May 152015

14 Gladiators Race For The $750k Italian Derby

Saturday, May 16, 2015 | 3:00 PM EST | Italy (ITY)
Grade I | 11 Furlongs | Firm Turf | 3 Year-Olds

DARK SPRINGFLY(1) comes of a disappointing performance in the No Allies G2, in which he struggled the whole race and finally ending up sixth by thirteen. He’s been consistently winning allowances and has already racked up a good chunk of change, at an 84 average speed rating in those allowances. On the other hand the son of WANTED (AUS) has never really come that close in a regular stakes race, his best being a fourth by five, his record not being any better in graded stakes. Unfortunately for deeprock5, this one isn’t a good bet at the moment. Even 13-1 is an overlay.

REQWIEM(2) most recently saw his first stakes action with a second in the Niner Sew Turf Route. Up until then, he had only won a single allowance (a heavily conditioned one, might I add (NW3L and locally bred). The upside is that the SHOCKING (AUS) colt receives a small distance extension now which possibly could have been used to get up in time. Either way this is a big step up for the colt, but not impossible. Lots of good horses get their start that way. Bezstables hopes he does at 18-1.

TETE AMIZMIZ(3) takes a huge step here, from the allowance NW3L class to a grade one. The SHAMARDAL bay colt scraps regular jockey E Bernstein after learning of his problem with alcohol, grabbing N Labreche. His fairly easy victories in the allowance class (his most recent was by a length in a 102 rating) mean very little here in the huge step up. Personally I would have tried him in a regular stakes, but maybe kartago just wants to see what the colt can do, especially because this is a fairly weak race. The punters make him 10-1 on his test.

BEGIN THE GAMES(4) is another one who make a large step here, also from a NW3L allowance where he won by two with a 105. The son of GALILEO has a drop-in running style, he typically starts around fourth or fifth and makes his way up, which the extra 1.5 furlongs will aid here. This colt has a little more reason to try a G1, but it’s still an enormous step in competition. Again, the bookies give 10-1 on a big test, even with the high-rated J Wilson aboard.

PERENNIAL BEAUTY(5) is the only G1 winner in the race as he took the Saint Cloud G1 last fall as a two year-old. More recently, he fell from the lead in the stretch, ending up fifth by four and a half in the Manatee Classic G3. He’s disappointed in two races as a three year-old, the other being the VERMONT IS 4 LOVERS G1 (seventh by six). Unfortunately, he gets a lower percentage jockey than last in D Givins (as opposed to X Saxon). He’s 9-1 but looks out of form. We’ll see if noredemption2 stepped up the training regiment for the son of MEDAGLIA D’ORO.

DIAMOND OASIS(6) has failed in both attempts as a sophomore, after his running style had him start around sixth as opposed to starting last in his freshman season. If you look at his last two efforts as a two year-old, he won two stakes in a row by two or more lengths. If fellow writer gcliffo told rider B Scott to hold him back a little more, especially with a longer distance, I see no reason why the son of OASIS DREAM (GB) couldn’t blow by in the stretch for the grade one win. Could be my longshot play at 10-1.

DISASTER X(7) was raced extensively in his two year-old campaign, but only because it appeared that he was a low claimer, at one point entering the $12.5k range which he won and started winning starter allowances. Eventually, amir realized he was better and threw him into allowances, which he won a few of. However, he has yet to grab a non-conditioned purse, but finished in the money all three times. Looking at his talent though, I think he’s in over his head here. A possible stake winner, but the POUNCED colt will have some trouble here. Big odds of 22-1. On a personal note, I’m glad this one worked out. With a name with DISASTER X you knew it had to be good.

CAFE DE LA REYS(8) conquered the Hawks Heir Turf Route last time out, winning by a considerable two and a half lengths. The REY DE CAFE handsome grey colt seemed to appreciate the longer distance of nine furlongs, which is probably why he was failing around the seven furlong length- not enough running room. The drop-out racing style will be helped more by the even longer eleven furlongs this time, and who knows, this colt could be a marathoner if he doesn’t win here. Another possible longshot play at 14-1.

LIMIT BACK(9) moves off the Desert Sky Turf route where he finished third beaten six. The son of ALANDI had previously been unsuccessful at the stakes level being an non-factor both times. After only winning three allowances before that (locally bred), this decent performance may just be a spark of luck for the brown colt. Trainer hebbe will really need to have worked the colt well to have a shot in here, or maybe he’s changed. 13-1 seems fair.

DARK SPEEDNG(10) was far back in his only stakes start, a non factor finishing thirteenth by ten. In addition, the BRILLIANT SPEED colt has only won a single non-maiden allowance, on the good turf. It is an even larger step up for the colt, considering he has trouble even showing in an allowance. This colt has never topped a 90 speed figure and has his work cut out for him here. I’m very doubtful of this one, he’s the longest shot of 31-1. Darkstars has high hopes.

GIANTSAREHERE(11) is a stakes winning colt out of GIANT’S CAUSEWAY who has raced in ten races already. He also has a seasoned graded stakes record, them accounting for half of his starts. In his best he finished third by five in the Premie Champion Stakes G3 He’s also eligible to improve here as he comes off dirt from his last race where he ran third by three. In his last race on turf in the Their Dances Turf Route stakes he ran a game second by a neck. This guy is loaded with potential and he earns his 6-1. As good a shot as any here for caliracing.

LIGHTNING ROUTE(12) comes off a big win in the A. P. Poll Turf Special stakes where he won by a length. The son of POINT GIVEN took awhile to break his maiden, finally winning in his sixth start with a 90 speed figure. He then went on to win the standard ‘my-horse-broke-its-maiden-lets-put-it-in-a-NW2L-race’ which must have furthered mrxrayz’ confidence. Finally, he took the stake extending the win streak to three. The colt seems to improve with the more distance he gets, and 11 furlongs is quite a bit. I think he can manage it. No love for the consecutive winner here, he is 12-1. Another possible longshot play.

CADDILAC SOLDIER(13) is fresh off a huge win in the No Allies G2, taking home a bunch of money. The son of SOLDIER HOLLOW (GB) also competed in the covenant VERMONT IS 4 LOVERS G1 where he was fourth beaten three and a half. This one was also a Breeders’ Bowl Juvenile Turf contender, but he only finished eighth by six. He also won The Founders G3 last fall by a length. Since he romped to a three length victory, I see no reason why he can’t win here. A deserving 7-2 racing for gradetwo.

TETE AGUELMOUR(14) improves with each start. He can consistently win allowances, most recently a NW5L by a big four lengths. But is this the right move from him? Again we’ve got a huge step up made a little smaller by the fairly weak field. On the upside ROCK OF GIBRALTAR colt has only lost his debut where he finished second. I think he’ll be game but a win is probably unlikely. He’s getting fourth choice respect at 8-1. We’ll see it deeprock5 has trained him well enough to extend the five race win streak.



Longshot play- LIGHTNING ROUTE #12

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