA PANDA ENG 4F redhill25 D Ledwith 13 6 77% $550,770 12/1

Residency: Blazing Saddles

Trainer: Redhill

FRANKEL (GB) x KINGMAMBO x STORM CAT

Panda Panda Panda, is a beautifully breed Frankel filly from the Blazing Saddles Residency, 3 starts back she ran a stunning SP of 109 in winning the 14 Furlong Brake Hill stakes but the step up in class and the shorter distance meant that Panda was never in the Vicky Derby. Redhill then gave her a nice 2 month holiday before sending her up to Queensland to tackle the 14F Rainbow Ruler stayers race, it seemed as though fitness played a part as she was not able to reach the lead and faded over the concluding stages, If Redhill has managed to get her fit enough she is one of many that can pinch the Bronze.

5
HOW THEY SHINE IRE 5F temp1 W Cahill 15 10 93% $2,555,995 5/1

 

Residency: Pastures Of Green

 

Trainer: DIXIEDOTCO

 

SEA THE STARS x DANEHILL x KINGMAMBO

How they Shine is the quintessential blue blood and boy does she run like one. She has managed to win 5 of her last 6 races including her 1st grade 1, this was achieved last time out in the winter cup over 13 furlongs, she ran an SP of 115 but thats not what made the win so special, it was the fact that she beat the boy’s and beat them convincingly. She has now moved up to the number 2 ranked long distance female in the Sim. The previous start she met her main rival Koko’s Kitten at grade 1 level in the breeders bowl over 11 furlongs and was beaten by 4 lengths, but at the more suitable 14 furlongs I believe that she can turn the tables and win a gold medal for Pastures of Green. The speed map says she will get a head start on Koko, can she hold her off?

6
FIORE AUS 5F jbcri59 J Selden 21 9 76% $291,847 8/1

 

Residency: Elite

 

Trainer: JBCRI09

 

FIORENTE (IRE) x HEART’S CRY (JPN) x SKY CLASSIC

Fiore comes into today’s race as an unknown quantity at 14 Furlongs. Her sire Fiorente was a Melbourne Cup winner so there is every hope that she will be better over the marathon distances. Fiore was claimed for just 15K about 18 months ago has not missed a place since. Most of her runs have been in Allowance grade, but her 2 stakes runs she was able to ran boldly to finish 2nd in both. She is now stepping up to Grade 1 company for the 1st time, and she should relish the extra trip, where she is a genuine chance for a medal. 

7
WISHING WELL CH AUS 4F chevry Z Kentucky 18 4 39% $198,330 7.50 15/1

Residency: Minnesota Testbarn Residency

Trainer: Cothill

LONHRO x OASIS DREAM (GB) x SADLER’S WELLS

Wishing Well CH has travelled over from Kentucky for today’s race to represent, Minnesota Testbarn Residency, she has been been slowly been making his way through the grades and was able to achieve a great success 3 starts ago, in the 10 Furlong, The Wake up Stakes (Grade 3). This was however, a 3yo only race and Wishing Well CH has since struggled to make the next step into open company. She comes into the race as an unknown quantity over 14 Furlongs, but signs point to her enjoying the extra trip as in the only two 12 Furlong races, she ran career best SP’s of 106 and 107. If she can take to the 14 Furlongs she is one of many in the running for the Bronze.

8
CAMPANIA STORM IRE 6F sportoking W McClendon 40 1 20% $84,909 353/1

Residency: NWRC

Trainer: Crandy

HURRICANE RUN x LEMON DROP KID x COZZENE

I would have to say that Campania Storm is this years version of Eddie the Eagle, or Eric The Eel, she is clearly the social media Darling of the Equinics, she is such a beautiful horse, she has been compared to human counterpart and budding golfer Paige Spirinac. To her credit she did beat out a large number of nominations from NWRC, however her last race over 14 furlongs was poor as she was too busy with the paparazzi to care about running, and put in an SP of just 67 over last start. Can she pull off a Steven Bradbury Moment? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tYUjmEH9NNk I Doubt it.

9
LUMINOSA ENG 5F pato10 O Osbourne 13 4 62% $147,181 14/1

Residency: Sim Hispano

Trainer: Pato7

MEDICEAN (GB) x LYPHARD x SECRETARIAT

Sim Hispano, are sending a very interesting horse in Luminosa. Luminosa is a very lightly raced 5yo has been brought along slowly by her trainer Pato7, it was just over a year ago that she broke her maiden status over 11 Furlongs. She has since been slowly rising in trip and has remained consistent. It was 3 starts ago that Pato7 decided to go for broke and step her up from Allowance grade to Grade 1 level, where she ran 5th over 12 Furlongs in the Vermillion Stakes, running 106 SP. She then dropped back in class running 106 in a 14 Furlong Allowance. Then this is where the genius of her trainer Pato7 come in, after these 2 tough runs instead of running in another tough race he decided to put her in a HOT RACE over 14F in South Korea, this means she will not have lost as much energy as a normal race and will do no traveling as she is already in South Korea. Can she win today? I would say no, but a medal is a possibility.

10
KOKO’S KITTEN KY 5F givenfinal N Lawton 20 11 95% $3,117,645 7/2

Residency: GR Simsters

Trainer: Given

KITTEN’S JOY x MR. PROSPECTOR x DANEHILL

Koko’s kitten comes into this race in superb form winning at her last 4 starts between 12 furlongs and 16 furlongs, of those 4 wins she has managed to pick up a couple of grade 1 wins, running an SP of 114 at the breeders bowl and 115 in the LA turf cup. Those 4 wins come off a nice break of a couple of months and she looks to be primed for a peak performance. Looking at the speed map she will get right to the back of the field and will be looking surge to the front as they hit the wire. At the Tuesday morning press conference, Given was very upbeat about her prospects saying ‘a Medal is a certainty for the great GM Simsters, but gold is all that matters!’

11
YENNEFER’S KITTEN KY 5F durkastan11 R Whisper 20 6 75% $321,049 10/1

Residency: Universal Racing Club

Trainer: DURKASTAN

KITTEN’S JOY x KINGMAMBO x DEPUTY MINISTER

Yennefer’s Kitten is one horse that looks to be on the improve, last start she ran a career best speed figure of 108 in the grade 2 Miami Beach Turf stayers despite settling much further back than her previous starts, but as she was well up in class she could still only manage to finish 6th beaten 9.5 lengths. She did win over 13F at stakes level just 2 starts ago and if she can improve she may be able to steal a medal. It will be interesting to see if she will be on the pace or sitting back of midfield like last start.

 

12
GALILEO ON FORM IRE 5F primus3 N Bonus 24 12 67% $462,019 14/1

Residency: All Stars Racing

Trainer: JACKLAD

GALILEO (IRE) x MONSUN x DYNAFORMER

Galileo on form is living up to her name as she has won her past 5 starts, 3 of which have been at stakes level. Last start she won over 16 furlongs leading all of the way, as she has done in all her wins. The problem is she is so hard to evaluate as she has a career high SP of just 103, added to that she is stepping up to Grade 1 company for the first time. Potentially she could be good enough to win a medal, but she needs to have a nice lead at the half way point. 

13
VOUCHMENT JPN 5F wideonturns K Proehl 24 10 92% $426,688 8/1

 

Residency: Megalopolis

 

Trainer: Fastnfirm

 

WORKFORCE x EL PRADO x RAINBOW QUEST

Vouchment is a very interesting runner, she has only been in the fastnfirm stables since October. She was previously a stakes winner over 14 Furlongs, only 3 starts before being sold at Auction by Stoners stables, since then she has had 4 starts for Fastnfirm all at allowance level winning 3 of them, the only problem is they none of the wins were on Turf and none over 14 furlongs. I honestly don’t know how good she is but she looks to have improved since changing stables, however there is the distinct possibility that she is a better runner on the Dirt. She is an outside medal hope.

