Hoping to Earn Episode 3

 Posted by at 8:28 pm  General
Mar 192018
 

At one point this week spinsanta2 was running at 43% wins to starts.  Then I made the mistake of bragging in the chatroom and boom, down to 35%.  With just 17 starts the numbers are going to be volatile and overall it was a decent week but still.  Keep your mouth shut in chat!

Tale of Six Crowns went into the auction before last week’s column.  He ended up selling back to roxyken’s thechallenge2 stable for $18,332.  You may remember that I picked him up in a $4k claim.  Didn’t do bad on the money side but still out 8 bps.

Ballingry started off the action this week, making his second start for the stable.  He of course was picked up for the high sum of $28,000 in auction and won his first start for me on 3/3 in a Japan-local allowance.  The three year old ran back in the same conditions (open allowance 4.5f turf, 3yo only) on 3/14 and he was a winner again.  He nabbed 25 bps for the stable this week for a total of 65 in two weeks.  He’s entered again in another race under the same conditions soon.

 

Harry Parker is an Idaho bred that I claimed from….roxyken (sorry!) on 2/17 for $7,500.  He had 37 starts with a 10-8-4 record.  He had run a few races with the local tag but not many and he was the favorite in the race I claimed him out of.  Harry exited the same race as another spinsanta2 horse, Funny Mambo.  Funny Mambo actually won the race and Harry was third.  His record also indicated that he could run dirt and turf, sprints and routes.  I entered him in a local-bred open allowance going 9.5f turf.  The race attracted eight runners and Harry ran an ok fourth, earning 10 bps.  He stays another week.

 

Marimacho is another name you might remember.  The PA-bred filly ran 3/1 in a local bred claiming race on dirt where she finished 2nd.  She ran back on 3/15 in a turf claimer going a 13f against an eight horse field where she finished a well beaten 4th.  That was good enough for 10 bps, bringing this auction purchase’s earnings up to 40 bps.

Wonderlights is a four year old from Japan.  He made his first start for this stable on 3/3 in a local bred allowance.  He seemed to have a bright future, winning the race with a 100 speed.  Sadly there were no suitable local bred races to send him back in so on 3/17 he ended up in an open allowance in Turkey.  He ran close to the same speed (a 98) but it was only good enough for 7th place.  He’s currently little groggy so there’s some question as to whether he’ll have more options available in the future.  If not he’ll be sent back to auction.

 

A new face in the stable is The Countdown Ploy.  She’s a 3yo filly by Savabeel, one of my favorite sires in New Zealand.  I found her in a $4k NW4L claim in Indiana where she was a short priced favorite.  She won that race by over two lengths and would be an easy moneymaker without the local tag.  I probably didn’t look at her dam before putting in the claim but she was produced by a Montjeu x Kingmambo mare who has produced nine foals (The Countdown Ploy is her youngest).  She’s got one grade three winner and three listed winners to her credit but all the rest of her foals have won at the allowance level.  I think this filly could turn out to be a very good claim long term.  She’s not particularly fast but she’s young and she’ll have opportunities to run in local championships races eventually, maybe getting her dam another stakes winner.  First things first though, send her to New Zealand to run in a local bred allowance for 3yo fillies going 4.5f on the lawn.  The race attracted two other player owned horses and a CPU filly and our girl won handily.  That nets 40bps easily paying off the 8 she cost and the New Zealand world is her oyster.

 

The first ever starter for spinsanta2 – way back on 2/24 was Pine Grove RCH.  That day he finished 4th in a 4.5f dirt claimer for California breds, earning 10 bps.  He ran back on 3/17 in a 7f local bred claimer on turf where he ran a creditable 2nd with a 96 speed which added 20 bps to his total.  Not bad for a cheap auction horse!

 

The biggest disappointment of the weekend was Cardinal Mission.  She was making her third lifetime start in a $2500 NW4L claimer for Louisiana breds.  Yes she was facing males and yes she only had one previous lifetime win and yes she was 107/1.  But against 6 other runners I really thought she had a chance to finish 3rd and in doing so win the tip a horse contest for me.  Oh well.  She was last by 15 lengths and didn’t earn a single bp for me!  The nerve of her.

 

The last race came from Funny Mambo.  He previously ran on 3/11 where he finished second in a NY-bred starter allowance but running back on 3/17 he could only manage 4th in a similar starter.  He led most of the way but was passed in the stretch and came out of the race tired.  Interested buyers should look for him in the auction where his current price is a mouth watering $1.  He did earn an additional 10 bps for the stable for his effort.  That brought the total earned by this horse up to 40, although as a $7,500 claim he did cost 15 to acquire.

So after week three the stable is running 17-6-3-0 which is 35.3% wins and 52.9% itm.  Current earnings stand at $213,910 and 345 bps.  The best stat that I like is 14 of those 17 runners have brought home some bps in their outings.  I picked up two new $1 auction buys this week but currently have no open slots to place them in.  Stay tuned.

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Mar 112018
 

Another week for spinsanta2 and some surprises in store.  Overall it was a good week for earning with four runners taking in 110 bps.  This was a good lessons learned week and the biggest lesson learned might have been how much luck comes in to play with this game.  First we’ll talk about the less interesting runners.