14
DANCING SHIRLEY AUS 5F chino5 A Hudson 20 8 70% $381,005 13/1

Residency: Racing HQ

Trainer: Chino

SPINNING WORLD x SHIRLEY HEIGHTS x DANCING BRAVE

Dancing Shirley is a late maturing mare, who looked as though she had the world at her feet when she ran a very fast finishing 2nd in the Angry Dragon Grade 2 ( SP 111) back in October, but she has since put together a couple of sub par runs over 12F, In the Hong Kong Vase Grade 1 she was beaten 15.5 Lengths by Dolly’s Boy and 11.75 lengths by You’re Such a Card over 16F at Grade 2 level. She has had 17 starts over the past 2 years and may be looking for a break. With 3 wins from 3 on the wet this may be her best hope, if she is at her best she can pinch a medal for Racing HQ, but I’m looking elsewhere.

 

Realistically to win todays race it is going to take an SP of at least 115 and that being the case I think only 2 horses are capable of winning and that is How they Shine and Koko’s Kitten. Looking at the speed map I’m going to give the edge to How they Shine, Even though Koko bead How they shine over 11 Furlongs at the Breeders Bowl I think that How they shine may be better suited to the 14 Furlongs. Looking at the speed map she will get a head start on Koko’s Kitten and may be able to hold her off in the dying stages. This could be determined by the amount of speed in the race, we have 4 horses that like to lead or right on the speed in Galileo on Form, Luminosa, Yennerfer’s Kitten and Fiore. The more speed that is on the more chance Koko has of overhauling How they shine.

The battle for the Bronze is so difficult to predict as there are 6 or 7 horses that could win the bronze medal. Galileo on form has shown much improvement over the last 3 starts and has won 5 races in a row, but will need to improve at least 5 pints to capture a medal, and I think the speed battle could bring her undone. I believe Pato7 has done the smart thing with Luminosa, by placing her in a hot race in the lead up, she will be well rested but again the speed battle with Galileo on form could hurt.

 

Vouchment has 3 wins in a row but none on the turf but she will get a nice run mid pack, as will Panda Panda Panda, who is proven at the distance. It is hard to tell where Yennefer’s Kitten will be during the race but last start proved she was able to stay on well. I’m personally going to go with Royal Blessing who has ran a 116SP at the trip although it was May last year, and even if she is not at her best she can run at least in the 107-110 sp range, which should be enough to take the bronze.

 

 

Views (312)

Feb 212018
 

EQUINICS 2018 – STORMY PROSPECTOR

Vermont – 4 yo & Up – 12 Furlongs – Dirt

In the Bi-Annual competition between the Residencies has attracted another stellar field for the running of the Stormy Prospector.  Who will claim the GOLD for their REZ?  In the field today, we have 6 horses that have been to victory circle in Graded Stakes.  A pair of entries have amassed over a Million in career earnings.  Another EQUINICS race with speed to burn as all 14 starters have a career high SP above 100.  There is 1 Gelding in the field (HATEFUL ENTITY), 4 Four-year-old Colts (DANZIGOF THE NILE, SUPERFLY SNOOKA, SICILIAN WAY, & FINKE BORON) and a 2017 EOY (LIMESTONE). Now let’s take a better look at this field:

1

DANZIGOF THE NILE

16-1

ELITE RACING CLUB

4-M 

mightyforego20

Career:  15-4-2-3

R. Pollard

January at Denmark in the Sagatector Dirt Endurance faded to finish 4th.  Before that came from off the pace to Win the City Inferno Dirt Stayer by 3 lengths.  Prior race was in the G2- Hamburg Hall where he faded to finish 8th 13 ½ lengths back.  Has 3 Graded Stakes starts.
Colt is a scratchbred (Pioneerof The Nile x Danzig x Raise A Native) has a career high 115 SP in Your Boundaries Dirt Stayer running 2nd to SICILIAN WAY by ¼ length.  2nd trip up for jockey R. Pollard.

2

TAY BRIDGE

6-1

EAST-WEST CONNECTION

5-M

dunracing

Career:  22-7-5-5

T. Small

Last race in January got caught at the end of 12f Awesome Force Dirt Stayer to end in 2nd.  Before that faded out of the money in the 10f Danger Zone Dirt Route at Michigan.  Prior race finished second again after being caught in the Quick Hogan Dirt Memorial at Ohio.
The Light Grey (Rattlesnake Bridge x Awesome Again x Danehill) likes to go fast and to the front.  Has a high speed of 116 in a Win in the Yew Dirt Route at Florida.

REZ Says

A flat out- long dirt speedster.  Maybe not as classy as the rest of field but he can flat out run out in front with the best of them.

3

HATEFUL ENTITY

7-1

MINNESOTA TESTBARN

5-G

canyontx3

Career:  19-9-3-3

P. Jolly

Opened 2018 with a Win in a 22k allowance from off the pace for 4th victory in a row.  Before that won the 13f G2-Grey Fox from off the pace by 6 ¼ lengths.  Prior race was a stalking Win over a field of 7 in the Stormy Bluff II Dirt Memorial at Louisiana by 3 ¼ posting a 115 SP.
Light Grey scratchbred (Tapit x Halo x Alydar) since being Gelded has not missed the board in 10 starts with 7 Victories including 4 of them coming on off tracks. P. Jolly has a win in only previous ride, the Stormy Bluff ii Dirt Memorial.

4

LIMESTONE

6-1

UNIVERSAL RACING CLUB

5-M

newmarket5

Career:  20-10-4-0

F. Gossett

Opened 2018 with a wire to wire Win in 16f G2- Buckeye Stayer by 4 ½ lengths giving him a 3-race win streak.  Closed out 2017 Winning G1- Breeders Bowl Dirt Marathon while posting 117 SP.  Prior race Won G1- Monster Mash from near the front pulling away by 3 lengths.
Bay Scratchbred (Malibu Moon x Pleasant Colony x Sir Ivor) has 5 Graded Stakes Wins and has 1.6 Million in career earnings.  Had a 4-race winning streak in the summer of 2016. F. Gossett had a win in the stirrups in G1- Breeders Bowl Dirt Marathon.  2017 EOY – Older Male Long Dirt.

Owner Says

Hoping for a big run.  Had a good tune-up run in Buckeye Stayer.  One of two G1 winners in the race, I believe he is a lively option.

REZ Says

Has won 3 graded in a row.  Looks like he should be favorite or co-favorite.

5

AMONGST THE WAVES

7-1

GR SIMSTERS

5-M

capsized

Career:  20-8-1-5

P. Wright

At the G1- Big Apple extended Win streak to 4 staying in front the whole way. Before that Won an 11f 45k Allowance from near the lead.  Prior to that posted a 117 SP in wire to wire victory in G2- Windy City Gold Cup.  10 of his 20 starts have been Graded Stakes races.
(Compton’s Place (GB) x Sadler’s Wells x Kingmambo) has over 1.2 Million career earnings. Another horse with loads of speed that likes to run out in front.  Making first start of 2018.  P. Wright has ridden twice before with a win last trip at G1- Big Apple.

6

BLUESTONE LANE

5-1

PASTURES OF GREEN

5-M

correction

Career:  16-9-4-2

J. White

Last time out stalked the field in Unbridled Fury Dirt Stayer to win by 4 as the clear favorite.  Before that took lead in Secrets Untiuched Dirt Stayer but was caught finishing 2nd by 1 ¼ to the ML choice.  Prior race Won the Leaky Tap Dirt Stayer from the lead pack by 2 ¾.
Light Grey scratchbed (Medaglia D’Oro x Deputy Ministe x Unbridled) has a career best 114 SP.  Will be his first race of the year and his first ever start in a Graded Stakes.

7

TAKE THE KID

11-1

BLAZING SADDLES

5-M

zenyatta09

Career:  20-7-5-2

D. Givins

In January out classed a field of 4 in a 12f NW3y at VT for a wire to wire Win.  Ended 2017 by never trailing in Blazing Saddes Breeders Showdown Marathon victory.  Prior race drew post #14 and faded to finish 7th place in G1- Breeders Bowl Dirt Marathon won by LIMESTONE.
(Take Charge Indy x Giant’s Causeway x Lemon Drop Kid) He has posted his 3 best speeds on off tracks with his high of 113 coming in Wisdom Tooth Dirt Endurance on a good track.  Jockey D. Givins has 1 previous mount a fourth-place finish.

8

SUPERFLY SNOOKA

23-1

RACING HQ

4-M

redvipers

Career:  11-3-1-1

K. Johnson

In last start went right to the lead in Dusty Dance Dirt Challenge but got caught and ended 4th 11 ¼ lengths back.  Before that posted 106 SP in the American Derby but was caught and finished 2nd.  Prior race in G3- North Country Derby faded badly to finish 8th 10 ¾ lengths.
Scratchbred Brown (Shackleford x Saint Ballado x Deputy Minister) will be making first start of the year and may just be looking to land a Flying Elbow around the last turn.

9

SICILIAN WAY

18-1

EMPIRE STATE RACING

4-M

frankster

Career:  12-3-2-0

OA Haack

Began 2018 with a Win at Kentucky in a 12f NW2L leading all the way by 4 lengths.  In both his final 2 starts last year posted 115 SP, while Winning the Your Boundaries Dirt Stayer and finishing 2nd in 12f NW2L at Kentucky where he was caught at the end by the ML favorite.
Brown Colt is scratchbred (Honor Code x Street Cry x Deputy Minister) has never raced in a Graded Stakes.  Looking to prove that he belongs in the elite group.

10

DARK HAYMAKER

21-1

MEGALOPOLIS

5-M

deeprock1b

Career:  24-4-4-2

G. Arnold

Last race was a disappointing 8th in G1- Hit Man where he never was a factor 29 ¾ lengths back.  Before that posted a best 112 SP in Winning from off the pace in G2- Hamburg Hall.  Prior outing came home 2nd after leading briefly in the Call of the Wild II Dirt Stayer at NY.
The Roan horse (Stay Thirsty x Two Punch x Thirsty) will be making his first start in 2018.  Has been running in longer races maybe 12f will be just what the doctor ordered.

Owner Says

One of my biggest head scratchers, never know what I’m going to get in the way of his performance.  G2 victory was his best effort.

11

EHECATL MIZZEN

25-1

NORTH WEST RACING CIRCUIT

5-M

jdawg15

Career:  19-5-4-3

R. Romero

Last race Won from off the pace in a NW3x 48k Allowance at Berkshire by 3 ¼. Before that finished 2nd in a NW3x 39k Allowance at India.  Prior to that bested a field of 5 in 11f NW2y 43k Allowance at Italy by 4 ¼ lengths.  Has not been in a Stakes since 2 as a Juvenile.
Light Grey (Mizzen Mast x Smart Strike x Summer Squall) has posted at career best 104 SP in a 30k Claimer at Newmarket.  Making 2018 and Graded Stakes debuts.

12

CACHORRO

32-1

SIM HISPANO

5-M

argentino4

Career:  13-4-3-0

A. Jolly

Started the year with a Win in a Hot Race at New York.  Since breaking his maiden at end of 2016 has won 3 out 5 starts with the other 2 being runner up finishes.  However, all of them have been NW2 30k Allowance races.  Does have a career best SP of 104 posted at Surrey.
Bay Horse (Bernardini x Hussonet x Touch Gold) is really stretching his legs out in this race as it will be his first start in a Graded Stakes.

13

DE LONHRO

6-1

ALL-STARS RACING

5-M

rx7

Career:  23-9-2-3

T. Ace

Last race in January posted a Win in Valid Expectation Dirt Stayer as the ML favorite. Before that had his way with a field of 9 in Green Grass Dirt Memorial at Texas from the lead pack.  Prior race did not get to lead and faded finishing 9th in G1- Breeders Bowl Dirt Marathon.
The Brown Horse (Lonhro x War Chant x Pulpit) posted a career high 115 winning the G3- TV Stakes in May at Japan. Another speed horse that likes to be in the lead pack.  T. Ace had a 2nd place finish in his 1 previous ride.

14

FINKE BORON

11-1

MIDAS

4-M

greynomad

Career:  13-7-1-0

M. Scott

On New Years Day picked up 3rd straight win in G3- Gallant Socks Handicap putting up a 116 SP running in the front.  Before that had wire to wire Win in What For Bubble Dirt Stayer. Prior to that held off a field of 4 in NW1t Allowance at Kansas to Win by 3 ¾ lengths.
Bay Colt (Giant’s Causeway x Smart Strike x Unbridled’s Song) only has the 1 Graded Stakes start but it was a victory.  An opportunity to prove his mettle here.

Owner Says

Can’t fault his lead-up form and has not missed a beat since stretching out to a mile and a half.  Hoping we can give them something to think about.

MY PICKS: 3- HATEFUL ENTITY (MNTB), 4- LIMESTONE (URC), 6- BLUESTONE LANE (Pastures)

 

WATCH OUT FOR: 2- TAY BRIDGE (EWC), 5-AMONGST THE WAVES (GR Sim), 10- DARK HAYMAKER (Mega).

 

MY PLAY:  I going to load up big on an exacta box 3 & 4.

Views (302)

Feb 202018
 

Pure speed will be on display at the Equinics, where we honor six time Grade I winner Casterly Rock with a race in which some of the best sprinters the Sim has to offer will contest this race at 6.5 furlongs. A full field of fourteen will line up in the gate, let’s take a look at them:

 

1. Barb Island – LION HEARTED x SMOKE GLACKEN x PENTIRE (GB)

 

Lightly raced five-year-old horse representing the host residency, the Universal Racing Club.  He has run well in groups of somewhat lower quality than this one, but shows no wins since December of 2016, so he is sporting a nine race-losing streak that he looks to break. Looking at his speed figures, definitely he is not far off the bests in here, but it is a cause for concern that he does not like to be in that winners circle. His trainer dumbest is trying to change his style from a pure need the lead sprinter to a stalker, and his last two races are proof that apparently that adjustment is starting to pay dividends. We cannot recommend him as one of the top choices in this race, but there is hope from his entourage that he still can improve and have a nice five-year-old campaign. However, for now, the most he can aspire is a lower exotics placement at most.

 

2. Yo Whasupp – FED BIZ x INDIAN RIDGE x EL GRAN SENOR

 

This consistent colt is carrying the colors of the Elite Residency, and with four wins and six seconds from a total of eleven lifetime starts, you know he is a very dependable horse. Looking at his resume, it is obvious that he has been running against company not nearly as strong as the one he will be facing in this race.  But his trainer jbcri63 cannot be any more happy that his prodigy has been selected to such a high level competition, and he vows he will run the race of his life on February 24th. His last race was a solid fifth place finish in the Grade I Malibu Sprint, a race in which he was a 22/1 proposition, so definitely outran his odds. He has maintained a very steady and healthy improvement pattern, and we should see him trying to pick up the pieces, hoping he has a hot pace to run against. Cannot be one of the favorites, but will not be a surprise to me that he ran well enough to sneak into the exotics.

 

3. Gyoka San – SKY MESA x DANZIG x SECRETARIAT

 

Representing the Midas Residency, this five-year-old gelding out of the much-underrated sire Sky Mesa, he comes from a stakes-winning mare with a pedigree to die for; Danzig out of a Secretariat mare. He seems to be slowly getting into his tip to shape, confirmed by the fact that he has won two stales races in a row, one of them a Grade II, and in his last three races, he has improved his peed figure in each and every one of them. There is no question that this is the deepest and most talented field he has ever faced, but his trainer longdesert gave him a nice eight-week refresher, hoping to maintain that same condition he was displaying at the end of last year. If the morning work is an indication of how he will perform in the afternoon, then his trainer does not have anything to worry about, as clockers have been raving about him over the last month or so. He should be well positioned from the start and with a little improvement, he can be a top contender for the major award here.

 

4. Metaphorically – TIZNOW x INDIAN CHARLIE x STORM CAT

 

The Universal Racing Club is represented by this four-year-old light grey colt, out of former Horse of the Year Tiznow. His dam was a stakes winner going long over the grass, so he is doing exactly the opposite that he is supposed to do. This horse is coming into this race in probably the best shape of his career, having won his last two races with extremely high speed figures, denoting his current form. Although he has not been able yet to win at the graded level, we cannot overlook the fact that he is an improving colt, and more improvement is definitely not out of the question. He loves to go to the front from the gitgo, and there will be many speedsters trying to grab that early lead. He has shown he needs the lead in order to perform at his best, so we can expect his jockey to shake his reins from the first jump. If he can get that initial advantage, he can be dangerous, but with the abundance of early zip, I will side with others first.