Funny Mambo was claimed on February 17th for $7,500.  This NY-bred by D’Funnybone won that claiming race by a head with a 90 speed.  The race was 4.5f on turf.  I claimed him because he was a consistent NY-bred.  His current record is 41-13-11-7 and over $500k in the bank.  He runs on dirt and turf.  He’s not a world beater and he’s eight years old so his best days are certainly behind him.  But that doesn’t matter.  This stable is aimed at earning bps quickly and a horse who has run in the money 31 times can earn.  The last time he faced NY-bred competition came in a residency restricted stakes race in 2016 where he finished 5th with a 105 speed (his career best was a 108 run in 2014).  So for $7,500 and 15 bps I thought I could make a buck.  Funny Mambo raced for me on March 11th in a 5.5f dirt Starter Allowance for NY-bred horses with a $10,000 tag.  A confirmed front runner he struck out for the early lead and held gamely in stretch only allowing one horse to pass him.  That second place finish was worth 30 bps for the stable and he came back RTG.  Interestingly there are two $25,000 starters for NY-breds at 6f dirt on March 17th.  He’s already entered in to one.  We’ll see what happens.

Louisiana bred six year old mare Cardinal Mission was a $1 auction pickup.  You cannot go wrong with a horse for $1.  The worst thing that can happen with a horse at that price is that you run it once or twice and don’t earn so you drop it back into auction for a $0 reserve.  Cardinal Mission was among a group of very lightly raced older horses that got dumped all at the same time.  I picked up two other six year olds for the same price out of that group.  Both were bred in South Africa and I have a stable specifically for South Africa-bred horses called SAFSPIN so that is where they were stalled.  Cardinal Mission is by the sire Global Mission whom I had not heard of prior to this acquisition but he’s a son of Danzig out of the Easy Goer mare Retrospective.  Easy Goer was bred to an amazing book of mares but as a sire he was pretty much a dud.  He died at just eight years of age but considering how many great mares he saw he should have had more success.  But I digress.  Cardinal Mission had one race prior to my purchase.  She raced on February 24th in a 15f MSW on the turf.  She actually was second in that race where she ran a 42 speed.  You might assume that the horses she defeated that day were owned by the CPU but that was true only for one of the two who finished behind her.  On March 10th she returned to action under my silks in a LA-bred $125,000 MCL for 4+ females.  Shockingly that was a computer carded race.  Cardinal Mission was the only privately owned entry in the race and she ran away with it wiring the field with lightning quickness running a 56 speed and winning in hand by one length.  Needless to say she earned back her purchase price plus 40 bps.  Her next start will be a tricky one.  She will have to face winners – at least two of them!  She’s entered in a $2,500 claimer for LA-breds on March 17th with a NW4L conditions.

Tale of Six Crowns was claimed for $4,000 on 2/17.  I have to issue an apology here to my fellow BTBer Roxyken.  I took this 5yo colt out of his stable THECHALLENGE2.  I highly recommend reading his The Challenge series here in the BTB (he just started his third year of running it his latest installment can be read Here).  Tale of Six Crowns is a lesson in what not to do in an experiment like this.  First of all he is a KY bred and if you are a faithful reader you know I like to capitalize on horses bred in locations outside of KY, IRE and ENG.  The second lesson is that I didn’t really pay attention to his conditions when I entered him.  He ran back for me on March 9th in a $75,000 claiming race at 5f where he finished 8th.  In a regular stable he has the potential to earn nicely in low-level claimers.  He would have done really well for his previous connections if I didn’t foolishly grab him.  He is currently in the auction for a $0 reserve.

The flipside of shooting from the hip when entering horses (what I did with Tale of Six Crowns) is Umpteen Memo.  Umpteen Memo was a very expensive auction purchase at $1,000.  He’s by the California sire Grey Memo, another one I had not heard of before.  I was attracted to him in the auction because he is four years old and at the time had thirteen starts with four wins a second and four thirds.  That’s a pretty healthy ITM %.  I was sure he could earn.  Umpteen Memos ran on January 18th in a $3,500 claimer going 6f on dirt where he finished third with a 98 speed.  He was claimed out of that race and resurfaced going 10f on the dirt in a NW5L allowance.  He finished 11th in that start, beaten over 26 lengths and running an 82 speed.  After a result like that I am not surprised he was sent straight to the auction.  I wish I could tell you that I saw this amazing bargain in the auction and I just knew he was super talented with tons of potential if only he were raced at the proper conditions.  The reality is that I likely didn’t even open his page just bid based on the CA-tag and the 4 wins in 13 starts.  For $1,000 I could have run him back in a $2,000 claiming race and if I lost him no big deal.  Luckily for me the first available CA-bred race that was available to him was a $20,000 starter allowance going a mile on turf.  Facing a field of six he had a good shot to hit the board.  I had no idea that he would run away with the race and run a 109 speed.  Now realistically he may never run back to that speed again.  If he does who is to say that he can run that fast against 13 other horses, against non-CA-breds, against allowance or stakes company.  Those are all big questions that perhaps someday he will get to answer.  Had he not run as well or as fast I would consider running him back right away.  There is a $30k starter for CA-breds going 8f on turf on March 18th.  For a horse in this stable that is the race he should be entered in.  The goal is to earn and earn fast.  But how can you ignore a race like the one he just ran?  On March 29th there is a Local Championship at 9f on the lawn.  Currently there are five other runners and four of them have better capper colors than Umpteen Memos (of course the capper doesn’t take into account that he may not have been in ideal conditions in four of his last five starts).  This is quite a dilemma.  I went ahead and clicked enter for the stakes race.  In the end regardless of the intentions of the barn when you have an opportunity to see if you have a good horse you take it.  Maybe he never runs this fast again.  Maybe he runs faster.  We’ll see soon enough.  Oh and he brought home 40 bps for what is hopefully his first of many wins in my barn.