 

5. Falchion – TAPIT x STORM CAT x ALYDAR

 

He is the number one ranked older sprinter in the SIM, and that is a testament of the quality and deepness of this field. He carries the flag for the Minnesota Testbarn Residency, and he will be making a quick turnaround, after winning the Grade III The Minister’s Deputy down in sunny Florida, a race that was supposed to serve as a prep for this race. Apparently, the horse is feeling better than ever, as he came from off the pace to just nail the runner up at the wire. In talking with his trainer phillipj3, we spoke about the possibility of a bounce, after such a great return. He tells me that the horse has kept the same demeanor he has prior to that most recent effort, so he does not think he will bounce off that win. He is one of these colts that needs a good speed set up for his late rally to be affective, and he will definitely have pace to run against. If he keeps that same condition he exhibited two weeks ago, he should be a factor at the final stages.

 

6. Annoyances – FIRST SAMURAI x INDIAN CHARLIE x CHESTER HOUSE

 

The entrant from the Megalopolis Residency, he had an extremely productive 2017, with two graded stakes and several Grade I solid figurations in his resume. His last race was disastrous, but that was at a nine-furlong distance, which is not to his liking. Now he is returning to a more suitable six and half furlong distance, and his trainer soft cleverly gave him a refresher after that poor performance. The questions is, can he return to his winning ways in a Grade I, after an eight-week layoff? Certainly seems like a lot to ask, so those questions linger in the minds of the bettors. Work pattern has been solid since his last effort, so he is ready to roll from the bench. Is he good enough to beat these Grade I sprinters? That will be answered on Saturday, but looking at it realistically, probably will need a race to show his best race form. Outside chance.

 

7. Fabregas Soler – TAPIT x SEEKING THE GOLD x BROAD BRUSH

 

Seven year old veteran representing the always powerful GR Simsters Residency that is making his first start of the year, after having a well thought, spaced campaign that enabled him to win a Grade I late in the year and to perform solidly in other Grade Is. His trainer holdme tells us that his horse is been working splendidly after a very easy allowance win on New Year’s Eve, which was his most recent start.  He would have prefer to sneak in another race to be more sure about his fitness level, but right now it is what it is, and he will come as one of the most seasoned horses in this group, and that alone is more than enough to consider him as a threat to win this event. He looks to win his fifth Grade I race and to increase his lifetime earnings to over $5,000,000, and although the quality of the competition is very stiff, he should be forwardly placed from the start and will make his presence felt when all the marbles are at stake.

 

8. Shaithans Wind – SEPOY x PULPIT x MEDAILLE D’OR

 

This five-year-old horse is carrying the torch for the Racing HQ Residency, and he has been a solid performer all thru his career. Six wins in nineteen starts, with thirteen placings lifetime are the body of his resume, although almost all of his races have been in much lesser company than the one he will be facing in this event. Furthermore, his best efforts so far have come in very short sprints, five and five and a half furlongs, and here he will have to travel at least an additional furlong, a fact that no doubt can be of importance when analyzing a probable outcome. He is coming off two very subpar performances, which he will need to improve dramatically in order to have a chance here. However, his trainer scout1 is old school. He says the only horse without a chance is the horse that stays in the barn, and he is confident about his horse running a credible race and to represent his residency with dignity. And that folks, ultimately is the real spirit of the Equinics. Good luck to all connections.

 

9. Yeah Thanks – TIZNOW x SUMMER SQUALL x RAISE A NATIVE

 

This horse carries the banner of the Blazing Saddles Residency, and comes into this race with an impressive resume. Ten wins out of thirteen lifetime starts, including seven victories out of his last eight outings, a Grade III win included tell the story of this extremely consistent homebred, out of two time Breeders Cup Classic winner Tiznow. His trainer horseriot gave his colt a nice bolt tightener on his most recent start, that definitely does not look good at the speed figure level, but the main purpose of leaving his best for this race has been achieved, and he is coming into this competition in insuperable form. He loves to sit in the garden spot, so the most important factor for him will be that his jockey gives him a nice trip, in which he finds the space whenever he asks him for his best. There is no doubt that he is stepping up in class big time, but with some improvement, he can be a nice upset possibility if all falls into place.

 

10. Tappan Z – TAPIZAR x SEA THE STARS x HENNY HUGHES

 

The East West Connection residency comes forward with this colt, who has been in sort of an up and down campaign recently. What is very clear from analyzing his past performances is that he is a definite need the lead type of horse. All his wins have come when he can establish a clear lead on his races, and that, in a Grade I, is much less probable to happen. After a solid win in an open allowance in July, his trainer benpyed rolled the dice, sending him to the Grade I Prince Knight, in which he was soundly defeated. He was then close to winning both a Grade III and a Grade I, making his trainer dream again about Grade I glory. Those dreams were inhumanely shattered after a disastrous performance in the Grade I Malibu. Now in 2018, he as a good second in a grade I and climbs the ladder once again. If he can go on an easy lead, he can be a dangerous horse, but realistically, I don’t see that happening. Not sold on his chances.

 

11. He’s in Shape – TAPIT x DISTORTED HUMOR x STORM CAT

 

Representing the All Stars Racing Residency, he is a son of mega sire Tapit out of a Grade I winning Distorted Humor mare, and slowly he is beginning to look like the horse his breeder dream he would be. He should be one of the favorites for the Eclipse Award for best Sprinter, due to his win in the Malibu Sprint and his second place finish in the Breeders Bowl Sprint, both Grade I races. So we can call him the now horse, and although he is been on the shelf for almost two months, his trainer primus2 ensures us the colt has maintained the same form he exhibited late in 2017. He has only eleven lifetime races, so further improvement is definitely not out of the question, as he looks to take a firm hold of the sprint division in 2018. He likes to be sitting just off the pace and make a move from the three-eighths pole on, and he will be right in the thick of things at the final furlong. Great chance to win and betting wise, he will be one of the top choices on the board.

 

12. Scattered Assets – SCAT DADDY x TAPIT x AWESOME AGAIN

 

This horse belongs to yours truly, and I think we can call this horse kind of a Cinderella story. Representing the Empire State Racing Residency, I acquired this colt early last year at the auctions, for a very modest sum of around $40,000. An obvious under achiever, I tried the grass first with him, and he won a quality hot race with a very nice late kick. Then I returned to the dirt in a restricted high claimer, and gave the jockey instructions to hold him way off the pace, and at almost 15-1 he came flying to miss by only a couple of lengths. After that, the horse kept improving and finally, at the end of the year, he won his first stakes race, and followed that effort with his first graded score in the Grade III Kenny Joe Stakes. He started 2018 by just missing in the Grade III Narrowly Missed Stakes, but still displaying that wicked late turn of foot. He definitely needs a hot pace to develop for his late run to be effective, and I hope that pace materializes for him. He is coming in superb condition, and although I would have prefer to have an extra furlong to work with, his chances of winning are excellent, and he will be a force to be reckoned with at the stretch. Big chance.

 

13. Muhaackrar – MUHAARAR (GB) x SEA THE STARS x GHOSTZAPPER

 

This is the flag bearer for the SIM Hispano Residency. He has been in a roll lately, winning five out of his last six outings, showing blazing speed from the gate and running his competition out of their feet. However, he is climbing way up the ladder for this Grade I event, as all but one of his wins have come at the allowance level. On his next to last race, he won the Band Camp Dirt Memorial down in Sweden, taking them wire to wire while posting very fast fractions in the meantime. No secret about the instructions trainer ottico is giving his jockey; they will take the lead at all costs, and then play catch me if you can. With all the other quality speed signed in for this race, he will have his work cut out for him, and after getting the lead, he will have to improve on his best effort speed figure wise in order to have a chance in here. He should be prominent at the beginning of the race, not sure about his chances of staying the whole six and a half furlongs.

 

14. Dabigeasy – SKIMMING x MORE THAN READY x MR. LEADER

 

Veteran six year old horse representing the NWRC Residency, he has been a consistent performer all through his career, winning eight races from twenty nine starts and banking almost $300,000 for his owner and trainer bigeasy03. For the most part, he has been competing against allowance horses, so he is climbing up the ladder big time to face these quality sprinters. The times that he has run in stakes races, he has been soundly defeated. But this is the Equinics, where dreams are allowed to turn into a happy reality, and his connections are hoping his horse can run the race of his life to be able to stay within close distance of these monsters. Fitness will not be an issue for him, he has maintain that same good condition he has shown late last year, and making his 2018 debut, he will need his top performance and then some to have a chance in this event. We should see him at the first flight of horses from the start; let us see how far his speed will take him.

 

 

Picks:

 

12. Scattered Assets

11. He’s in Shape

5. Falchion

 

Views (291)

Feb 202018
 

The filly version of this sprint is the Union Jack Flyer, honoring the legacy of an eight time Grade I winner and earner of over 5 million dollars. She was either first or second in twenty six out of thirty four lifetime starts, a true testament of her consistency. Another full field awaits to compete for the bigger piece of the $ 1,250,000 prize, let us get to know them:

 

1. She’s a Brewty – MILWAUKEE BREW x WANTED (AUS) x CLASSIC CAT

 

Four year old lightly raced filly that comes from the Racing HQ Residency. For the most part, she has been competing in shorter distances, and her preferred one is five and one half furlongs, in which she has obtained all her five-lifetime scores. One of those wins was in the listed Bluffy Cat Dirt Filly Dash, in what so far is her lone stakes win. It is clear she has not been tested against such quality opponents like the ones she will face this Saturday, but she is still learning the game, and she can be a nice sprinter down the road. For now, she has two main obstacles going against her; her inexperience versus Grade I level fillies and the extra furlong she will have to travel. Her trainer 3dddz will instruct her jockey to send her right out of the gate and then see what happens when the closers come roaring in the stretch. If she wins, she will be a major surprise, but do not discount her chances later in the year against the likes of these.

 

2. Cavs Win – MEDAGLIA D’ORO x DISTORTED HUMOR x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY

 

Seeing what the Cleveland Cavaliers have done after imploding their team, recently, she will be somewhat of a luck charm play. Representing the host residency, the Universal Racing Club, this filly had a very productive 2017, with four win, two of them coming in stakes races. The big question mark for her is how well she will perform now that she is climbing up the ladder to graded stakes company. This race will be this filly’s debut in 2018, and she has been working splendidly towards her return. She will definitely need to improve significantly anything she has done to have a fighting chance in this event, but her trainer rabid5 is looking forward to this Saturday, to watch his silks parading in such a prestigious event. Her best efforts have come at much shorter distances, which is why she should be a prominent sight from when the gates open. Cannot be considered one of the main threats, but can be a nice low end exotics bet.

 

3. Sea the Causeway – SEA THE MOON (GER) x STREET CRY x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY

 

She is the entrant from the Megapolis Residency, and over the last year more or less, she has been running in races much longer than the six and a half furlong she will travel on Saturday. In speaking with her trainer and owner deeprock21, training has concentrated in trying to get her a little more quickly out of the apparatus, because she has been routing, so paces of the races are much slower than she will encounter on Saturday. Her last effort was a winning one, coming from the garden spot to score in the listed Frostfang Dirt Mare Stayer on New Year’s Day at chilly British Columbia.  If she can accommodate herself in a nice stalking position, she has the lung capacity to be a factor for the low-end exotics. But for the win, she will need to prove she belongs with these kind of Grade I fillies, and that, and the question of the distance, are high hurdles to overcome. Tough read, but I’ll pass.

 

4. I Choose – SIDNEY’S CANDY x A.P. INDY x DANZIG

 

Six-year-old veteran mare that represents the Midas Residency. Her 2016 campaign was extremely impressive, with four wins, including two stakes races and a solid second place finish in this same race two years ago. The problem is that 2017 was not very kind to her, with only one win, and that was in a restricted allowance race, and looks like she is not the same filly that competed in this event in 2016. Her trainer victorious has taken the cautious approach with her, with just one start in the last three months, looking to inject some new life in her trainee. In talking to him, he still is confident on her mare’s ability to perform at a high level, but understands she needs to step it up big time for that to happen. She likes to come from the garden spot and make a single move, but I suspect we can see a change of tactics for this race, maybe getting her farther off the pace. Anyway, from we can see in her last efforts, she cannot be one of the top choices. Improvement needed.

 

5. Alondrina – MALIBU MOON x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY x SEEKING THE GOLD

 

Our friends from the SIM Hispano Residency sent out this Malibu Moon filly to be their flag bearer. Out of a Grade III winner, her lifetime record is solid: six wins and twelve on the board finishes out of thirteen lifetime races. The main concern with her is that when she has been asked to climb up the ladder to the stakes level, she has faltered, being soundly defeated in both times. Now she is further climbing to the elite Grade I level racing, looking to score a big upset at ultra-high odds. Her works have been solid and she seems to have maintained a nice form. Nevertheless, maybe this group is excessively much to ask to this filly at this stage of her career. She is coming into this race out of two very solid efforts, and she has been racing very sparingly, as this is just her third race since August of last year, so she is rested and ready. But for her to have a chance, she will need to improve dramatically anything g she has done in her short career. Cannot endorse.

 

6. Angel’s Trumpets – DISTORTED HUMOR x STORM CAT x SEATTLE SLEW

 

At one time during her 2017 campaign, this very seasoned mare hailing from the Minnesota Testbarn Residency was the top female sprinter inn the Sim, with wins in the Grade II Honored Miss and the Grade I The Nutcracker, plus three additional Grade I second places. After the Breeders Bowl, her trainer and owner koza gave her a much-deserved break, and she came back on late January with a subpar effort in the Grade I Everclear Handicap, a race in which she had the favor of the bettors that made her the 9/2 choice. I think is clear that she needed that race in order to complete her preparation for the Equinics, and judging by the way she has been working on the mornings, we can expect a much different mare from what we saw last time out. Maybe she would have preferred to have an additional half a furlong to work with, but she is more than capable of winning at this distance. We should see her attacking from the three-eighths pole on, and will be a tough customer when all the marbles are at stake. Big chance to win.

 

7. Silent Astral – ASTROLOGY x SUNDAY SILENCE x EASY GOER

 

Five-year-old mare from the NWRC Residency that went over fifteen months without a win. Then late last year she won a restricted allowance and immediately followed that effort with another victory in an open allowance race, which are almost as strong as a listed stakes race. Still, this lady has not won any stakes in her career, and looking at her last performances, it is clear she will need to improve significantly in order to have a chance in here. Her trainer, youngmc03, is ecstatic on being selected to represent their group, and he tells me her works are the best he have seen her over her seventeen races lifetime. However, she seems to be overmatched against the best this race has to offer. She should be prominent in the first flight as her last race was at the five-furlong distance. But other than that, it will be a stretch expecting to see her on the board at the conclusion of the event. 13/1 looks like a very low morning line for her.

 

8. Deep Pact – DEEP IMPACT x MISWAKI x NIJINSKY 2ND

 

She has taken an interesting path in preparation to this event. The daughter of Japanese Superstar Deep Impact, she carries the torch for the All Stars Racing Residency, she was the winner of the Grade I Filly and Mare Breeders Bowl Sprint in a wire-to-wire job, and you will think she will be training on that same dirt surface. However, her trainer teamasr1 has chosen a rather unconventional training method; she has raced twice on the grass in preparation for the Equinics, the last time in a Hot Race in which she was 1/9 on the board. She won easily, and now she looks in top form to take away the big prize in here. She will have to contend with other very fast fillies. However, instructions for her jockey is to go for the lead at all costs. All of her wins have come when she can establish the pace, so you know now why that is the strategy we will see again. Very dangerous if she is able to clear when the gates open.