End of week 2 – $128,564 in bank plus 230 bps.

Overall stats – 9-4-2-0

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Mar 052018
 

Starting a new stable is always an interesting experience.  Your first stable is always the hardest.  You start with 5 terrible, terrible horses and a bit of money and a few bps.  The quickest way to earn more is to dump those initial 5 horses in the auction.  Very rarely do they end up being even decent earners.  Once you have your first stable you can add a new stable which comes with $10,000 and no bps.  The theory is that you have other stables to help finance your initial startup costs.

In February I started a new stable, spinsanta2.  The goal for this stable is to run cheap horses and run them often in the hopes of earning lots of bps to finance major breedings in other stables.   I populated the stable with an initial 10 horses costing just under $60,000 and 36 bps.  A few of the auction buys were paid for from the initial $10k.  One auction buy cost nearly half of the $60,000 total – Ballingry a $28,000 buy from the auction.

The first run for this stable came on February 24th and so far five horses have run in spinsanta2.

Pine Grove RCH was an auction buy.  He cost less than $1,000.  He’s a 7yo California bred gelding with 9 wins and earnings over $300,000.  In 2016 he competed successfully in local bred allowances.  He only made three starts in 2017, twice running 2nd in a low level claim and a starter allowance.  He started on New Year’s Day in a $150,000 starter allowance where he finished 5th of 7 and then ended up in the auction.  He became the first spinsanta runner when he finished 4th in a $150,000 local-bred claiming race.  He earned 10 bps for the effort.

 

Highland Spur was another auction buy and again cost less than $1,000.  She is a three year old Welsh bred filly who had run 4 times prior to the auction with her best finish a third in a maiden claiming race.  She raced on January 23rd in a $5,000 maiden claiming event where she finished last in a field of 11.  After the auction I shipped her to Sweden which is among the group of countries that share local-bred racing in Europe including Norway, Holland and Greece.  Overall there are 13 countries covered by this particular local tag with Italy being the largest producer of thoroughbreds in the group.  The race I selected for Highland Spur was a $20,000 claiming event for three year old fillies.  There were only two entries in the queue and the field was filled out by a CPU runner.  I thought this was a perfect opportunity to earn bps.  Sadly I forgot that running a maiden vs. winners cost you a bp penalty so her solid 4th place finish did not net any bps.  For that reason this filly might not last long.

 

Marimacho is a four year old Pennsylvania bred filly who again came out of the auction for a pittance.  She came to me with an 8-1-1-0 record.  Her best speed was a 65 run in a $7,500 maiden claiming event at 8f on good turf where she finished 4th.  I shipped her to Pennsylvania and entered her for a $150,000 NW3L event.  The race had two other entries and again a CPU horse rounded out the field.  This one was more successful for me as Marimacho finished second and set a new lifetime best speed of 66!  She netted 30 bps for the effort.

 

Ballingry became the first winner for spinsanta2 exactly a week after the first run.  He was the expensive auction buy at $28,000.  He’s a three year old by Japanese sire Lord Kanaloa who was the Horse of the Year in Japan in 2013.  Lord Kanaloa was the leading freshman sire in Japan in 2017 and his progeny are selling like hotcakes.  Ballingry had won twice from thirteen starts for his previous connections.  Thirteen starts for a three year old early in the year is a lot but he was pretty consistent and I thought worth a chance for the price.  He last race in Paris on February 14th where he finished 9th in an allowance.  I brought him back on March 3rd and sent him to Japan for an open allowance.  He faced one other player-owned runner in the race who he beat quite handily, as well as two CPU runners who were well beaten.  40 bps was mine!

 

Wonderlights raced shortly after Ballingry.  He was also bred in Japan but from a less fashionable sire.  This 4yo came out of the auction for $9,000 with one fewer race than Ballingry but one more win.  He was gelded in October of 2017 after nine races in turf sprints.  He returned in a turf route allowance and then dropped to a dirt sprint for his 2018 debut on February 14th.  He was off the board in both of those runs and was sent to the auction.  I shipped him to Japan for a local bred NW4L at 7f and the result was a win over six others and a 100 speed, tying his career best.  Another 40bps.

 

So after a week of running horses in this stable the current stats are $81,000 in the bank and 120 bps.  There are four runners slated for next weekend, hopefully the good times continue!

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