 

9. City Groom – CITY ZIP x DANZIG x BLUSHING GROOM

 

Lightly raced four-year-old filly carrying the torch for the Elite Residency, sired by main speed influence City Zip, with Danzig on the lower part of her pedigree. We can say she is a six and a half furlong specialist, as all of her victories have come at this very difficult distance. Her trainer harrylancx has done a fabulous job with this filly, slowly climbing her up the ladder, going thru all her conditions. Her last two races indicate that she is ready to take on higher hurdles. She just missed scoring big in the Grade I A Time for Speed, a race in which she was an eight to one proposition on the board. Her connections are telling us she has maintained that same great form from last December, and that the two-month rest will not be a factor against her. Look for her to accommodate in the coveted garden spot, and if she keeps her rapidly improving ways, (and with only ten lifetime starts, we can almost expect that for sure), she will be a tough cookie to chew on Saturday. She comes with an enormous chance to score.

 

10. Half Our Age -  HALF OURS x VINDICATION x FAPPIANO

 

The East-West Connection Residency send this four year old filly to be their flag bearer. So far, she has been a very nice producer, with four wins in twelve lifetime races, with earnings of over $120,000. However, she has not proven yet to be able to be competitive in the listed stakes level, and now she will be asked to take her talents to a much higher ground, the Grade I company. That is apples and oranges guys. All of her wins have come at the restricted allowance level, so she will have to improve very dramatically in order to have the slightest of opportunities to at least a share of the prize. Her trainer cygnusx brings his filly in tip top shape for this commitment, and, for the most part, you can expect to see her in the first flight when the gates open. But I cannot recommend her from what I have seen in her past performances. Siding with others.

 

11. Belladonte – SEA THE STARS x A.P. INDY x MR. PROSPECTOR

 

Hailing from the Blazing Saddles Residency, this daughter of undefeated Sea the Stars out of a Grade II winning A.P. Indy mare has experimented a dramatic improvement since being claimed for $75,000 on February of last year. After that race, new owner and trainer bsben4 gave his filly a very prolonged six-month layoff, and on her return, she toyed with restricted allowance competition. Then she tested the listed stakes level, and won impressively at generous 9/1 odds. Her last two races have been second place finished, one of them at the Grade I level, proving that her newfound ability can make her become of the giant forces in the filly sprint division in 2018. She loves to come from way off the pace, and the six and a half furlong distance should be no problem for her, although her trainer would have preferred a little bit more ground to work with. If a pace meltdown occurs, she is one of the top contenders in here.

 

12. Alygon K. – SHAHEEN x GONE WEST x STORM OF ANGELS

 

Owner and trainer lethargic sends this four-year-old filly to this race, representing the Pastures of Green Residency. So far, she has been a very productive filly, with six wins and thirteen on the board finishes in fourteen career races. Seeing her talent, his trainer has slowly worked her thru her conditions and late last year, she asked her to go in deeper waters, namely stakes competition. And she has perform nicely, with one win and two close seconds, and gaining ground rapidly in both of them. Now she has another challenge to overcome; the Graded Stales level, and within that, none less that a Grade I and the Equinics. It is responsible to be skeptical about her chances in such a deep and strong race, but she is a gutsy horse, with figures that compare favorably with others in here, and at least I, will not be surprised if she runs well in here. For the risky bettors, she is a nice lower end exotics play, and watch out later in the year, as she can become one of the leaders of the division.

 

13. Zip Her Up – CITY ZIP x UNBRIDLED’S SONG x SEATTLE SLEW

 

Here is the representation of the powerful GR Simsters Residency, and she has a model of consistency thru all her career. She has been in the Top 3 in sixteen out of seventeen lifetime starts, and in each race showing a wicked late turn of foot that has enabled her to obtain five wins in a row, including his most recent start in the Grade I Everclear Handicap. Versatility is another of her strengths, as she has won in both the main track and the grass, as well as sprinting and routing. Her trainer lukester01 exudes confidence when talking about his fillies’ chances in the race, pointing out that he is quite sure that a hot pace will develop up front, and then she will come flying from the quarter pole on, hoping she can find a clear path to the wire. There is no denying she is on her best form of her career, and if she repeats her last race and keeps on that healthy improvement pattern, she is one of the fillies to beat in here. Big chance to score from way off the pace.

 

14. Alphabet Cadet – ALPHA x DANZIG x CONQUISTADOR CIELO

 

This is the representative of our group, the Empire State Residency, and is a New York bred filly sired by Grade I winner Alpha in a Grade I winning Danzig mare, so pedigree is not lacking here. She has proven to be a very versatile filly, winning stakes both on the main track and over the grass. She started 2017 competing mainly at the allowance level, however, late in the year, she improved to the point of earning the victory in the listed Royal Cat Dirt Filly Sprint, a race in which she posted her highest speed figure ever, a 112. After that however, her next two efforts have been somewhat disappointing, and looks for a return to her best form. She is facing this very tough group, so this good filly will need to repeat her best race lifetime, and then some more to have a chance in here. This is another one who will come flying on the late stages, so she needs pace in front of her for her late run to be affective. Slim chance, but will be pulling for her to do well for our residency.

 

 

Picks:

 

13. Zip Her Up

6. Angel’s Trumpets

8. Deep Pact

 

Views (279)

Feb 202018
 

A field of fourteen Three-Year Old Colts and Geldings will take their skills to the Turf Course and represent their Residencies in the fifth anniversary of the Winter Equinics.  The race, named for Hall of Famer SUNNYBANK MEMORIAL, winner of 15 Grade I Stakes including the 2004 Breeders Bowl Turf. He was also a three-time winner of the G-1 Aslan Memorial Stakes and two-time winner of the G-1 Man o’War StakesSUNNYBANK MEMORIAL was trained by one of the top trainers of his era, and long- standing member of the Pastures of Green Residency sunnybank, or as he was more affectionately referred to as richlilbit by his Chat room friends.

The field boasts four of the top ten Three-Year Old Turf sprinters in the World, including the 2017 G1 Breeders Bowl Juvenile Turf winner HAUT MONDE.  Joining him are Grade I Golden Shoe winner WAKI HADDA and Grade I Middlepark Stakes winner NO NAY SATAN.  The field is rounded out nicely by some promising Three-Year Old’s that have established themselves on the Graded and Blacktype level and are primed to take a big run at the top three.

THE FIELD

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WAKI HADDA – the 3-Year Old Bay Colt by the obscure AUS sire Hvasstan, out of stakes winning, multi-graded stakes producing mare WAKI ALEXIS (Miswaki) has the distinction of being the number two ranked Three Year Old in his class for the mano connections by virtue of his late charging victory in the G1 Golden Shoe defeating EOY award winner WEAVER’S WARRIOR; may have bounced a bit when he finished far back of HAUT MONDE in the 2017 G1 Breeders Bowl Juvenile Turf in his next start, but then came back strongly to win his next two starts in convincing fashion while returning to a sprint where he is six for eight lifetime; gets to avenge his BB loss on Saturday at a distance both horses are equally adept at…dangerous

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NO NAY SATAN – the 3-Year Old Bay Gelding by No Nay Never out of the Stakes winning mare SWINGINGWITHSATAN (Pivotal), Dam of the G1 winning DEVIL’S INTENT hails from a long line of top performers stemming back to EOY winner SUPER GOLD.  The talented AUS bred began his career against Local Bred competition, but it became clearly obvious this Colt was meant for bigger things; winner of the Northern Chant Turf Juvenile in his first start away from Local competition, the kingranch trained sensation ripped through the competition in his next three starts during his two-year old campaign including the Grade I Middlepark Stakes; his three year old debut, although likely a jog over the track after a two month freshening, may raise some concern when finishing second in a short field of Allowance runners but if you can see past that then you have to like his chances…winning tradition

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HAUT MONDE – the round2 trained 3-Year Old scratch-bred Bay Colt by Frankel out of a Mr. Prospector x Secretariat mare is the fields headliner, and why not; winner of the G1 Blue Diamond Road and the 2017 G1 Breeders Bowl is the only multi G1 winner in the field; the wrinkle, he was beaten by more than a length by NO NAY SATAN in the Grade I Middlepark Stakes; won his 3yo debut in fine fashion in the Bent Comet Turf Sprint and looks poised to turn the tables on his adversary here on Saturday…one to beat

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ABSENCE OF LIGHT – the 3-Year Old Bay scratch-bred Colt by Acclamation out of a Green Desert x El Prado mare has taken on a rigorous campaign for the dontbetonme stables competing in his seventh consecutive Graded affair; toss out his last over a yielding surface while traveling nine panels for the first time in the G3 Panhandle Park Derby; returns to his best distance as evidenced in this in his victory in the G2 Rich Man but will have to outkick WAKI HADDA to the wire, something he was unable to do in the Golden Shoe; should make a good account of himself on the turnback…chance off best

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DYNA AL SYNA – the amir1605 trained 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Captain Al out of the multi-stakes producing mare SYNAFORM (Cape Cross) is 10-5-2-2 in his career; the the G3 winner of the Salisbury Medallion always puts his best foot forward whenever he steps onto the racetrack, however his lone hiccup came in the G1 Golden Shoe where he was in a good company of Colts victimized by WAKI HADDA on that day…game face on

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FARHHGO FLYER – scratch-bred 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Farhh out of a Miswaki x Kris S. mare races under the green, white and gold colors of the jms13 racing stables; the ENG bred’s talent was clearly evident by his connections after his debut victory in the Owner Restricted URC Hopes and Dreams 2yo Alw; a win in his next start in the G3 The Railaway drove the point home; cashed a paycheck in every subsequent start in his 2yo campaign including a win in the G2 International before coming up short to EOY winner WEAVER’S WARRIOR in the G1 Futurity; turns back into a sprint for his 3yo debut and will be dangerous if he comes out running…chance if ready

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WHISPERING DEATH – the 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Frankel out of the G1 winning mare QUIET CARA (Bernardini) seeks his first Graded victory for the masterm racing stables after giving sway to a stubborn CRIMSON AND DEAD in the G2 Railroad Handicap LTO; the lightly raced ENG bred got off to a fast start reeling off three victories in a row before coming up short in the G2 International in his first start around two turns; expect a more focused horse this time racing in his comfort zone while racing in his best form entering this affair…never been better

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THOSE ARE STRINGS – the spinround trained 3-Year Old Bay Colt Not a Single Doubt out of the multi-stakes producing mare SOUL ON FIRE (Giant’s Causeway), Dam of G2 winner SEPAL VEGA, has never failed to gain the lead in any of his seven starts while relinquishing that lead only three times, twice at the graded level and once in the off going; showed good speed against a talented field in the G3 Jellyton Stakes at a mile LTO and should be sharp off that effort turning back to his optimal distance…must not falter

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WENTY LAWMAN – the davarto trained 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Lawman out of the multi-stakes producing mare DIVINITY (Elusive Quality) came out flying to begin his career with second place finishes in G3 Triple P and G3 Cyborg respectively after an impressive debut; victimized in the Grade I Middlepark Stakes, his early 2yo form seemed to elude him as he followed up that Middlepark effort with another disappointing run in the Starman Turf Juvenile; quick to respond, connections smartly pulled back on the IRE bred’s regimen entering him in an ALW conditioner before giving him a brief rest leading up to his 3yo debut…must show more

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MOUNTAIN GATE – up and down in MSW and Allowance company, the atthewire trained 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Dubawi, out of G3 winning MACULANI (Street Sense) began to figure things out, winning his last two starts, including the Saint Night Turf Sprint in his stakes debut LTO; takes on his toughest challenge yet, but improving horses are dangerous and there is no doubt this colt is heading in the right direction…might be this good

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WAR ING – the lightng99 trained 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Charm Spirit out of the multi-stakes producing mare AGUAS CEREZA (War Emblem) has been improving over his last three starts and enters this field off his first stakes victory in the Craft Shuffling Turf Juvenile LTO; makes his first start of his 3yo campaign and should be fast and fit in his first appearance at the Graded level…happy with part

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FEAR THE WAR – lightly raced 3-Year Old Bay Colt by War Front is the first foal from the G1 winning mare RULE WITH FEAR (Dabirsim) and has impressed favorably in his five career starts; takes a huge climb up the class ladder in his first stakes appearance but comes into this race fresh off a pair of Allowance wins; the gifted KY bred races under the capable connections of the skunkbred racing circuit, and you can rest assured if these connections have this horse entered in this spot, they have to like their chances…don’t dismiss

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VERDUGO GRIS – the 3-Year Old Light Grey Colt by Tapit out of Giant’s Causeway races in the interest of the haack racing stables and although he misses out on all the bells and whistles as some of his opposition in this field, he is a perfect two for two since switching to the Turf Course; sure he’s in deep here, but my dad always said never bet against a horse that has a perfect record on the Turf after they switch over, and hey, this is a Tapit and he is being handled by top connections, so beware…long shot chance

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HEY CAT – the 3-Year Old Bay Colt by Tale of the Cat out of a Jimmy Creed mare enters the field on only three career starts; the sledge4 trained KY bred broke his maiden in his last start after he was switched to the Turf Course, sure this looks like an impossible task for the inexperienced contender, but the this is Equinics, and heart often wins out over sheer ability…benefits from this

Handicapping the Field

When you look at this race on paper, the race breaks down to the big three, WAKI HADDA, NO NAY SATAN, and HAUT MONDENO NAY SATAN is such an imposing figure when you look at him on paper, but I am leery of his last start at the Allowance level where he finished second in a four-horse field, even if it he was in for a jog.  WAKI HADDA and HAUT MONDE have a score to settle, but WAKI HADDA gets compete on his terms here, a distance in which he beat EOY award winner WEAVER’S WARRIOR.

ABSENCE OF LIGHT might be feeling the effects of a rigorous campaign, and although a talented sprinter, he was unable to match strides with WAKI HADDA while he was racing in top form.

DYNA AL SYNA appears to be just a notch below the top three and would have to run a career best to take this one home, while FARHHGO FLYER could really find the magic returning to a sprint.

WHISPERING DEATH, FEAR THE WAR and VERDUGO GRIS all hail from capable connections, but I’m not sure that’s enough to overcome the challenges of this field.

THOSE ARE STRINGS is fast and is easily the one to catch in this field, but he has never been able to shake loose at this level and would have to have everything go his way to succeed.

WENTY LAWMAN is searching for his form right now and I’m not sure he will find it here.

MOUNTAIN GATE might provide your best chance for a big number in the Exotics.  He’s getting good at the right time and enters the field with a lot of upside.

WAR ING hails from connections that are no strangers to winning at long odds…might be worth a flyer in the exotics.

HEY CAT gets the Heart of a Champion award, not my bet, but an exemplary example of what Equinics is all about.

The Picks

WAKI HADDA – gets top play off extraordinary performance in the Golden Shoe

HAUT MONDE – most likely to upset the top choice

MOUNTAIN GATE- taking a shot here with a horse that might be moving up while others are on the way down

NO NAY SATAN – might have been top choice but last out chased me away

FARHHGO FLYER – best chance to upset at a price

 

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Jan 192018
 

The ESR group, after a series of phone calls, text messages, and Chat Room conversations, decided to carry the torch from New York to Vermont…there was no way we were going to South Korea; that place is just one crazy bastards finger away from demolishing the competition.  The decision was to meet at Aqueduct Racetrack and plan our journey after betting a few races, downing a few beers, sipping some red wine, and throwing back a few shots while priming the pump.

Practically living in the backyard of the NYRA circuit tracks, frankster, cadet and myself were the first to arrive at the Big A.  It didn’t take long for Frank to explain to us that we were going about this trip the wrong way, and how we should plan our path to Vermont by way of all the finest Italian cuisines along the way.  Cadet said you are right frank, you are always right, and well, quite frankly, I have never been known as one to pass up a good meal.  The first order of business was a stop at the bar, one merlot, one scotch, and one gin.  After toasting our success at Equinics and on the days racing card, we noticed in the distance a slightly frazzled gentleman entering the track sporting a Maple Leaf’s jersey with the number 14 proudly displayed on the front; now, never meeting balata before, it was a pretty safe bet, and probably the only right bet we make all day, that this is our Canadian friend.  “I need a beer”, exclaimed the burly Canadian, “I think South Korea would have been much safer than JFK airport”.  We couldn’t argue that fact and proceeded to the bar to fulfill our northern neighbors request. “Do you have a Moosehead or Labatt”? the bartender looked confused, so balata wound up with a Heineken.

Settling down, we kept our eyes open for the rest of the ESR residents.  Next to arrive was our leading correspondent and keeper of the chronicles, itch; however, we were most happy to see him because he was the keeper of the moonshine, brewed straight from the stills of West Virginia.

Now the forecast was for clear weather over the next few days, but it sure looked like snow in the distance, but it turned out to be ace, who managed to have the Buffalo sky follow her all the way to Aqueduct.  On her journey, ace stopped to pick up valesa, who’s been looking forward to getting out of Jersey for a while and returning home to Queens. The two ladies were happy to greet the bartender and chase the chill from their bones with a couple of tequila shots.

Deeprock and beisbol met at LAX, flew into O’Hare and met up with hartack and nextbonus, diverted to LGA, they got turned around and wound up at Yonkers, at least that what they said but most of us figured that nextbonus cleverly persuaded the quartet to go to the trotters instead of the flats, and seeing as Yonkers was on our way to Vermont the group decided to meet them there after the Aqueduct card.

A loud chorus of BOO’s resonated among the crowd, and when nycowboy emerged from multitude wearing a Dallas Cowboy jersey with the number 9 we understood why.  Well at least Romo is getting to the second round of the playoffs this year, even if it is in the booth.

Casino met up with scoobi in Louisiana, and it wasn’t before long that we received a call from casino that they weren’t going to make it to Vermont, something about an Asian girl, a few bottles of whiskey, and the law.  We wished them luck, told them they should have used that one phone call for a lawyer, and that we’d see them in about 5 to 10.

A group text message was sent by kingab declaring us all crazy, that he has no desire of getting locked up like we did in 2012, nor did he want to leave the cozy confines of the Florida sunshine for the frigid temps of NY. “I’ll meet you in Vermont, DON’T lose the torch”.

Shortly before the horses entered the paddock, spinround arrived with her camera, and as photogenic as we all are, we knew by the end of the day these photos were going viral.  Someone asked about pointguard, however being a native Vermonter, he would meet and guide us through the Green Mountain State.

During the planning stages it was decided that no one person would carry the torch, after all, we should have learned something from previous Equinics fiascos.   The task was delegated to bristolred who organized a bus trip with the remaining members of ESR, tonyalb, awkwardandchai, invayamil, jastables, jrm, lamphere, pointblank, aladar, capecod, kimugle, kingman, and slew to meet at the transferring residency, collect the torch, run it together as a group to the location of the bus company, board the Charter Bus and drive to Aqueduct where we would celebrate upon arrival.  Again, CELEBRATE UPON ARRIVAL…They didn’t…kegs were cracked, bottles were opened, spliffs were passed and the torch was left unattended.  Fortunately, nobody was injured, and the torch was recovered after the New Salem Fire Department doused the smoke and flames on the charter bus.  News reached the Aqueduct group about as fast as the bus group exited that bus, and a contingency plan was put into place.  We would meet the New Salem Thirteen on our way to Vermont.  They’d probably be tied up for a while at the New Salem Sheriff’s station, so the Aqueduct group were in no hurry to interrupt their track festivities.

The party was on, drinks all around, bets were made, tickets were torn up and rumblings of “rowdy” emerged from the crowd.  We were curious, looked around, but we didn’t notice any rowdy groups in the area and proceeded with our good time.  Track Security positioned very close to our area, I guess they were looking for that rowdy bunch too.

Now they say music soothes the savage beast, but I’m not sure they meant Sam the Bugler, who wandered over to our group, hit on ace, spin and valesa, and then played Minnie The Moocher on the brass coil.  It may as well have been Taps.  Everyone applauded, smiled politely and thanked the man in the red jacket and blacktop hat.  I need a drink.

It was getting late, we were running out of races and nobody had cashed a ticket all day.  The last race on the card was for cheap claimers, older fillies that have never won two races.  A field of eight, cadet liked the 2, Bunny Killer.  Came home in 23 and change last out, can’t miss.  Itch was a bit drowsy feeling the effects of his moonshine, so he liked the 4, SnoreenAce liked the 1, Broomstick, felt certain she would fly home.  Frank was certain the 7, Heidi was the winner, she looked great, had a pumped-out chest and a great round bottom.  I liked the 6, Spirit of Independence, she was the best one on paper, had the best jockey and trainer and was the favorite.  Balata couldn’t get his JFK off his mind, so he was betting the 5 TraumaValesa liked the 8 Treasure on a hunch.  Spin, who spent most of the day cataloguing the events, noticed we all picked a different horse, knew we couldn’t pick a winner in a walkover, and bet the 3 Up In Flames…perfect 40-1, here’s to the New Salem 13…You know the rest of this story…followed Franks route of great Italian cuisines, where spin treated everyone on her winnings  to a great meal at Do Peps, just walking distance from the track.

The night was young, it was off to Yonkers to meet up with deeprock, beisbol, hartack and nextbonus who were raking it in by hitting every race at Yonkers that evening.  Of course, nothing pays more than $4.00 to win at the trotters, so a short walk through the doorway to the Empire Casino and one spin at the one-armed bandit put a quick end to their winning streak.  Unaware of the events of the New Salem 13, the Harness Track 4 suggested we make our way to New Salem, collect the Torch, bail out as many of the unlucky we could, and make our way to Vermont…Good Idea.

Much to our surprise, the trip to New Salem was quite uneventful, sure a couple of pitstops along the way, a nip from the jug, and a detour courtesy of google maps, but we arrived at the crack of dawn at the New Salem Sheriff’s Office.  “Good Morning Officer, we are here to bail out our friends and collect the torch”.  “Well you can bail out your friends, but they must appear before the Judge tomorrow and the torch has to stay as evidence.”  What were we going to do, we must be in Vermont by the end of the day?  The last words of kingabs text… DON’T lose the torch…kept ringing in my head.  “Who wants to call kingab and tell him we lost the torch”?  Collectively I heard; “You’re the Rez manager, you call”.  “Hello kingab” …and I proceeded to tell him the story of the Aqueduct 8, the Harness track 4 and the New Salem 13…” Hello, Hello” …he didn’t say a word.  What was I going to tell metallinut?  Did we ruin the torch lighting ceremony?  Ring! Ring! The sheriff picks up the phone, “hey how are you Larry, how’s the family?”  The social conversation goes on for about 20 minutes as the anxiety is eating away the group. “Let me talk to Chester and see what I can do.  Good talking to you Larry, see you at the Spa.”  The sheriff looks at us sternly, gives us a scolding nod of his head and picks up the phone.  “Hello Judge, how are you this morning?  How’s Mabel doing with the gout?  That’s good to hear…”  The social conversation goes on for another 20 minutes and at this point the group is backing up to the exit.  “You won’t believe who I heard from this morning…Saratoga Larry” He’s asking if we’d do him a favor with these bus burners from the city…Uh Huh, Uh Huh, Yep, Uh Huh, Hmm, No, Yes…You’re the boss.  See ya Chester, give my regards to Mabel”.

I don’t know what kingab said or how he did it, but the New Salem 13 were free, and the torch was in our possession.  We thanked the sheriff as we drove off warning us to use a different route on our way back because if he sees us in New Salem again he will lock us up and throw away the key.

Finally, we meet up with pointguard in the Green Mountains.  “Where have you guys been”? “Oh, we have just been sightseeing and admiring the beautiful state of Vermont”.

As we pass the torch on to our brothers and sisters of the Sim Community we are reminded…

. “The most important thing in the Olympic Games is not to win but to take part, just as the most important thing in life is not the triumph, but the struggle. The essential thing is not to have conquered, but to have fought well.”

Good Luck to all.

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